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Excelsior
0
2
Groningen
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 10:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Last 6 Matches
Excelsior
VS
AZ Alkmaar
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.17
PPG
1.50
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.37
Avg xG
1.16
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.14
xG [Total: 2.68]
1.54
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
3
4
Corners [Total: 10]
6
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
11
Fouls [Total: 24]
12
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
5
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Excelsior will take on AZ Alkmaar as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, AZ Alkmaar. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-14
Time: 16:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Football 14 Feb, 2026 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
AZ Alkmaar score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
-
Toothless Attack
Excelsior struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent home matches
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Excelsior(3 trends)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%Excelsior create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
- Not WinRecent24/3080%Excelsior have not won in 24 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
- Not WinRecent12/1675%Excelsior have not won in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent13/1681%Excelsior scored 0-1 goals in 13 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
Excelsior(2 trends)
- Not WinRecent24/3080%Excelsior have not won in 24 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
- Not WinRecent12/1675%Excelsior have not won in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
AZ Alkmaar(2 trends)
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1681%AZ Alkmaar are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Away) matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent24/3080%AZ Alkmaar are undefeated at half time in 24 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Excelsior(3 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
- Scored 1+Recent25/3083%Excelsior scored 1+ goals in 25 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
- Scored 1+Recent13/1681%Excelsior scored 1+ goals in 13 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
AZ Alkmaar(2 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent26/3087%AZ Alkmaar scored 1+ goals in 26 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
- Scored 1+Recent13/1681%AZ Alkmaar scored 1+ goals in 13 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Away) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
AZ Alkmaar(2 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1490%AZ Alkmaar average 2.7 cards/match in all matches (+52% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%AZ Alkmaar receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Away) matches
Excelsior disciplined play balances AZ Alkmaar aggression — • H2H average: 5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Excelsior(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-19% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/884%Excelsior average 4.0 corners/match at home (-19% below league avg 4.9)
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends) — avg 5.6 (+14% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/879%AZ Alkmaar average 5.6 corners/match in away matches (+14% above league avg 4.9)
Combined average: 9.6 corners/match (Excelsior 4.0 + AZ Alkmaar 5.6)
🎯 Betting Analysis
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Excelsior
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.13
✈️ AZ Alkmaar
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Excelsior - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ AZ Alkmaar - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Excelsior - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
✈️ AZ Alkmaar - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider AZ Alkmaar to win the first half
- Overall Result: AZ Alkmaar has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider AZ Alkmaar handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.153
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Excelsior):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (AZ Alkmaar):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 10:00 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for AZ Alkmaar
Number of goals
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
10%
1
0%
0
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
90%
9
100%
10
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
30%
3
4+
10%
1
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
xG
1.35
1.91
xGa
1.97
1.4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Played:
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
1
1
Goals
1
1
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
1
2
2
Yellow Cards
3
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
3
3
Corners
7
7
11
11
Fouls
9
9
1
1
Offsides
1
1
15
15
Shots
11
11
5
5
Shots on Goal
4
4
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.8 | 6 | 1.1 | 8 | 0.9 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 9 | 2.4 | 17 | 1.7 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 12 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.5 | 23 |
| Red Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 4 | 32 | 4.3 | 30 | 4.1 | 62 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 102 | 14.6 | 102 | 13.6 | 204 |
| Offsides | 1 | 8 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.7 | 11 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 93 | 11.9 | 83 | 11.7 | 176 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 31 | 4.4 | 31 | 4.1 | 62 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.7 | 16 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.9 | 26 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 13 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 12 | 3.1 | 25 | 2.6 | 37 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 6 | 36 | 5.6 | 45 | 5.8 | 81 |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 51 | 11.5 | 92 | 10.2 | 143 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 5 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.1 | 15 |
| Shots | 16.3 | 98 | 15.3 | 122 | 15.7 | 220 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.2 | 37 | 5.4 | 43 | 5.7 | 80 |
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