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Estoril
FC Porto vs Estrela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 15 December, 2025 20:45
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.01 vs 0.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.27%
0:1
2.14%
0:2
0.2%
⭐
0:3
0.01%
0:4
0%
⭐
0:5
0%
⭐
1
1:0
19.95%
🔥
1:1
6.5%
1:2
0.87%
⭐
1:3
0.07%
1:4
0%
⭐
1:5
0%
2
2:0
17.66%
2:1
8.14%
2:2
1.55%
2:3
0.17%
2:4
0.01%
2:5
0%
3
3:0
10.42%
⭐
3:1
6.22%
⭐
3:2
1.57%
⭐
3:3
0.22%
3:4
0.02%
3:5
0%
⭐
4
4:0
4.61%
4:1
3.38%
4:2
1.07%
4:3
0.19%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
1.63%
5:1
1.42%
⭐
5:2
0.54%
5:3
0.12%
⭐
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (19.9%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
11
1
0
25
3
22
34
2
10
1
1
31
6
25
31
13
▼
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
▼
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
15
2
3
7
13
26
-13
9
Last 6 Matches
FC Porto
VS
Estrela
5/6 (83%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.67
PPG
1.17
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.36
Avg xG
1.48
2.01
xG [Total: 2.44]
0.43
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
4
Corners [Total: 7]
3
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
13
Fouls [Total: 27]
14
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 8]
3
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FC Porto will take on Estrela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-15 at 2025-12-15 in the famous Estádio Do Dragão.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC Porto, and the visiting side, Estrela. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : FC Porto or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-15
Time: 20:45
Location: Estádio Do Dragão
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for FC Porto vs Estrela Football 15 Dec, 2025 20:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
FC Porto keep clean sheets in 83% of home games — hard to break down
-
Chance Suppression
FC Porto rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
Comprehensive betting trends for FC Porto vs Estrela, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
FC Porto(9 trends)
- WonH2H3/475%FC Porto have won 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%FC Porto are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- HT/FT WinsH2H3/475%FC Porto have won at HT/FT in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Good Goal RatioH2H3/475%FC Porto have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Top Table FormLeague75%FC Porto are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%FC Porto score 1.83 goals/match at home (+37% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (1.83 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%FC Porto concede only 0.17 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%FC Porto have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Estrela(4 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/475%Estrela have not won in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs FC Porto
- LostH2H3/475%Estrela have lost 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs FC Porto
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Estrela have not won in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
FC Porto(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/683%FC Porto score well (1.83/match) but have strong defense at home (0.17 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 83% of matches
Estrela(1 trends)
- BTTS NoRecent12/1580%At least one team failed to score in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H4/4100%At least one team failed to score in their last 4 Primeira Liga H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
FC Porto(4 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H3/475%FC Porto have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%FC Porto score 1.83 goals/match at home (+37% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (1.83 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%FC Porto have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Estrela(3 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent14/1593%Estrela scored 0-1 goals in 14 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1580%Under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Few GoalsRecent24/3080%Estrela scored 0-1 goals in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H4/4100%Under 2.5 goals in their last 4 Primeira Liga H2H matches
Combined 1.8 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance
FC Porto(4 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%FC Porto are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/475%FC Porto are undefeated at half time in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Top Table FormLeague75%FC Porto are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%FC Porto concede only 0.17 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Estrela(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/475%Estrela have not won in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs FC Porto
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Estrela have not won in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
FC Porto(11 trends)
- Defensive SolidarityH2H4/4100%FC Porto rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 4 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Scored 1+H2H3/475%FC Porto scored 1+ goals in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Clean SheetsH2H3/475%FC Porto kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H3/475%FC Porto conceded under 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- First Half SpecialistsH2H3/475%FC Porto score in first half in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%FC Porto score 1.83 goals/match at home (+37% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (1.83 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%FC Porto concede only 0.17 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent14/14100%FC Porto rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 14 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent30/30100%FC Porto rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 30 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent11/1479%FC Porto score in second half in 11 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Estrela(1 trends)
- Haven't ScoredH2H3/475%Estrela haven't scored in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs FC Porto
🟨 Cards Over/Under
FC Porto(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%FC Porto receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent11/1479%FC Porto receive 2+ cards in 11 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Estrela(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H4/4100%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs FC Porto
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent26/3087%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 26 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 5.3 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
FC Porto(2 trends) — avg 6.8 (+34% above league)
- Many CornersH2H4/4100%FC Porto win 6+ corners in 4 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Corner DominanceH2H3/475%FC Porto dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
Estrela(2 trends) — avg 3.8 (-18% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/683%Estrela average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-18% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent11/1385%Estrela win 4 or fewer corners in 11 of their last 13 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+11 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FC Porto vs Estrela
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FC Porto
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.04
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Estrela
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FC Porto - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Estrela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FC Porto - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Estrela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.225
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.056
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC Porto):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estrela):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
FC Porto vs Estrela Head-to-head statistics for Mon 15 Dec, 2025 @ 20:45 Primeira Liga
FC Porto vs Estrela: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC Porto and away matches for Estrela
Number of goals
Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Estrela
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
1X2
FC Porto
Estrela
1
70%
7
20%
2
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
FC Porto
Estrela
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
30%
3
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
FC Porto
Estrela
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
FC Porto
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Estrela
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
FC Porto
Estrela
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
FC Porto
Estrela
xG
1.47
1.31
xGa
0.71
1.34
Number of goals
Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Estrela
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
1X2
FC Porto
Estrela
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
FC Porto
Estrela
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
FC Porto
Estrela
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Estrela
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Estrela
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
FC Porto
Estrela
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
FC Porto
Estrela
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
FC Porto
Estrela
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Estrela
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : FC Porto or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.75%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 59.67% | Medium | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 40.33% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 6.98% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 93.02% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 32.60% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 67.40% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 0.96% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 99.04% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
FC Porto
Estrela
Played:
4
Wins
3
3
Draws
0
0
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
1.3
Goals
0.5
2
2
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.3
5
8
2
Yellow Cards
3
12
0
Red Cards
0.3
1
3
0.8
Clean Sheets
0.3
1
36
9
Corners
6.3
25
64
16
Fouls
15
60
4
1
Offsides
0.8
3
49
12.3
Shots
8
32
14
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.5
10
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 6 | 11 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.8 | 11 | 2.3 | 14 | 2.1 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 15 | 2.5 | 15 | 2.5 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.8 | 5 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.8 | 9 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 29 | 6.2 | 37 | 5.5 | 66 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 79 | 14.2 | 85 | 13.7 | 164 |
| Offsides | 2 | 12 | 1.8 | 11 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 77 | 16.3 | 98 | 14.6 | 175 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.5 | 33 | 5.8 | 35 | 5.7 | 68 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 8 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.8 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 2.5 | 15 | 3.4 | 41 |
| Fouls | 13 | 78 | 13.5 | 81 | 13.3 | 159 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 8 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Shots | 14 | 84 | 8.7 | 52 | 11.3 | 136 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.5 | 21 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.6 | 43 |
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