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Excelsior
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1
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior vs Ajax: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 1 February, 2026 5:15
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
2.16
xG
1.69
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
8
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Excelsior
VS
Ajax
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.67
PPG
1.67
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
2.17
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
67%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.57
Avg xG
1.27
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Excelsior will take on Ajax as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-01 at 2026-02-01 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, Ajax. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-01
Time: 11:15
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Excelsior vs Ajax Football 1 Feb, 2026 5:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Ajax score in 2nd half 86% of matches — expect late goals
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Excelsior vs Ajax, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Excelsior(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Excelsior are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%Excelsior efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
Ajax(5 trends)
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Ajax have not won in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Ajax score 2.13 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Efficient ScoringRecent16/1794%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 16 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
Ajax(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/8100%Ajax score (2.13/match) and concede (1.88/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/2100%Both teams scored in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Excelsior(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Excelsior scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
Ajax(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Ajax score 2.13 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
Combined 2.1 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Excelsior(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Excelsior are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%Excelsior are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
Ajax(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Ajax have not won in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Excelsior(5 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%Excelsior scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 2+Recent2/2100%Excelsior scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Excelsior score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Excelsior score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 1+Recent12/1675%Excelsior scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
Ajax(4 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Ajax score 2.13 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%Ajax scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Ajax score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent13/1776%Ajax score in second half in 13 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Excelsior(1 trends) — avg 1.5 (-8% below league)
- Few CardsH2H2/2100%Excelsior receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
Ajax(1 trends) — avg 1.8 (+10% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%Ajax average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.0 cards per match in their last 1 H2H matches
Excelsior disciplined play balances Ajax aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Excelsior(2 trends) — avg 3.9 (-24% below league)
- Few CornersH2H2/2100%Excelsior win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Few CornersLeague9/985%Excelsior average 3.9 corners/match at home (-24% below league avg 5.1)
Ajax(2 trends) — avg 5.5 (+7% above league)
- Many CornersH2H2/2100%Ajax win 6+ corners in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Corner DominanceH2H2/2100%Ajax dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+7 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Excelsior vs Ajax
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Ajax is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 6).
⏰ First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Excelsior is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Excelsior is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Excelsior
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Ajax
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.14
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Excelsior - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Excelsior - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
10
Killer Goals
15
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Ajax often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 6)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Ajax scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider Ajax to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Excelsior excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Excelsior scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Ajax has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Ajax handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.286
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.009
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.075 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Excelsior):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Excelsior vs Ajax Head-to-head statistics for Sun 1 Feb, 2026 @ 5:15 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Ajax: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for Ajax
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
Excelsior
Ajax
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Excelsior
Ajax
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Excelsior
Ajax
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
70%
7
70%
7
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
Ajax
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
Ajax
xG
1.39
1.06
xGa
1.92
1.48
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Excelsior
Ajax
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Excelsior
Ajax
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Excelsior
Ajax
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Excelsior
Ajax
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Excelsior
Ajax
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Excelsior
Ajax
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Excelsior
Ajax
Played:
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
2
Goals
1.5
3
3
1.5
Goals Conceded
2
4
1
0.5
Yellow Cards
1
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
6
3
Corners
9.5
19
20
10
Fouls
5.5
11
0
Offsides
3.5
7
20
10
Shots
14.5
29
6
3
Shots on Goal
6.5
13
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 7 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.9 | 8 | 1.1 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 10 | 2.4 | 17 | 1.7 | 27 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 13 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.5 | 24 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 3.9 | 35 | 4.3 | 30 | 4.1 | 65 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 115 | 14.6 | 102 | 13.6 | 217 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 10 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | 13 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 106 | 11.9 | 83 | 11.8 | 189 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 31 | 4.1 | 66 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 2 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 15 | 2.1 | 17 | 1.9 | 32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 7 | 1.9 | 15 | 1.3 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 13 | 2.5 | 20 | 1.9 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0 | 0.2 | 4 | |
| Corners | 5.8 | 52 | 4.9 | 39 | 5.4 | 91 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 95 | 10.8 | 86 | 10.6 | 181 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 132 | 14.1 | 113 | 14.4 | 245 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.3 | 57 | 5.8 | 46 | 6.1 | 103 |
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