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Form
Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 23
Preview
Famalicao
Famalicao
7th place
Form
VS
20:15
23 Feb 2026
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
13th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Famalicao or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Famalicao vs Casa Pia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 23 February, 2026 14:15

Winner (1x2)-
Famalicao to Win
Probability 70%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 53%
Double Chance-
Famalicao/Draw
Probability 91%
Asian Handicap-
Famalicao +2.5
Probability 100%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20:15
Famalicao W 70%
:
Casa Pia W 9%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Famalicao
w w l w l
11 Played
5 Wins
2 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (19 total)
xG
1.40 (15.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (141 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (35% acc)
Corners
4.8 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (55%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
15.9 (175 total)
Offsides
1.1 (12 total)
11 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (8 total)
xG
1.10 (12.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (113 total)
Shots on Target
3 (29% acc)
Corners
4.5 (50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
17.6 (194 total)
Offsides
0.9 (10 total)
22 Played
9 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (27 total)
xG
1.20 (27.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (254 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (33% acc)
Corners
4.7 (103 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
16.8 (369 total)
Offsides
1 (22 total)
Casa Pia
l d w d w
11 Played
2 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (15 total)
xG
0.90 (9.7 total)
Shots per Match
7.5 (83 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (36% acc)
Corners
2.8 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.4 (169 total)
Offsides
0.9 (10 total)
11 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (10 total)
xG
0.90 (9.8 total)
Shots per Match
8.9 (98 total)
Shots on Target
3 (34% acc)
Corners
3.7 (41 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.4 (158 total)
Offsides
1.8 (20 total)
22 Played
5 Wins
7 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (25 total)
xG
0.90 (19.5 total)
Shots per Match
8.2 (181 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (35% acc)
Corners
3.3 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.9 (327 total)
Offsides
1.4 (30 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No Asian Handicap predictions available

No Team Total predictions available

In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Famalicao will take on Casa Pia as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-23 at 2026-02-23 in the famous Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Famalicao, and the visiting side, Casa Pia. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Famalicao or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-23 Time: 20:15 Location: Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Famalicao vs Casa Pia Monday, Feb 23rd, 2026 at 14:15 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-17 03:00:18
spinner

Trends for Famalicao vs Casa Pia Football 23 Feb, 2026 14:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Famalicao have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Famalicao create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Famalicao vs Casa Pia

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Casa Pia is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (13 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Famalicao is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Famalicao

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.33
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Casa Pia

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Famalicao - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Casa Pia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Famalicao - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
1

✈️ Casa Pia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Casa Pia often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Casa Pia scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (13 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider Casa Pia to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Famalicao excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Famalicao scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Famalicao has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Famalicao handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.165
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.002
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.098

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Famalicao):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Casa Pia):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Famalicao
Casa Pia

Famalicao vs Casa Pia Head-to-head statistics for Mon 23 Feb, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
Moreirense
l w l l w
>
22
10
3
9
29
30
-1
33
7
Famalicao
w w l w l
>
22
9
5
8
27
21
6
32
8
Guimaraes
l l w l w
>
22
9
4
9
25
31
-6
31

12
Arouca
w l w w l
>
22
6
5
11
28
49
-21
23
13
Casa Pia
l d w d w
>
22
5
7
10
25
41
-16
22
14
Nacional
l w l d l
>
22
5
6
11
27
31
-4
21
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Famalicao or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Famalicao
VS
Casa Pia
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
2 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (8)
0.9 (6)
xG
2.20
0.70
Shots
14.3 (100)
9.1 (64)
Shots on Target
4.7 (33)
2.7 (19)
Corners
5 (35)
5.3 (37)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 (6)
1.1 (8)
xGa
0.70
2.20
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 (17)
2.7 (19)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.3 (2)
Fouls
13.3 (93)
14.6 (102)
Offsides
2.1 (15)
1.9 (13)
21 Sep
- 19:30
Casa Pia
Famalicao
1.04
xG
2.17
1
1
Prob 73%
Home Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.29
16 May
- 18:00
Famalicao
Casa Pia
3.26
xG
0.26
2
1
Prob 85%
Double Chance 1X
Odd 1.28
5 Jan
- 18:00
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0.69
xG
1.28
1
1
17 May
- 17:45
Famalicao
Casa Pia
1
2
13 Jan
- 15:30
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
13 Mar
- 20:15
Famalicao
Casa Pia
1
0
18 Sep
- 17:00
Casa Pia
Famalicao
1
0
Last 6 Matches
Famalicao
VS
Casa Pia
3/6 (50%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.50 PPG 1.33
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
17% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
0.94 Avg xG 1.21
Famalicao
W W L W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 20:30
Sporting CP
1 0
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Feb 2026 - 18:45
Famalicao
3 1
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 15:30
GIL Vicente
5 0
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Famalicao
3 0
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Santa Clara
0 1
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 20:30
Alverca
1 0
Famalicao
Casa Pia
L D W D W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Casa Pia
3 2
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
0 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Feb 2026 - 20:45
Casa Pia
2 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Casa Pia
3 3
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Sporting CP
3 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Rio Ave
3 1
Casa Pia

Famalicao vs Casa Pia: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Famalicao and away matches for Casa Pia

Number of goals
Famalicao
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
1X2
Famalicao
Casa Pia
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
0% 0
40% 4
2
60% 6
30% 3
Double Chance
Famalicao
Casa Pia
12
100% 10
60% 6
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Famalicao
Casa Pia
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
40% 4
30% 3
Total Corners
Famalicao
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Famalicao
Casa Pia
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Famalicao
Casa Pia
xG
1.25
0.91
xGa
1.29
1.64
Number of goals
Famalicao
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Famalicao
Casa Pia
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Famalicao
Casa Pia
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Famalicao
Casa Pia
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
Famalicao
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Famalicao
Casa Pia
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
Famalicao
Casa Pia
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Famalicao
Casa Pia
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
10% 1
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1.88 xG 0.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found