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Süper Lig 2025-2026 | Matchweek 16
14 Dec 2025-14:00
Fatih Karagümrük
Fatih Karagümrük
18th place
- : -
14 Dec 2025 9:00
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
8th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 9:00

1×2 Prediction
Fatih Karagümrük
45%28%27%
Fatih KaragümrükDrawKocaelispor
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
59%41%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
54%46%
NoYes
Team Total - Fatih Karagümrük
Under 2.5
85%15%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Kocaelispor
Under 2.5
92%8%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Fatih Karagümrük/Draw
73%27%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Fatih Karagümrük +1
81%19%
Home +1NOT Home +1

No betting tips available for this match.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.34 vs 0.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.85%
0:1
9.66%
0:2
4.74%
0:3
1.55%
0:4
0.38%
0:5
0.07%
1
1:0
13.11%
🔥
1:1
12.95%
1:2
6.39%
1:3
2.1%
1:4
0.52%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
8.72%
2:1
8.68%
2:2
4.32%
2:3
1.43%
2:4
0.36%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
3.87%
3:1
3.88%
3:2
1.94%
3:3
0.65%
3:4
0.16%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
1.29%
4:1
1.3%
4:2
0.65%
4:3
0.22%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.34%
5:1
0.35%
5:2
0.18%
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.9%
0
22.8%
1
26.4%
2
20.5%
3
12.0%
4
5.6%
5
2.1%
6
0.6%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Fatih Karagümrük
vs
Kocaelispor
Dec 14, 14:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Süper Lig 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
14
6
4
4
21
22
-1
22
8
Kocaelispor
w l w d w
>
14
5
3
6
12
15
-3
18
9
14
4
4
6
19
16
3
16

17
Genclerbirligi
l l w l l
>
14
3
2
9
14
21
-7
11
18
14
2
2
10
13
26
-13
8
Last 6 Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
VS
Kocaelispor
1/6 (17%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
0.83 PPG 2.17
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.50
50% BTTS % 17%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.13 Avg xG 0.98
Fatih Karagümrük
D L W D L
Süper Lig 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Fatih Karagümrük
0 2
Besiktas
Süper Lig 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Eyüpspor
1 1
Fatih Karagümrük
Süper Lig 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Fatih Karagümrük
2 0
Konyaspor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
3 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Rizespor
1 0
Fatih Karagümrük
Süper Lig 2025-2026
24 Oct 2025 - 17:00
Fatih Karagümrük
2 2
Kayserispor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
19 Oct 2025 - 17:00
Fenerbahce
2 1
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
W L W D W
Süper Lig 2025-2026
28 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Kocaelispor
1 0
Genclerbirligi
Süper Lig 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Goztepe
0 0
Kocaelispor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Kocaelispor
1 0
Galatasaray
Süper Lig 2025-2026
31 Oct 2025 - 17:00
Istanbul Basaksehir
1 0
Kocaelispor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 14:00
Kocaelispor
2 0
Alanyaspor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
18 Oct 2025 - 11:30
Konyaspor
2 3
Kocaelispor
45% Draw 27%
41% Over 2.5 59%
46% Both Teams Score 54%
1.76 xPTS 1.24
1.34 xG [Total: 2.33] 0.99
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 5] 4
3 Corners [Total: 9] 6
2 Offsides [Total: 4] 2
14 Fouls [Total: 32] 18
3 Shots on Goal [Total: 6] 3
In this exciting Süper Lig 2025-2026 matchup, Fatih Karagümrük will take on Kocaelispor as part of the 2025-2026 season in Süper Lig. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Fatih Karagümrük, and the visiting side, Kocaelispor. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Kocaelispor and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-14 Time: 14:00 Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 9:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor Football 14 Dec, 2025 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Fatih Karagümrük struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent home matches

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Fatih Karagümrük is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Fatih Karagümrük is stronger in the second half (17 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Fatih Karagümrük is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Fatih Karagümrük

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.17

✈️ Kocaelispor

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
14
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Fatih Karagümrük - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

✈️ Kocaelispor - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.21
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.36
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.71
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Fatih Karagümrük - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Kocaelispor - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Fatih Karagümrük is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Fatih Karagümrük to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Fatih Karagümrük shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Fatih Karagümrük winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Fatih Karagümrük excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 7 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Fatih Karagümrük scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Kocaelispor has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Kocaelispor handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.118
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.013
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.011 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.039 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Fatih Karagümrük):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Kocaelispor):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor

Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 9:00 Süper Lig

Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fatih Karagümrük and away matches for Kocaelispor

Number of goals

Number of goals
Fatih Karagümrük
Under
Over
Kocaelispor
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
70% 7
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
30% 3
70% 7
X2
90% 9
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
0-1
10% 1
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
30% 3
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
Fatih Karagümrük
Under
Over
Kocaelispor
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
Yes
10% 1
50% 5
No
90% 9
50% 5

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
xG
1.09
0.89
xGa
1.7
0.96

Number of goals

Number of goals
Fatih Karagümrük
Under
Over
Kocaelispor
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
30% 3
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
70% 7
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
Yes
70% 7
80% 8
No
30% 3
20% 2

Number of goals

Number of goals
Fatih Karagümrük
Under
Over
Kocaelispor
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
20% 2
60% 6
2
60% 6
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
12
80% 8
40% 4
1X
40% 4
80% 8
X2
80% 8
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or Kocaelispor and -3.5 goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
7.5%
Low
N/A
2.7%
Low
N/A
-2
14.2%
Low
N/A
6.3%
Low
N/A
-1.5
20.8%
Low
N/A
9.9%
Low
N/A
-1
32.8%
Low
N/A
18.8%
Low
N/A
-0.5
44.7%
Low
N/A
27.6%
Low
N/A
+0.5
72.4%
High
N/A
55.3%
Medium
N/A
+1
81.2%
High
N/A
67.2%
Medium
N/A
+1.5
90.1%
High
N/A
79.2%
High
N/A
+2
93.7%
High
N/A
85.8%
High
N/A
+2.5
97.3%
High
N/A
92.4%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.538.73%LowN/A
Under 1.561.27%MediumN/A
AwayOver 1.526.06%LowN/A
Under 1.573.94%HighN/A
HomeOver 2.515.22%LowN/A
Under 2.584.78%HighN/A
AwayOver 2.57.85%LowN/A
Under 2.592.15%HighN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 8 6 14
Wins 1 1 2
Draws 1 1 2
Losses 6 4 10
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.9 7 1 6 0.9 13
Goals Conceded 1.9 15 1.8 11 1.9 26
Yellow Cards 2 16 2.2 13 2.1 29
Red Cards 0 0.3 2 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Corners 3.1 25 4.5 27 3.7 52
Fouls 14.4 115 13.7 82 14.1 197
Offsides 2.4 19 2.2 13 2.3 32
Shots 10 80 11.3 68 10.6 148
Shots on Goal 2.5 20 3 18 2.7 38
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 4 1 5
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 1 5 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 7 0.7 5 0.9 12
Goals Conceded 0.4 3 1.7 12 1.1 15
Yellow Cards 2 14 3 21 2.5 35
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.6 4 0.1 1 0.4 5
Corners 4.1 29 4.6 32 4.4 61
Fouls 13.6 95 15 105 14.3 200
Offsides 2.6 18 1.4 10 2 28
Shots 11.9 83 8 56 9.9 139
Shots on Goal 4.3 30 2.6 18 3.4 48
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