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UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 – Knockout play-offs • Knockout round play-offs
Preview
FC Noah
FC Noah
Form
VS
17:45
19 Feb 2026
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Form
AI Prediction FC Noah AH+1
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 19 February, 2026 11:45

Winner (1x2)3.41
FC Noah to Win
Probability 43%
Total Goals1.70
Over 2.5
Probability 67%
Both Teams to Score2.45
No (NG)
Probability 51%
FC Noah Total2.56
Home Over 1.5
Probability 51%
AZ Alkmaar Total1.27
Away Under 2.5
Probability 86%
Double Chance1.80
FC Noah/Draw
Probability 70%
Asian Handicap1.28
FC Noah +1.5
Probability 89%
Best Tip
Value
Asian Handicap FC Noah +1
Odds 1.44
Win Prob. 80.8% EV: +16.4%
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Prediction League
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs
17:45
FC Noah W 43%
:
AZ Alkmaar W 30%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
FC Noah
d l d w l
7 Played
4 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (9 total)
xG
0.40 (2.9 total)
Shots per Match
7.3 (51 total)
Shots on Target
1.9 (25% acc)
Corners
1.3 (9 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
7.9 (55 total)
Offsides
0.7 (5 total)
7 Played
1 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (12 total)
xG
0.40 (2.5 total)
Shots per Match
6 (42 total)
Shots on Target
2.3 (38% acc)
Corners
2.1 (15 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
0.40 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
5.6 (39 total)
Offsides
1.1 (8 total)
14 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (21 total)
xG
0.40 (5.4 total)
Shots per Match
6.6 (93 total)
Shots on Target
2.1 (31% acc)
Corners
1.7 (24 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
6.7 (94 total)
Offsides
0.9 (13 total)
AZ Alkmaar
d w l d w
16 Played
8 Wins
6 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (32 total)
xG
1.70 (26.6 total)
Shots per Match
16.6 (265 total)
Shots on Target
6.4 (38% acc)
Corners
6.3 (100 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.4 (151 total)
Offsides
1.6 (25 total)
17 Played
9 Wins
1 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (24 total)
xG
1.40 (24.4 total)
Shots per Match
14 (238 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (37% acc)
Corners
4.5 (77 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.5 (195 total)
Offsides
0.9 (16 total)
33 Played
17 Wins
7 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (56 total)
xG
1.50 (51.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.2 (503 total)
Shots on Target
5.8 (38% acc)
Corners
5.4 (177 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
12 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
10.5 (346 total)
Offsides
1.2 (41 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.82 vs 1.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.83%
0:1
6.04%
0:2
3.13%
0:3
1.08%
0:4
0.28%
0:5
0.06%
1
1:0
8.78%
1:1
10.92%
🔥
1:2
6.61%
1:3
2.61%
1:4
0.76%
1:5
0.18%
2
2:0
6.61%
2:1
9.6%
2:2
6.69%
2:3
3%
2:4
0.98%
2:5
0.25%
3
3:0
3.32%
3:1
5.51%
3:2
4.36%
3:3
2.21%
3:4
0.81%
3:5
0.23%
4
4:0
1.25%
4:1
2.34%
4:2
2.07%
4:3
1.17%
4:4
0.48%
4:5
0.15%
5
5:0
0.38%
5:1
0.78%
5:2
0.77%
5:3
0.48%
5:4
0.22%
5:5
0.07%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.8%
0
14.8%
1
20.7%
2
20.6%
3
16.3%
4
10.9%
5
6.2%
6
3.0%
7
1.2%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

FC NoahHDPAZ Alkmaar
9.1%
Very Low@ 13.50
-2.5
3.2%
@ 7.50Very Low
16.1%
Very Low@ 13.00
-2
6.9%
@ 6.00Very Low
23.1%
Low@ 7.00
-1.5
10.7%
@ 3.52Very Low
34.7%
Low@ 6.60
-1
19.2%
@ 2.77Very Low
46.4%
Medium@ 3.45
-0.5
27.7%
@ 1.97Low
72.3%
High@ 1.90
+0.5
53.6%
@ 1.37Medium
80.8%
Very High@ 1.50
+1
65.3%
@ 1.11High
89.3%
Very High@ 1.30
+1.5
76.9%
@ 1.10High
93.1%
Very High@ 1.12
+2
83.9%
@ 1.01Very High
96.8%
Very High@ 1.10
+2.5
90.9%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

