FC Midtjylland vs Genk: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 11 December, 2025 12:45
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FC Midtjylland
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC Midtjylland vs Genk Thursday, Dec 11th, 2025 at 12:45 Football
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Trends for FC Midtjylland vs Genk Football 11 Dec, 2025 12:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🧱
Defensive Fortress
FC Midtjylland have league's best defense — hard to break down
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🎯
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for FC Midtjylland vs Genk, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — FC Midtjylland @ 1.91 ✅ 
✅FC Midtjylland
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%FC Midtjylland score 2.40 goals/match at home (+80% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague5/570%FC Midtjylland rank 2 of 45 in scoring at home (2.40 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- League Best DefenseLeague5/570%FC Midtjylland concede only 0.40 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent10/10100%FC Midtjylland create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.57 
FC Midtjylland(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague3/560%FC Midtjylland score well (2.40/match) but have strong defense at home (0.40 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 60% of matches
Genk(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague2/367%Genk score (3.33/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 50%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.66 ✅ 
FC Midtjylland(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%FC Midtjylland score 2.40 goals/match at home (+80% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague5/570%FC Midtjylland rank 2 of 45 in scoring at home (2.40 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
Genk(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Genk score 3.33 goals/match in away matches (+150% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent3/475%Genk score 2+ goals per match in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Europa League (Away) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent3/475%Genk have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Europa League (Away) matches
🛡️ Double Chance — FC Midtjylland Win or Draw @ 1.28 ✅ 
✅FC Midtjylland
- League Best DefenseLeague5/570%FC Midtjylland concede only 0.40 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals — FC Midtjylland Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.71 ✅ 
✅FC Midtjylland
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%FC Midtjylland score 2.40 goals/match at home (+80% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague5/570%FC Midtjylland rank 2 of 45 in scoring at home (2.40 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- Scored 1+Recent10/10100%FC Midtjylland scored 1+ goals in their last 10 10 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
FC Midtjylland(2 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague11/1190%FC Midtjylland average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-19% below league avg 2.1)
- Few CardsRecent8/1080%FC Midtjylland receive 0-1 card in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
Genk(2 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague7/784.5%Genk average 1.9 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 2.1)
- Many CardsRecent3/475%Genk receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Europa League (Away) matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.80 ✅ 
FC Midtjylland(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-13% below league)
- Few CornersLeague5/578%FC Midtjylland average 4.0 corners/match at home (-13% below league avg 4.6)
Genk(2 trends) — avg 3.0 (-34% below league)
- Few CornersLeague3/385%Genk average 3.0 corners/match in away matches (-34% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent3/475%Genk win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Europa League (Away) matches
+11 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FC Midtjylland vs Genk
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: FC Midtjylland is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: FC Midtjylland is stronger in the second half (16 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: FC Midtjylland is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FC Midtjylland
✈️ Genk
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FC Midtjylland - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Genk - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FC Midtjylland - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Genk - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: FC Midtjylland often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of FC Midtjylland scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: FC Midtjylland is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider FC Midtjylland to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: FC Midtjylland shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of FC Midtjylland winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: FC Midtjylland excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of FC Midtjylland scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: FC Midtjylland has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider FC Midtjylland handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC Midtjylland):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Genk):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
FC Midtjylland vs Genk Head-to-head statistics for Thu 11 Dec, 2025 @ 12:45 UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland vs Genk: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC Midtjylland and away matches for Genk
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15.9% Low 6.00 | 2.2% Low 15.00 |
| -2 | 24.6% Low 5.25 | 4.9% Low 16.50 |
| -1.5 | 33.3% Low 3.11 | 7.6% Low 8.00 |
| -1 | 45.1% Low 2.48 | 14.3% Low 6.55 |
| -0.5 | 57.0% Medium 1.86 | 20.9% Low 3.97 |
| +0.5 | 79.1% High 1.25 | 43.0% Low 2.05 |
| +1 | 85.7% High 1.05 | 54.9% Medium 1.57 |
| +1.5 | 92.3% High 1.06 | 66.7% Medium 1.39 |
| +2 | 95.1% High 1.01 | 75.4% High 1.16 |
| +2.5 | 97.8% High 1.01 | 84.1% High 1.12 |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 63.81% | Medium | 1.71 |
| Under 1.5 | 36.19% | Low | 2.24 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 38.38% | Low | 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 61.62% | Medium | 1.50 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 36.92% | Low | 3.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 63.08% | Medium | 1.37 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 14.99% | Low | 7.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 85.01% | High | 1.11 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
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| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.4 | 12 | 2.3 | 14 | 2.4 | 26 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0.7 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.2 | 6 | 2.2 | 13 | 1.7 | 19 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.5 | 5 |
| Corners | 2.4 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Fouls | 7.8 | 39 | 9 | 54 | 8.5 | 93 |
| Offsides | 1.2 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1.1 | 12 |
| Shots | 8.6 | 43 | 10.3 | 62 | 9.5 | 105 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.2 | 26 | 3.2 | 19 | 4.1 | 45 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.8 | 3 | 3.3 | 10 | 1.9 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.1 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 6 | 2.3 | 7 | 1.9 | 13 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 3.7 | 26 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 45 | 10.7 | 32 | 11 | 77 |
| Offsides | 2.5 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2.3 | 16 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 41 | 15.3 | 46 | 12.4 | 87 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.8 | 15 | 7.7 | 23 | 5.4 | 38 |

