Form
Form
Eredivisie 2026-2027 • Matchweek 4
Preview
Excelsior
Excelsior
10th place
Form
VS
14:30
29 Aug 2026
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
7th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Sparta Rotterdam
1 2.45 X 3.88 2 2.8
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 29 August, 2026 9:30

Winner (1x2)2.42
Excelsior to Win
Probability 38%
Total Goals1.52
Over 2.5
Probability 51%
Both Teams to Score1.50
Yes
Probability 55%
Excelsior Total1.25
Home Under 2.5
Probability 84%
Sparta Rotterdam Total1.79
Away Under 1.5
Probability 61%
Double Chance1.50
Excelsior/Draw
Probability 64%
Asian Handicap1.28
Sparta Rotterdam +1
Probability 75%
<
>
Best Tip PREMIUM

Today free quota for this competition is already allocated.

Upgrade to Premium
Prediction League
Eredivisie 2026-2027
• 14:30
Excelsior W 38%
:
Sparta Rotterdam W 36%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.38 vs 1.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.6%
⭐
0:1
8.89%
⭐
0:2
5.99%
⭐
0:3
2.69%
0:4
0.91%
0:5
0.24%
1
1:0
9.08%
⭐
1:1
12.24%
🔥
1:2
8.25%
1:3
3.7%
1:4
1.25%
1:5
0.34%
2
2:0
6.25%
⭐
2:1
8.42%
2:2
5.67%
2:3
2.55%
2:4
0.86%
2:5
0.23%
3
3:0
2.87%
3:1
3.86%
3:2
2.6%
3:3
1.17%
3:4
0.39%
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
0.99%
4:1
1.33%
4:2
0.9%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.14%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.27%
5:1
0.37%
5:2
0.25%
5:3
0.11%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.6%
0
18.0%
1
24.5%
2
22.2%
3
15.1%
4
8.2%
5
3.6%
6
1.3%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Eredivisie 2026-2027

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
6
Ajax
Ajax
w d
>
2
1
1
0
4
2
2
4
7
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
l w d
>
3
1
1
1
6
5
1
4
8
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
d w l
>
3
1
1
1
5
5
0
4
9
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
w d l
>
3
1
1
1
3
4
-1
4
10
Excelsior
Excelsior
w l
>
2
1
0
1
5
2
3
3
11
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
l w
>
2
1
0
1
5
3
2
3
Eredivisie 2026-2027

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

ExcelsiorHDPSparta Rotterdam
4.6%
Very Low@ 9.10
-2.5
4.3%
@ 9.50Very Low
9.7%
Very Low@ 8.30
-2
9.2%
@ 8.50Very Low
14.8%
Very Low@ 4.50
-1.5
14.0%
@ 5.00Very Low
25.5%
Low@ 3.71
-1
24.5%
@ 4.34Low
36.2%
Low@ 2.42
-0.5
34.9%
@ 2.69Low
65.1%
High@ 1.52
+0.5
63.8%
@ 1.60High
75.5%
High@ 1.23
+1
74.5%
@ 1.28High
86.0%
Very High@ 1.17
+1.5
85.2%
@ 1.20Very High
90.8%
Very High@ 1.03
+2
90.3%
@ 1.02Very High
95.7%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
95.4%
@ 1.04Very High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

ExcelsiorOutcomeSparta Rotterdam
37.0%
Low@ 1.91
Over 1.5
36.1%
@ 2.10Low
63.1%
High@ 1.89
Under 1.5
63.9%
@ 1.79High
14.7%
Very Low@ 3.90
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 4.50Very Low
83.9%
Very High@ 1.25
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.23Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Saturday, Aug 29th, 2026 at 9:30 Football

AI Value Bets

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam

Premium

PREMIUM AI Value Bets

Value bets, expected value and Kelly stakes are available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-08-25 02:30:45
Home Draw Away
10Bet 2.38 3.70 2.64
William Hill 2.38 3.50 2.60
Bet365 2.20 3.70 2.80
Unibet 2.35 3.70 2.65
Betfair 2.30 3.70 2.63
Pinnacle 2.42 3.77 2.69
SBO 2.28 3.37 2.53
Betano 2.45 3.70 2.70
Dafabet 2.41 3.75 2.80
spinner

