Form
Form
Eredivisie 2026-2027 • Matchweek 22
Preview
Excelsior
Excelsior
10th place
Form
VS
16:00
14 Feb 2027
Ajax
Ajax
6th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Excelsior vs Ajax: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 February, 2027 10:00

No prediction data available for this match.

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Prediction League
Eredivisie 2026-2027
16:00
Excelsior W 42%
:
Ajax W 33%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

No lambda data available for this match.

Eredivisie 2026-2027

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
5
Groningen
w w l
>
3
2
0
1
7
7
0
6
6
Ajax
w d
>
2
1
1
0
4
2
2
4
7
3
1
1
1
6
5
1
4

9
Heerenveen
w d l
>
3
1
1
1
3
4
-1
4
10
2
1
0
1
5
2
3
3
11
2
1
0
1
5
3
2
3

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Excelsior vs Ajax Sunday, Feb 14th, 2027 at 10:00 Football

AI Value Bets

Excelsior vs Ajax

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Trends for Excelsior vs Ajax Football 14 Feb, 2027 10:00

Team Form Comparison

Excelsior Home
Form Index 44
Goals 8:7
PPG 0.80
Ajax Away
Form Index 61
Goals 8:1
PPG 2.20
HEELNIJLUTRWVOLDPSVL
FEYDHERWBREWHEEDZWOW
1/5
Won
3/5
4/5
Scored
4/5
1/5
Scored 2+
3/5
1/5
Clean sheet
4/5
3/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
3/5
Over 2.5
1/5
3/5
BTTS
1/5

Excelsior

HEELNIJLUTRWVOLDPSVL
Won 1/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 3/5

Ajax

FEYDHERWBREWHEEDZWOW
Won 3/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 4/5
Conceded 2+ 0/5
Over 2.5 1/5
BTTS 1/5
Head-to-Head · Last 3
BTTS 3/3
Over 2.5 3/3
Excelsior unbeaten 3/3

ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Excelsior Home
Ajax Away
Main Prediction by Periods

No clear period advantage between the teams.

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.31 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.14

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
4 0.20
Fast Start (0–15)
6 0.30
10 0.50
First Half (0–45)
11 0.55
12 0.60
Second Half (46–90)
9 0.45
4 0.20
Final Stage (76–90)
6 0.30

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.042 Weak
Pressure Away +0.069 Moderate
Timing Home +0.005 Weak
Defense Home +0.000 Weak

Momentum

Excelsior Metric Ajax
5 Positive Sequences 5
10 Comeback Goals 8
2 Negative Sequences 2
9 Killer Goals 7

Pressure

Excelsior Metric Ajax
4 Early Pressure 6
4 Late Pressure 6
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Excelsior Metric Ajax
4 Fast Starts 6
6 Half-time Spurts 5
8 Second Half Starts 3
4 Late Surges 6

Defense

Excelsior Metric Ajax
3 Early Conceded 1
6 Late Conceded 10
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Match outcome: Ajax holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Excelsior

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Ajax

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Excelsior
Ajax

Excelsior vs Ajax Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Feb, 2027 @ 10:00 Eredivisie

1 Played 1
0% 0-0-1 Win Rate 100% 1-0-0
Form Index
6.79 Team Rating 7.06
23 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Excelsior Ajax Results 24 76 Attack 0 100 Defense 0 100 Control 12 88 Discipline 53 47 Efficiency 47 53 Average 23 77 77

Attack

1
Goals
2
0.51
Expected Goals
1.54
5
Shots
26
2
Shots on Target
6
1
Corners
10

Defense

2
Conceded
0
2.24
Expected Goals Against
0.59
20
Shots Allowed
7
-1
Goal Difference
+2
0%
Clean Sheets
100%

Possession & Passing

41%
Possession
69%
80%
Pass Accuracy
88%
426
Passes
548
340
Accurate Passes
482

Discipline

1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
9
Fouls
10
1
Offsides
0

Efficiency

0
PPG
3
+0.49
Goals vs xG
+0.46
20%
Shot Conversion
8%
88%
Save %
100%
Team comparison

Excelsior vs Ajax: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for Ajax

Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
1X2
Excelsior
Ajax
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Excelsior
Ajax
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Excelsior
Ajax
0-1
0% 0
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
70% 7
4+
50% 5
20% 2
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
Ajax
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
Ajax
xG
1.57
1.51
xGa
1.69
1.19
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Excelsior
Ajax
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
Excelsior
Ajax
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Excelsior
Ajax
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Excelsior
Ajax
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Excelsior
Ajax
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Excelsior
Ajax
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1.50 Expected goals 1.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 8
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
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In this exciting Eredivisie 2026-2027 matchup, Excelsior will take on Ajax as part of the 2026-2027 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2027-02-14 at 2027-02-14 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, Ajax. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2027-02-14 Time: 16:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!