FC NoahOutcomeAZ Alkmaar
50.5%
Medium@ 2.63
Over 1.5
36.2%
@ 1.81Low
49.5%
Medium@ 1.53
Under 1.5
63.8%
@ 2.00High
23.9%
Low@ 6.50
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 3.50Very Low
76.2%
High@ 1.13
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.30Very High
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs matchup, FC Noah will take on AZ Alkmaar as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-19 at 2026-02-19 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC Noah, and the visiting side, AZ Alkmaar. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-19 Time: 17:45 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar Thursday, Feb 19th, 2026 at 11:45 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 70.4%
EV: +31.6%
Stake: $2.87
1.87
Total Home Over 1.5
High Value
Prob: 50.5%
EV: +29.4%
Stake: $1.60
2.56
Premium Tip Under 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 70.4%
EV: +26.7%
Stake: $3.13
1.80
Asian Handicap FC Noah +1
High Value
Prob: 80.8%
EV: +21.2%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Asian Handicap FC Noah +1.5
Value
Prob: 89.3%
EV: +14.3%
Stake: $8.93
1.28
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 66.6%
EV: +12.6%
Stake: $3.62
1.69
Win to Nil AZ Alkmaar NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 89%
EV: +10.3%
Stake: $10.00
1.24
Total Away Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 85.8%
EV: +9.0%
Stake: $9.26
1.27
Win To Nil Away No
Value
Prob: 89.5%
EV: +8.3%
Stake: $10.00
1.21
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-17 08:30:25
spinner

Trends for FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar Football 19 Feb, 2026 11:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    AZ Alkmaar create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FC Noah

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.15

✈️ AZ Alkmaar

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.05
Pressure
0.1

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FC Noah - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ AZ Alkmaar - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FC Noah - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
3

✈️ AZ Alkmaar - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: AZ Alkmaar has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider AZ Alkmaar handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.388
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.046
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC Noah):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (AZ Alkmaar):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar

FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-head statistics for Thu 19 Feb, 2026 @ 11:45 UEFA Conference League

Team comparison
Prediction
FC Noah AH+1
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
FC Noah
VS
AZ Alkmaar
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.00 PPG 0.00
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
67% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.91 Avg xG 1.40
FC Noah
D L D W L
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
18 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Dynamo Kyiv
2 0
FC Noah
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 17:45
FC Noah
2 1
Legia Warszawa
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Aberdeen
1 1
FC Noah
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
FC Noah
1 2
Sigma Olomouc
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
23 Oct 2025 - 19:00
Universitatea Craiova
1 1
FC Noah
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
2 Oct 2025 - 16:45
FC Noah
1 0
HNK Rijeka
AZ Alkmaar
D W L D W
Eredivisie 2025-2026
14 Feb 2026 - 17:45
Excelsior
1 2
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie 2025-2026
8 Feb 2026 - 13:30
AZ Alkmaar
1 1
Ajax
Eredivisie 2025-2026
31 Jan 2026 - 15:30
AZ Alkmaar
1 3
NEC Nijmegen
Eredivisie 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 11:15
Telstar
0 1
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie 2025-2026
21 Jan 2026 - 17:45
AZ Alkmaar
1 1
Excelsior
Eredivisie 2025-2026
17 Jan 2026 - 17:45
PEC Zwolle
3 1
AZ Alkmaar

FC Noah vs AZ Alkmaar: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC Noah and away matches for AZ Alkmaar

Number of goals
FC Noah
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1X2
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
20% 2
30% 3
Total Corners
FC Noah
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
7.5
100% 6
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 6
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 6
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 6
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3
xG(xGa)
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
xG
0.91
1.85
xGa
1.11
0.84
Number of goals
FC Noah
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
Number of goals
FC Noah
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
3.15 xG 1.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found