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11 Dec 2025-17:45
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
5th place
- : -
11 Dec 2025 12:45
Genk
Genk
6th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

FC Midtjylland vs Genk: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 11 December, 2025 12:45

1×2 Prediction
FC Midtjylland
56%23%21%
FC MidtjyllandDrawGenk
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
64%36%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
65%35%
YesNo
Team Total - FC Midtjylland
Over 1.5
62%38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Team Total - Genk
Under 1.5
62%38%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
FC Midtjylland/Draw
79%21%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Genk +1.5
67%33%
Away +1.5NOT Away +1.5
Best Tip Value
Goals Over/Under +2.5
Odds: 1.66
64.3%
EV: +6.8%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.17 vs 1.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.03%
0:1
4.3%
0:2
2.3%
0:3
0.82%
0:4
0.22%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
7.69%
1:1
9.26%
1:2
5.51%
1:3
2.16%
1:4
0.63%
1:5
0.15%
2
2:0
7.33%
2:1
9.85%
🔥
2:2
6.47%
2:3
2.78%
2:4
0.88%
2:5
0.22%
3
3:0
4.66%
3:1
6.9%
3:2
4.98%
3:3
2.34%
3:4
0.81%
3:5
0.22%
4
4:0
2.22%
4:1
3.6%
4:2
2.83%
4:3
1.44%
4:4
0.54%
4:5
0.16%
5
5:0
0.85%
5:1
1.49%
5:2
1.27%
5:3
0.7%
5:4
0.28%
5:5
0.09%
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.8%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.0%
0
12.0%
1
18.9%
2
20.8%
3
18.0%
4
12.9%
5
7.7%
6
3.7%
7
1.5%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

FC Midtjylland
vs
Genk
Dec 11, 17:45
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:
Last 6 Matches
FC Midtjylland
VS
Genk
3/6 (50%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
2.40 PPG 2.00
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
67% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
- Avg xG 1.27
FC Midtjylland
W W L L W
Superliga 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 15:00
FC Midtjylland
6 0
FC Nordsjaelland
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 17:45
AS Roma
2 1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Sonderjyske
2 1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Randers FC
0 2
FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
FC Midtjylland
3 1
Celtic
Superliga 2025-2026
3 Nov 2025 - 18:00
FC Midtjylland
1 1
Aarhus
Genk
W D L W W
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Genk
2 1
OH Leuven
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Genk
2 1
FC Basel 1893
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 12:30
Genk
0 1
KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Gent
1 1
Genk
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 20:00
SC Braga
3 4
Genk
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 12:30
KVC Westerlo
0 1
Genk
58% Draw 20%
64% Over 2.5 36%
65% Both Teams Score 35%
2.04 xPTS 0.96
2.17 xG [Total: 3.50] 1.33
1 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
5 Corners [Total: 10] 5
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 1
10 Fouls [Total: 23] 13
6 Shots on Goal [Total: 12] 7
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, FC Midtjylland will take on Genk as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 6 and will take place on 2025-12-11 at 2025-12-11 in the famous MCH Arena. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC Midtjylland, and the visiting side, Genk. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : FC Midtjylland or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-11 Time: 17:45 Location: MCH Arena Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC Midtjylland vs Genk Thursday, Dec 11th, 2025 at 12:45 Football

Value Bets

4 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Match Winner FC Midtjylland
Odds: 1.91
56.4%
EV: +7.6% Kelly: $4.20
Bet Now
Value
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Odds: 1.66
64.3%
EV: +6.8% Kelly: $5.12
Bet Now
Value
BTTS Yes
Odds: 1.57
64.8%
EV: +1.7% Kelly: $1.48
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Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.28
79.2%
EV: +1.3% Kelly: $2.34
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 03:00:19
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Trends for FC Midtjylland vs Genk Football 11 Dec, 2025 12:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    FC Midtjylland have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🎯
    Goal Fest Potential

    Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display

+6 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

FC Midtjylland vs Genk

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: FC Midtjylland is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: FC Midtjylland is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: FC Midtjylland is stronger in the second half (16 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: FC Midtjylland is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FC Midtjylland

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.33
Pressure
0.22

✈️ Genk

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FC Midtjylland - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6

