Form
Form
Eredivisie 2026-2027 • Matchweek 8
Preview
Excelsior
Excelsior
10th place
Form
VS
14:45
11 Oct 2026
Groningen
Groningen
5th place
Form
Match Info -
1 - X - 2 -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Excelsior vs Groningen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 11 October, 2026 9:45

No prediction data available for this match.

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Prediction League
Eredivisie 2026-2027
• 14:45
Excelsior W 53%
:
Groningen W 26%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

No lambda data available for this match.

Eredivisie 2026-2027

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
4
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
w d w
>
3
2
1
0
8
4
4
7
5
Groningen
Groningen
w w l
>
3
2
0
1
7
7
0
6
6
Ajax
Ajax
w d
>
2
1
1
0
4
2
2
4
9
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
w d l
>
3
1
1
1
3
4
-1
4
10
Excelsior
Excelsior
w l
>
2
1
0
1
5
2
3
3
11
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
l w
>
2
1
0
1
5
3
2
3
Eredivisie 2026-2027

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Excelsior vs Groningen Sunday, Oct 11th, 2026 at 9:45 Football

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Excelsior vs Groningen

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Trends for Excelsior vs Groningen Football 11 Oct, 2026 9:45

Team Form Comparison

Excelsior Home
Form Index 44
Goals 8:7
PPG 0.80
Groningen Away
Form Index 47
Goals 8:12
PPG 1.20
HEELNIJLUTRWVOLDPSVL
FEYLHERWAJALHAAWPSVL
1/5
Won
2/5
4/5
Scored
4/5
1/5
Scored 2+
2/5
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
3/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
3/5
BTTS
4/5

Excelsior

HEELNIJLUTRWVOLDPSVL
Won 1/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 3/5

Groningen

FEYLHERWAJALHAAWPSVL
Won 2/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 4/5
Head-to-Head · Last 2
BTTS 1/2
Over 2.5 1/2

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚀
    Lightning Start

    Groningen score in first 15min 100% of matches — early goal likely

  • ⏰
    First Half Specialists

    Groningen score in 1st half 100% of matches — early goal threat before HT

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Excelsior Home
Groningen Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Second half: Groningen is stronger (16 vs 12).

Recommendation: Teams are evenly matched. Consider draw or exact score markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.31 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.12

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
4 0.20
Fast Start (0–15)
6 0.30
10 0.50
First Half (0–45)
12 0.60
12 0.60
Second Half (46–90)
16 0.80
4 0.20
Final Stage (76–90)
4 0.20

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.042 Weak
Pressure Away +0.049 Weak
Timing Away +0.015 Weak
Defense Home +0.060 Moderate

Momentum

Excelsior Metric Groningen
5 Positive Sequences 6
10 Comeback Goals 5
2 Negative Sequences 0
9 Killer Goals 11

Pressure

Excelsior Metric Groningen
4 Early Pressure 6
4 Late Pressure 4
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Excelsior Metric Groningen
4 Fast Starts 6
6 Half-time Spurts 6
8 Second Half Starts 12
4 Late Surges 4

Defense

Excelsior Metric Groningen
3 Early Conceded 4
6 Late Conceded 12
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Second half winner: high probability of Groningen winning the second half.
  • Match outcome: teams are evenly matched — consider draw or exact score markets.

Summary

Excelsior

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Groningen

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Excelsior
Groningen

Excelsior vs Groningen Head-to-head statistics for Sun 11 Oct, 2026 @ 9:45 Eredivisie

1 Played 2
0% 0-0-1 Win Rate 50% 1-0-1
— Form Index —
6.79 Team Rating 6.83
42 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Excelsior Groningen Results 25 75 Attack 0 100 Defense 51 49 Control 58 42 Discipline 55 45 Efficiency 62 38 Average 42 58 58

Attack

1
Goals
2.50
0.51
Expected Goals
2.15
5
Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
9
1
Corners
3

Defense

2
Conceded
3
2.24
Expected Goals Against
2.72
20
Shots Allowed
17
-1
Goal Difference
-0.50
0%
Clean Sheets
0%

Possession & Passing

41%
Possession
42%
80%
Pass Accuracy
79%
426
Passes
382
340
Accurate Passes
301

Discipline

1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
9
Fouls
7.5
1
Offsides
1.5

Efficiency

0
PPG
1.50
+0.49
Goals vs xG
+0.36
20%
Shot Conversion
21%
88%
Save %
63%
Team comparison

Excelsior vs Groningen: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for Groningen

Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Groningen
Yes
70% 7
70% 7
No
30% 3
30% 3
1X2
Excelsior
Groningen
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Excelsior
Groningen
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
60% 6
50% 5
Total Goals
Excelsior
Groningen
0-1
0% 0
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
50% 5
40% 4
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Groningen
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
Groningen
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
Groningen
xG
1.57
1.46
xGa
1.69
1.8
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Groningen
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Excelsior
Groningen
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Excelsior
Groningen
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Excelsior
Groningen
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Groningen
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Groningen
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1X2
Excelsior
Groningen
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Excelsior
Groningen
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Excelsior
Groningen
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Groningen
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1.97 Expected goals 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots Off Goal 9
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Eredivisie 2026-2027 matchup, Excelsior will take on Groningen as part of the 2026-2027 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 8 and will take place on 2026-10-11 at 2026-10-11 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, Groningen. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-10-11 Time: 14:45 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

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