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Excelsior
2
1
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 12:45
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
1.70
xG
1.80
44%
Ball Possession
56%
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
10
4
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Excelsior
VS
AZ Alkmaar
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.67
PPG
0.67
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
67%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.57
Avg xG
2.00
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Excelsior will take on AZ Alkmaar as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, AZ Alkmaar. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-14
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Football 14 Feb, 2026 12:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
AZ Alkmaar score in 2nd half 78% of matches — expect late goals
-
Dominant Chance Creation
AZ Alkmaar create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Excelsior(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Excelsior scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
⚡ Team Total Goals
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent12/1675%Excelsior scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends) — avg 2.2 (+34% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%AZ Alkmaar average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+39% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Excelsior disciplined play balances AZ Alkmaar aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Excelsior(1 trends) — avg 3.9 (-24% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/985%Excelsior average 3.9 corners/match at home (-24% below league avg 5.1)
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends) — avg 5.9 (+15% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/980%AZ Alkmaar average 5.9 corners/match in away matches (+15% above league avg 5.1)
Combined average: 9.8 corners/match (Excelsior 3.9 + AZ Alkmaar 5.9)
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Excelsior is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Excelsior
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.14
✈️ AZ Alkmaar
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Excelsior - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ AZ Alkmaar - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Excelsior - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
✈️ AZ Alkmaar - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
12
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Excelsior often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Excelsior scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider AZ Alkmaar to win the first half
- Overall Result: AZ Alkmaar has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider AZ Alkmaar handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.093
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.029
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Excelsior):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (AZ Alkmaar):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 12:45 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for AZ Alkmaar
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
50%
5
50%
5
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
50%
5
50%
5
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
20%
2
4+
10%
1
50%
5
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
50%
5
50%
5
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
xG
1.39
1.67
xGa
1.92
1.37
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
60%
6
20%
2
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
40%
4
80%
8
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Played:
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
1
1
Goals
1
1
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
1
2
2
Yellow Cards
3
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
3
3
Corners
7
7
11
11
Fouls
9
9
1
1
Offsides
1
1
15
15
Shots
11
11
5
5
Shots on Goal
4
4
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 7 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.9 | 8 | 1.1 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 10 | 2.4 | 17 | 1.7 | 27 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 13 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.5 | 24 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 3.9 | 35 | 4.3 | 30 | 4.1 | 65 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 115 | 14.6 | 102 | 13.6 | 217 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 10 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | 13 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 106 | 11.9 | 83 | 11.8 | 189 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 31 | 4.1 | 66 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.6 | 18 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.9 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 15 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.8 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 14 | 2.8 | 25 | 2.4 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 6.7 | 47 | 5.9 | 53 | 6.3 | 100 |
| Fouls | 8.4 | 59 | 11.4 | 103 | 10.1 | 162 |
| Offsides | 0.7 | 5 | 1.1 | 10 | 0.9 | 15 |
| Shots | 17.3 | 121 | 15.9 | 143 | 16.5 | 264 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.3 | 44 | 5.8 | 52 | 6 | 96 |
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