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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 24
Preview
FC Porto
FC Porto
1st place
Form
VS
18:45
27 Feb 2026
Arouca
Arouca
12th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : FC Porto or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

FC Porto vs Arouca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 27 February, 2026 12:45

Winner (1x2)-
FC Porto to Win
Probability 90%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 58%
Double Chance-
FC Porto/Draw
Probability 98%
Asian Handicap-
FC Porto +2.5
Probability 100%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
18:45
FC Porto W 89%
:
Arouca W 2%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
FC Porto
w w l d w
14 Played
12 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (30 total)
xG
1.80 (25.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.6 (191 total)
Shots on Target
5.1 (38% acc)
Corners
5 (70 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (57%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.4 (174 total)
Offsides
1.8 (25 total)
16 Played
12 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (26 total)
xG
1.60 (25.4 total)
Shots per Match
14.2 (227 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (38% acc)
Corners
6.1 (98 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (63%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.3 (212 total)
Offsides
2.1 (33 total)
30 Played
24 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (56 total)
xG
1.70 (51.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.9 (418 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (38% acc)
Corners
5.6 (168 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
18 (60%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.9 (386 total)
Offsides
1.9 (58 total)
Arouca
w l w w l
11 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (14 total)
xG
0.90 (9.8 total)
Shots per Match
9.8 (108 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (37% acc)
Corners
4.1 (45 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
14.3 (157 total)
Offsides
0.8 (9 total)
11 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (14 total)
xG
0.70 (8.1 total)
Shots per Match
10 (110 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (29% acc)
Corners
3.4 (37 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.4 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (4 total)
Fouls
12.5 (138 total)
Offsides
1.5 (16 total)
22 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (28 total)
xG
0.80 (17.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.9 (218 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (33% acc)
Corners
3.7 (82 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (6 total)
Fouls
13.4 (295 total)
Offsides
1.1 (25 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No Asian Handicap predictions available

No Team Total predictions available

In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FC Porto will take on Arouca as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 24 and will take place on 2026-02-27 at 2026-02-27 in the famous Estádio Do Dragão. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC Porto, and the visiting side, Arouca. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : FC Porto or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-27 Time: 18:45 Location: Estádio Do Dragão Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC Porto vs Arouca Friday, Feb 27th, 2026 at 12:45 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for FC Porto vs Arouca Football 27 Feb, 2026 12:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📊
    League Position Mismatch

    FC Porto in top 3 vs Arouca in relegation zone — significant quality gap

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    FC Porto have league's best defense — hard to break down

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

FC Porto vs Arouca

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Arouca is stronger in the second half (10 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FC Porto

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Arouca

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FC Porto - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Arouca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FC Porto - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
1
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Arouca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Arouca shows superior performance after the break (10 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Arouca winning the second half
  • Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.087
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.002
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.075

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC Porto):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arouca):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

FC Porto
Arouca

FC Porto vs Arouca Head-to-head statistics for Fri 27 Feb, 2026 @ 12:45 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
FC Porto
w w l d w
>
22
19
2
1
43
7
36
59
2
Sporting CP
w w w d w
>
22
17
4
1
56
12
44
55

11
Estrela
l l d w l
>
22
5
8
9
26
39
-13
23
12
Arouca
w l w w l
>
22
6
5
11
28
49
-21
23
13
Casa Pia
l d w d w
>
22
5
7
10
25
41
-16
22
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : FC Porto or draw
Goals Home: -3.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
FC Porto
VS
Arouca
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
5 Wins
1 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7 (19)
0.7 (5)
xG
2.40
0.40
Shots
16 (112)
8.1 (57)
Shots on Target
5.4 (38)
2.1 (15)
Corners
6.1 (43)
2.7 (19)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (5)
2.7 (19)
xGa
0.40
2.40
Clean Sheets
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 (15)
2.6 (18)
Red Cards
0.3 (2)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
11.3 (79)
14.1 (99)
Offsides
2.4 (17)
1.6 (11)
29 Sep
- 19:00
Arouca
FC Porto
0.40
xG
2.93
0
4
Prob 83%
Match Winner 2
Odd 1.36
1 Mar
- 18:00
Arouca
FC Porto
0.58
xG
1.51
0
2
29 Sep
- 17:00
FC Porto
Arouca
2.72
xG
0.17
4
0
12 Feb
- 20:15
Arouca
FC Porto
3
2
3 Sep
- 17:00
FC Porto
Arouca
1
1
8 May
- 20:15
Arouca
FC Porto
0
1
28 Dec
- 21:15
FC Porto
Arouca
5
1
Last 6 Matches
FC Porto
VS
Arouca
3/6 (50%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
2.17 PPG 1.50
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
67% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.47 Avg xG 1.21
FC Porto
W W L D W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
0 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Feb 2026 - 20:45
FC Porto
1 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Feb 2026 - 20:45
Casa Pia
2 1
FC Porto
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
29 Jan 2026 - 20:00
FC Porto
3 1
Rangers
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Jan 2026 - 20:15
FC Porto
3 0
GIL Vicente
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
22 Jan 2026 - 17:45
Plzen
1 1
FC Porto
Arouca
W L W W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Casa Pia
3 2
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 20:30
Arouca
3 2
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Rio Ave
0 3
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Arouca
1 2
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 18:00
AVS
0 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Tondela
3 1
Arouca

FC Porto vs Arouca: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC Porto and away matches for Arouca

Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Arouca
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1X2
FC Porto
Arouca
1
70% 7
40% 4
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
FC Porto
Arouca
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
30% 3
60% 6
Total Goals
FC Porto
Arouca
0-1
30% 3
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
10% 1
50% 5
Total Corners
FC Porto
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Arouca
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
FC Porto
Arouca
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
40% 4
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
FC Porto
Arouca
xG
1.62
1.12
xGa
0.61
1.16
Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Arouca
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2
FC Porto
Arouca
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
20% 2
50% 5
Double Chance
FC Porto
Arouca
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
80% 8
50% 5
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
FC Porto
Arouca
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
10% 1
40% 4
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Arouca
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Arouca
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
FC Porto
Arouca
1
80% 8
30% 3
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
0% 0
20% 2
Double Chance
FC Porto
Arouca
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
100% 10
80% 8
X2
20% 2
70% 7
Total Goals
FC Porto
Arouca
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Arouca
Yes
90% 9
60% 6
No
10% 1
40% 4
2.87 xG 0.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found