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Excelsior
Excelsior vs Ajax: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 1 February, 2026 5:15
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10
Played
4
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(10 total)
xG
1.40
(13.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(119 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(32% acc)
Corners
3.8
(38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
12.5
(125 total)
Offsides
1.1
(11 total)
10
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(10 total)
xG
1.10
(10.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.7
(107 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(35% acc)
Corners
4.4
(44 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.6
(126 total)
Offsides
0.5
(5 total)
20
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(20 total)
xG
1.20
(24.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(226 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(33% acc)
Corners
4.1
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
12.6
(251 total)
Offsides
0.8
(16 total)
14
Played
7
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(19 total)
xG
1.70
(23.6 total)
Shots per Match
14
(196 total)
Shots on Target
5.9
(42% acc)
Corners
5.6
(78 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.2
(157 total)
Offsides
1.6
(22 total)
13
Played
5
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(27 total)
xG
1.30
(16.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(178 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(40% acc)
Corners
4.5
(59 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
10.3
(134 total)
Offsides
0.9
(12 total)
27
Played
12
Wins
7
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(46 total)
xG
1.50
(40.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(374 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(41% acc)
Corners
5.1
(137 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.8
(291 total)
Offsides
1.3
(34 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.84 vs 2.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.3%
0:1
3.33%
0:2
4.28%
0:3
3.67%
0:4
2.36%
0:5
1.21%
1
1:0
2.28%
1:1
5.97%
1:2
7.81%
🔥
1:3
6.81%
1:4
4.45%
⭐
1:5
2.32%
⭐
2
2:0
2.01%
2:1
5.35%
2:2
7.11%
2:3
6.3%
⭐
2:4
4.18%
⭐
2:5
2.22%
⭐
3
3:0
1.18%
3:1
3.19%
⭐
3:2
4.32%
⭐
3:3
3.89%
⭐
3:4
2.62%
⭐
3:5
1.41%
⭐
4
4:0
0.52%
⭐
4:1
1.43%
⭐
4:2
1.96%
⭐
4:3
1.8%
⭐
4:4
1.23%
⭐
4:5
0.67%
⭐
5
5:0
0.18%
⭐
5:1
0.51%
⭐
5:2
0.71%
⭐
5:3
0.66%
⭐
5:4
0.46%
⭐
5:5
0.26%
Hotspot:
1:2 (7.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Excelsior will take on Ajax as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-01 at 2026-02-01 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, Ajax. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Ajax.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-01
Time: 11:15
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Excelsior vs Ajax Sunday, Feb 1st, 2026 at 5:15 Football
AI Value Bets
8 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Excelsior vs Ajax Football 1 Feb, 2026 5:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Ajax score in 2nd half 86% of matches — expect late goals
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Excelsior vs Ajax, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Ajax @ 1.81 ✅ 
Ajax
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Ajax score 2.13 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Efficient ScoringRecent16/1794%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 16 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Ajax dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.59 ⚠️
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
Ajax(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/8100%Ajax score (2.13/match) and concede (1.88/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/2100%Both teams scored in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.40 ✅ 
Excelsior(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Excelsior scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
Ajax(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Ajax score 2.13 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
Combined 2.1 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Ajax Win or Draw @ 1.27 ✅
Ajax
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
Ajax demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Excelsior Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.80 ✅ 
Excelsior
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%Excelsior scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 2+Recent2/2100%Excelsior scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Excelsior score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Excelsior score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 1+Recent12/1675%Excelsior scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
Excelsior maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Excelsior(1 trends) — avg 1.5 (-9% below league)
- Few CardsH2H2/2100%Excelsior receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
Ajax(1 trends) — avg 1.7 (+4% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%Ajax average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.0 cards per match in their last 1 H2H matches
Excelsior disciplined play balances Ajax aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.95 ✅ 
Excelsior(2 trends) — avg 3.9 (-24% below league)
- Few CornersH2H2/2100%Excelsior win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Few CornersLeague9/985%Excelsior average 3.9 corners/match at home (-24% below league avg 5.1)
Ajax(2 trends) — avg 5.5 (+7% above league)
- Many CornersH2H2/2100%Ajax win 6+ corners in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Corner DominanceH2H2/2100%Ajax dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
Excelsior drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.95
+7 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Excelsior vs Ajax
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Ajax is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 7).
⏰ First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (16 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Excelsior is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (16 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Excelsior is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Excelsior
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Ajax
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.07
Pressure
0.16
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Excelsior - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Excelsior - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
10
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Ajax often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 7)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Ajax scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (16 vs 11)
- First Half Result: Consider Ajax to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Excelsior excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Excelsior scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Ajax has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Ajax handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.339
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.009
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Excelsior):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Excelsior vs Ajax Head-to-head statistics for Sun 1 Feb, 2026 @ 5:15 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
+1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Excelsior
VS
Ajax
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (4)
1.5 (3)
xG
0.40
1.20
Shots
10 (20)
14.5 (29)
Shots on Target
3 (6)
6.5 (13)
Corners
3 (6)
9.5 (19)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 (3)
2 (4)
xGa
1.20
0.40
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.5 (1)
1 (2)
Fouls
10 (20)
5.5 (11)
Offsides
0 (0)
3.5 (7)
Last 6 Matches
Excelsior
VS
Ajax
1/6 (17%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.00
PPG
2.33
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
2.17
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.29
Avg xG
2.03
Excelsior vs Ajax: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for Ajax
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
10%
1
90%
9
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
1X2
Excelsior
Ajax
1
30%
3
70%
7
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Excelsior
Ajax
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
70%
7
30%
3
Total Goals
Excelsior
Ajax
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
30%
3
50%
5
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
Ajax
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
30%
3
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
Ajax
xG
1.35
1.66
xGa
1.87
1.31
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Excelsior
Ajax
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Excelsior
Ajax
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Excelsior
Ajax
0-1
80%
8
40%
4
2-3
10%
1
60%
6
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Excelsior
Ajax
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
60%
6
10%
1
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Excelsior
Ajax
12
40%
4
90%
9
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Excelsior
Ajax
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
Ajax
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
2.03
xG
2.12
47%
Ball Possession
53%
13
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
9
4
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found