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FC Porto vs Malmo FF: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 11 December, 2025 14:00
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.76 vs 0.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.3%
0:1
1.94%
0:2
0.44%
0:3
0.07%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
11.27%
1:1
5.67%
1:2
1.41%
1:3
0.23%
1:4
0.03%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
14.76%
🔥
2:1
8.22%
2:2
2.25%
2:3
0.4%
2:4
0.05%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
12.89%
3:1
7.87%
3:2
2.35%
3:3
0.46%
3:4
0.07%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
8.44%
4:1
5.61%
⭐
4:2
1.81%
⭐
4:3
0.38%
⭐
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
4.42%
5:1
3.17%
⭐
5:2
1.11%
⭐
5:3
0.25%
⭐
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
2:0 (14.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
FC Porto
VS
Malmo FF
5/6 (83%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
2.00
PPG
0.20
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
50%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.36
Avg xG
-
2.76
xG [Total: 3.35]
0.59
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
5
Corners [Total: 8]
3
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
14
Fouls [Total: 24]
10
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
4
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, FC Porto will take on Malmo FF as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 6 and will take place on 2025-12-11 at 2025-12-11 in the famous Estádio Do Dragão.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC Porto, and the visiting side, Malmo FF. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : FC Porto.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-11
Time: 20:00
Location: Estádio Do Dragão
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC Porto vs Malmo FF Thursday, Dec 11th, 2025 at 14:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for FC Porto vs Malmo FF Football 11 Dec, 2025 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
FC Porto score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals
-
Toothless Attack
Malmo FF struggle to score — failed to find net in 3/3 recent away matches
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for FC Porto vs Malmo FF, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — FC Porto @ 1.26 ⚠️ 
FC Porto
- Good Goal RatioRecent6/786%FC Porto have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 7 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
FC Porto demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.65 ⚠️ 
Malmo FF(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague3/3100%Malmo FF struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 100% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.68 ⚠️
FC Porto(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent6/786%FC Porto have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 7 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
Balanced match with potential for goals
⚡ Team Total Goals — FC Porto Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 ✅ 
Malmo FF
- Weak AttackLeague3/3100%Malmo FF struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 100% of matches
Despite Malmo FF's form, Malmo FF's defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Malmo FF(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague7/786%Malmo FF average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 2.1)
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Malmo FF receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 UEFA Europa League matches
- Many CardsRecent6/786%Malmo FF receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 UEFA Europa League (Away) matches
FC Porto disciplined play balances Malmo FF aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.70 ⚠️ 
Malmo FF(2 trends) — avg 4.0 (-13% below league)
- Few CornersLeague3/378%Malmo FF average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-13% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent5/683%Malmo FF win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Europa League (Away) matches
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.70
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FC Porto vs Malmo FF
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Malmo FF is stronger in the second half (16 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Malmo FF is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Malmo FF is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FC Porto
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.04
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Malmo FF
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FC Porto - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Malmo FF - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FC Porto - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Malmo FF - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Malmo FF shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 7 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Malmo FF winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Malmo FF excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Malmo FF scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.345
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.017
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC Porto):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Malmo FF):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
FC Porto vs Malmo FF Head-to-head statistics for Thu 11 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 UEFA Europa League
FC Porto vs Malmo FF: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC Porto and away matches for Malmo FF
Number of goals
Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Malmo FF
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Malmo FF
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
1X2
FC Porto
Malmo FF
1
70%
7
30%
3
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
FC Porto
Malmo FF
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
30%
3
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
FC Porto
Malmo FF
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Total Corners
Total Corners
FC Porto
Under
Over
Malmo FF
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
89%
8
11%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
89%
8
11%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
9
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
9
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Malmo FF
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
FC Porto
Malmo FF
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
FC Porto
Malmo FF
xG
1.47
0.56
xGa
0.71
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Malmo FF
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Malmo FF
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2
1X2
FC Porto
Malmo FF
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
FC Porto
Malmo FF
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
FC Porto
Malmo FF
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Malmo FF
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Malmo FF
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Malmo FF
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2
1X2
FC Porto
Malmo FF
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
FC Porto
Malmo FF
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
FC Porto
Malmo FF
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Malmo FF
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : FC Porto
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.86%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 76.20% | High | 1.35 |
| Under 1.5 | 23.80% | Low | 3.30 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 11.86% | Low | 8.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 88.14% | High | 1.10 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 52.10% | Medium | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 47.90% | Low | 1.79 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 2.21% | Low | 29.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 97.79% | High | 1.01 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
FC Porto
Malmo FF
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.5 | 5 | 0.7 | 2 | 1.4 | 7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 5 | 2.7 | 8 | 2.6 | 13 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 9 | 7.7 | 23 | 6.4 | 32 |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 25 | 11.3 | 34 | 11.8 | 59 |
| Offsides | 2 | 4 | 1.7 | 5 | 1.8 | 9 |
| Shots | 11.5 | 23 | 14 | 42 | 13 | 65 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.5 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 3.8 | 19 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 5 | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1.4 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 8 | 2.3 | 7 | 2.1 | 15 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 18 | 2.7 | 8 | 3.7 | 26 |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 35 | 14.3 | 43 | 11.1 | 78 |
| Offsides | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.1 | 8 |
| Shots | 10 | 40 | 7 | 21 | 8.7 | 61 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.5 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 3.3 | 23 |
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