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Famalicao vs Estrela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 27 December, 2025 13:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.85 vs 0.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.06%
⭐
0:1
3.3%
0:2
0.45%
0:3
0.04%
0:4
0%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
19.54%
🔥
⭐
1:1
8.16%
1:2
1.5%
1:3
0.17%
1:4
0.01%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
15.82%
⭐
2:1
8.89%
2:2
2.17%
2:3
0.31%
2:4
0.03%
2:5
0%
3
3:0
8.54%
⭐
3:1
6.04%
3:2
1.86%
3:3
0.34%
3:4
0.04%
3:5
0%
4
4:0
3.46%
4:1
2.94%
4:2
1.11%
4:3
0.25%
4:4
0.04%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
1.12%
5:1
1.12%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.13%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (19.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
7
4
4
26
13
13
25
6
6
5
4
18
10
8
23
7
▲
6
3
6
21
24
-3
21
13
▼
4
4
7
11
15
-4
16
14
▼
3
6
6
17
22
-5
15
15
▲
3
4
8
16
29
-13
13
2.01
xG
0.40
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Famalicao
VS
Estrela
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.33
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
33%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.23
Avg xG
1.37
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Famalicao will take on Estrela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-27 at 2025-12-27 in the famous Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Famalicao, and the visiting side, Estrela. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Famalicao or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-27
Time: 18:00
Location: Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Famalicao vs Estrela Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 13:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Famalicao vs Estrela Football 27 Dec, 2025 13:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Famalicao have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Famalicao create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Famalicao vs Estrela, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Famalicao @ 1.61 ✅ 
Famalicao
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%Famalicao are unbeaten in their last 3 4 matches
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Famalicao concede only 0.63 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Estrela
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Famalicao confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.82 ⚠️ 
Famalicao(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague6/875%Famalicao score well (1.38/match) but have strong defense at home (0.63 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 75% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H4/4100%At least one team failed to score in their last 4 Primeira Liga matches
Famalicao rarely concede (100% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.95 ⚠️ 
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/475%Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 H2H matches (75.0%%)
Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
🛡️ Double Chance — Famalicao Win or Draw @ 1.16 ✅ 
Famalicao
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/4100%Famalicao are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%Famalicao are unbeaten in their last 3 4 matches
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Famalicao concede only 0.63 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1587%Famalicao are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Estrela
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Famalicao dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Famalicao Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.78 ⚠️
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Famalicao(1 trends) — avg 2.7
- Few CardsH2H3/475%Famalicao receive 0-1 card in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches
Estrela(2 trends) — avg 3 (+11% above league)
- Many CardsH2H4/4100%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.0 cards per match in their last 4 H2H matches
Famalicao disciplined play balances Estrela aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00 ✅ 
Famalicao(1 trends) — avg 5.1 (+1% above league)
- Few CornersH2H3/475%Famalicao win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches
Estrela(2 trends) — avg 3.8 (-18% below league)
- Few CornersH2H3/475%Estrela win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches
- Few CornersLeague7/783%Estrela average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-18% below league avg 4.6)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00
+2 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Famalicao vs Estrela
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Famalicao is stronger in the second half (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Famalicao is stronger in the second half (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Famalicao
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Estrela
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Famalicao - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Estrela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Famalicao - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Estrela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider Estrela to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Famalicao shows superior performance after the break (11 vs 7 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Famalicao winning the second half
- Overall Result: Famalicao has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Famalicao handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.192
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.028
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Famalicao):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estrela):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Famalicao vs Estrela Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 13:00 Primeira Liga
Famalicao vs Estrela: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Famalicao and away matches for Estrela
Number of goals
Famalicao
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Famalicao
Estrela
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
Famalicao
Estrela
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Famalicao
Estrela
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Famalicao
Estrela
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Total Corners
Famalicao
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Famalicao
Estrela
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Famalicao
Estrela
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Famalicao
Estrela
xG
1.5
1.37
xGa
1.04
1.42
Number of goals
Famalicao
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Famalicao
Estrela
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Famalicao
Estrela
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Famalicao
Estrela
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Famalicao
Estrela
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Famalicao
Estrela
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Famalicao
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Famalicao
Estrela
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
Famalicao
Estrela
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Famalicao
Estrela
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Famalicao
Estrela
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Famalicao
Estrela
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Famalicao to Win
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.87%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 55.29% | Medium | 1.78 |
| Under 1.5 | 44.71% | Low | 2.10 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 9.24% | Low | 4.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 90.76% | High | 1.22 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 28.37% | Low | 3.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 71.63% | High | 1.33 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 1.49% | Low | 15.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 98.51% | High | 1.04 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Famalicao
Estrela
Played:
4
Wins
1
1
Draws
2
2
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
3
0.8
Goals
0.3
1
1
0.3
Goals Conceded
0.8
3
6
1.5
Yellow Cards
3.3
13
1
0.3
Red Cards
0
3
0.8
Clean Sheets
0.8
3
15
3.8
Corners
3.5
14
56
14
Fouls
15.5
62
7
1.8
Offsides
2.3
9
49
12.3
Shots
9.5
38
10
2.5
Shots on Goal
2.5
10
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 1.2 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 5 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.7 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 3 | 24 | 2.7 | 19 | 2.9 | 43 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 5 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.5 | 8 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 34 | 6 | 42 | 5.1 | 76 |
| Fouls | 17.6 | 141 | 18 | 126 | 17.8 | 267 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 10 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.2 | 18 |
| Shots | 12.4 | 99 | 12.3 | 86 | 12.3 | 185 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.5 | 36 | 3.9 | 27 | 4.2 | 63 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 1.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 9 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.5 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 20 | 2.4 | 17 | 2.5 | 37 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 34 | 2.1 | 15 | 3.3 | 49 |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 105 | 14 | 98 | 13.5 | 203 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 14 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.6 | 24 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 117 | 8.3 | 58 | 11.7 | 175 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 31 | 3.3 | 23 | 3.6 | 54 |
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