Trends for Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Football 29 Aug, 2026 9:30

Team Form Comparison

Excelsior Home
Form Index 44
Goals 8:7
PPG 0.80
Sparta Rotterdam Away
Form Index 43
Goals 4:13
PPG 0.80
HEELNIJLUTRWVOLDPSVL
AJALBREDSTOLTWELSTOW
1/5
Won
1/5
4/5
Scored
2/5
1/5
Scored 2+
1/5
1/5
Clean sheet
1/5
3/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
3/5
BTTS
2/5

Excelsior

HEELNIJLUTRWVOLDPSVL
Won 1/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 3/5

Sparta Rotterdam

AJALBREDSTOLTWELSTOW
Won 1/5
Scored 2/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 4
BTTS 3/4
Over 2.5 3/4

ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Excelsior Home
Sparta Rotterdam Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Second half: Sparta Rotterdam is stronger (21 vs 12).
  • Final stage: Sparta Rotterdam is stronger in the closing minutes (16 vs 4).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.31 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.19

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
4 0.20
Fast Start (0–15)
2 0.10
10 0.50
First Half (0–45)
9 0.45
12 0.60
Second Half (46–90)
21 1.05
4 0.20
Final Stage (76–90)
16 0.80

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.091 Moderate
Pressure Away +0.117 Strong
Timing Away +0.020 Weak
Defense Home +0.023 Weak

Momentum

Excelsior Metric Sparta Rotterdam
5 Positive Sequences 7
10 Comeback Goals 10
2 Negative Sequences 0
9 Killer Goals 8

Pressure

Excelsior Metric Sparta Rotterdam
4 Early Pressure 2
4 Late Pressure 16
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Excelsior Metric Sparta Rotterdam
4 Fast Starts 2
6 Half-time Spurts 7
8 Second Half Starts 5
4 Late Surges 16

Defense

Excelsior Metric Sparta Rotterdam
3 Early Conceded 3
6 Late Conceded 9
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Second half winner: high probability of Sparta Rotterdam winning the second half.
  • Late goals: Sparta Rotterdam excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Excelsior holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Excelsior

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Sparta Rotterdam

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Sparta Rotterdam has a significant second-half and late-game edge. Look at second-half result, late goals, and away win markets.

Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-head statistics for Sat 29 Aug, 2026 @ 9:30 Eredivisie

1 Played 1
0% 0-0-1 Win Rate 100% 1-0-0
— Form Index —
6.79 Team Rating 7.21
32 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Excelsior Sparta Rotterdam Results 22 78 Attack 0 100 Defense 10 90 Control 73 27 Discipline 50 50 Efficiency 38 62 Average 32 68 68

Attack

1
Goals
3
0.51
Expected Goals
2.54
5
Shots
16
2
Shots on Target
9
1
Corners
5

Defense

2
Conceded
1
2.24
Expected Goals Against
1.40
20
Shots Allowed
7
-1
Goal Difference
+2
0%
Clean Sheets
0%

Possession & Passing

41%
Possession
39%
80%
Pass Accuracy
78%
426
Passes
327
340
Accurate Passes
256

Discipline

1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
9
Fouls
17
1
Offsides
0

Efficiency

0
PPG
3
+0.49
Goals vs xG
+0.46
20%
Shot Conversion
19%
88%
Save %
—
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw
Under/Over: Over 2.5
Goals Home: 1.4
Goals Away: 1.3
Expected goals from the eScored model. Over/Under is the most likely 2.5 line.
Who Will Win

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for Sparta Rotterdam

Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
1X2
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
0-1
0% 0
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
50% 5
60% 6
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
xG
1.57
1.41
xGa
1.69
1.58
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
0-1
50% 5
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
1
40% 4
10% 1
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
60% 6
90% 9
Total Goals
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
30% 3
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1.38 Expected goals 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Eredivisie 2026-2027 matchup, Excelsior will take on Sparta Rotterdam as part of the 2026-2027 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 4 and will take place on 2026-08-29 at 2026-08-29 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, Sparta Rotterdam. The scoreline predictions suggest Excelsior Under 2.5 Goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-08-29 Time: 14:30 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.