✈️ Genk - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FC Midtjylland - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
11
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Genk - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: FC Midtjylland often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of FC Midtjylland scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: FC Midtjylland is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9)
  • First Half Result: Consider FC Midtjylland to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: FC Midtjylland shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 8 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of FC Midtjylland winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: FC Midtjylland excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of FC Midtjylland scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: FC Midtjylland has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider FC Midtjylland handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.288
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.172
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.06

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC Midtjylland):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Genk):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

FC Midtjylland
Genk

FC Midtjylland vs Genk Head-to-head statistics for Thu 11 Dec, 2025 @ 12:45 UEFA Europa League

FC Midtjylland vs Genk: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC Midtjylland and away matches for Genk

Number of goals

Number of goals
FC Midtjylland
Under
Over
Genk
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
FC Midtjylland
Genk
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3

1X2

1X2
FC Midtjylland
Genk
1
60% 6
50% 5
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
20% 2
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
FC Midtjylland
Genk
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
40% 4
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
FC Midtjylland
Genk
0-1
0% 0
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
40% 4
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
FC Midtjylland
Under
Over
Genk
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
FC Midtjylland
Genk
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
FC Midtjylland
Genk
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
30% 3

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
FC Midtjylland
Genk
xG
1.77
1.24
xGa
1.03
1.31

Number of goals

Number of goals
FC Midtjylland
Under
Over
Genk
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
FC Midtjylland
Genk
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6

1X2

1X2
FC Midtjylland
Genk
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
20% 2
60% 6
2
20% 2
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
FC Midtjylland
Genk
12
80% 8
40% 4
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
40% 4
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
FC Midtjylland
Genk
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
20% 2
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
FC Midtjylland
Genk
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5

Number of goals

Number of goals
FC Midtjylland
Under
Over
Genk
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
FC Midtjylland
Genk
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

1X2

1X2
FC Midtjylland
Genk
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
30% 3
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
FC Midtjylland
Genk
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
50% 5
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
FC Midtjylland
Genk
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
FC Midtjylland
Genk
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : FC Midtjylland or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
15.9%
Low
6.00
2.2%
Low
15.00
-2
24.6%
Low
5.25
4.9%
Low
16.50
-1.5
33.3%
Low
3.11
7.6%
Low
8.00
-1
45.1%
Low
2.48
14.3%
Low
6.55
-0.5
57.0%
Medium
1.86
20.9%
Low
3.97
+0.5
79.1%
High
1.25
43.0%
Low
2.05
+1
85.7%
High
1.05
54.9%
Medium
1.57
+1.5
92.3%
High
1.06
66.7%
Medium
1.39
+2
95.1%
High
1.01
75.4%
High
1.16
+2.5
97.8%
High
1.01
84.1%
High
1.12
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.563.81%Medium1.71
Under 1.536.19%Low2.24
AwayOver 1.538.38%Low2.75
Under 1.561.62%Medium1.50
HomeOver 2.536.92%Low3.25
Under 2.563.08%Medium1.37
AwayOver 2.514.99%Low7.30
Under 2.585.01%High1.11
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
FC Midtjylland
Genk
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 5 6 11
Wins 4 5 9
Draws 1 0 1
Losses 0 1 1
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.4 12 2.3 14 2.4 26
Goals Conceded 0.4 2 1 6 0.7 8
Yellow Cards 1.2 6 2.2 13 1.7 19
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.6 3 0.3 2 0.5 5
Corners 2.4 12 5 30 3.8 42
Fouls 7.8 39 9 54 8.5 93
Offsides 1.2 6 1 6 1.1 12
Shots 8.6 43 10.3 62 9.5 105
Shots on Goal 5.2 26 3.2 19 4.1 45
Home Away All
Played 4 3 7
Wins 1 3 4
Draws 1 0 1
Losses 2 0 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.8 3 3.3 10 1.9 13
Goals Conceded 1 4 1.3 4 1.1 8
Yellow Cards 1.5 6 2.3 7 1.9 13
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.3 1 0.3 1 0.3 2
Corners 4.3 17 3 9 3.7 26
Fouls 11.3 45 10.7 32 11 77
Offsides 2.5 10 2 6 2.3 16
Shots 10.3 41 15.3 46 12.4 87
Shots on Goal 3.8 15 7.7 23 5.4 38
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