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Excelsior
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 11:45
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
10
Played
4
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(10 total)
xG
1.40
(13.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(119 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(32% acc)
Corners
3.8
(38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
12.5
(125 total)
Offsides
1.1
(11 total)
10
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(10 total)
xG
1.10
(10.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.7
(107 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(35% acc)
Corners
4.4
(44 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.6
(126 total)
Offsides
0.5
(5 total)
20
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(20 total)
xG
1.20
(24.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(226 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(33% acc)
Corners
4.1
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
12.6
(251 total)
Offsides
0.8
(16 total)
14
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(30 total)
xG
1.70
(23.4 total)
Shots per Match
17.2
(241 total)
Shots on Target
6.7
(39% acc)
Corners
6.8
(95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.1
(128 total)
Offsides
1.4
(19 total)
16
Played
8
Wins
1
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(22 total)
xG
1.40
(22.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(222 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(36% acc)
Corners
4.5
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.8
(189 total)
Offsides
1
(16 total)
30
Played
16
Wins
6
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(52 total)
xG
1.50
(46.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(463 total)
Shots on Target
5.8
(38% acc)
Corners
5.6
(167 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.6
(317 total)
Offsides
1.2
(35 total)
No prediction data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Excelsior will take on AZ Alkmaar as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, AZ Alkmaar. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-14
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Football 14 Feb, 2026 11:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
AZ Alkmaar score in 2nd half 78% of matches — expect late goals
-
Dominant Chance Creation
AZ Alkmaar create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Excelsior(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Excelsior scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
⚡ Team Total Goals
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent12/1675%Excelsior scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (+28% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%AZ Alkmaar average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+39% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Excelsior disciplined play balances AZ Alkmaar aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Excelsior(1 trends) — avg 3.9 (-24% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/985%Excelsior average 3.9 corners/match at home (-24% below league avg 5.1)
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends) — avg 5.9 (+15% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/980%AZ Alkmaar average 5.9 corners/match in away matches (+15% above league avg 5.1)
Combined average: 9.8 corners/match (Excelsior 3.9 + AZ Alkmaar 5.9)
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (15 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Excelsior
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.15
✈️ AZ Alkmaar
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Excelsior - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ AZ Alkmaar - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Excelsior - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
✈️ AZ Alkmaar - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (15 vs 11)
- First Half Result: Consider AZ Alkmaar to win the first half
- Overall Result: AZ Alkmaar has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider AZ Alkmaar handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.249
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.016
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Excelsior):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (AZ Alkmaar):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 11:45 Eredivisie
Excelsior
VS
AZ Alkmaar
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
2
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (2)
1 (2)
xG
1.10
1.90
Shots
11.5 (23)
12 (24)
Shots on Target
3.5 (7)
4 (8)
Corners
4 (8)
5.5 (11)
Defense
Conceded
1 (2)
1 (2)
xGa
1.90
1.10
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 (3)
3 (6)
Fouls
11 (22)
8.5 (17)
Offsides
1 (2)
1.5 (3)
Last 6 Matches
Excelsior
VS
AZ Alkmaar
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.00
PPG
1.33
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
67%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.29
Avg xG
1.79
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for AZ Alkmaar
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
20%
2
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
xG
1.35
1.79
xGa
1.87
0.79
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
20%
2
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
80%
8
70%
7
No
20%
2
30%
3
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
1.71
xG
1.84
44%
Ball Possession
56%
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
9
4
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
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