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Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18
Preview
Estrela
Estrela
12th place
Form
VS
20:15
19 Jan 2026
Estoril
Estoril
9th place
Form
AI Prediction Both Teams to Score
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Estrela vs Estoril: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 19 January, 2026 14:15

Winner (1x2)2.88
Estrela to Win
Probability 40%
Total Goals2.03
Over 2.5
Probability 62%
Both Teams to Score1.75
Yes
Probability 67%
Estrela Total2.55
Home Over 1.5
Probability 52%
Estoril Total1.63
Away Under 1.5
Probability 53%
Double Chance1.57
Estrela/Draw
Probability 66%
Asian Handicap1.24
Estrela +1
Probability 76%
Best Tip
Value
Both Teams Score Both Teams Score
Odds 1.75
Win Prob. 66.9% EV: +17.1%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20:15
Estrela W 40%
:
Estoril W 34%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Estrela
w l d w d
9 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (13 total)
xG
1.60 (14.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (127 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (28% acc)
Corners
4.3 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
13.1 (118 total)
Offsides
1.7 (15 total)
8 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (10 total)
xG
0.80 (6.5 total)
Shots per Match
8 (64 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (42% acc)
Corners
2.4 (19 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
14.3 (114 total)
Offsides
1.6 (13 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
7 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (23 total)
xG
1.20 (21.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (191 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (32% acc)
Corners
3.4 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.6 (232 total)
Offsides
1.6 (28 total)
Estoril
d l w w l
9 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (17 total)
xG
1.30 (11.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (104 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (37% acc)
Corners
4.6 (41 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.2 (110 total)
Offsides
1.3 (12 total)
8 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (11 total)
xG
1.10 (9.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (95 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (32% acc)
Corners
4.3 (34 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.4 (107 total)
Offsides
1.4 (11 total)
17 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (28 total)
xG
1.20 (20.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.7 (199 total)
Shots on Target
4 (34% acc)
Corners
4.4 (75 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.8 (217 total)
Offsides
1.4 (23 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.73 vs 1.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.37%
0:1
6.49%
0:2
3.92%
0:3
1.58%
0:4
0.48%
0:5
0.12%
1
1:0
7.24%
1:1
10.8%
🔥
1:2
7.76%
1:3
3.63%
1:4
1.25%
1:5
0.34%
2
2:0
4.88%
2:1
8.66%
2:2
7.3%
2:3
3.93%
2:4
1.53%
2:5
0.47%
3
3:0
2.2%
3:1
4.52%
3:2
4.38%
3:3
2.69%
3:4
1.19%
3:5
0.4%
4
4:0
0.74%
4:1
1.73%
4:2
1.91%
4:3
1.33%
4:4
0.66%
4:5
0.25%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.52%
5:2
0.65%
5:3
0.5%
5:4
0.28%
5:5
0.12%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.4%
0
13.7%
1
19.6%
2
20.2%
3
16.7%
4
11.6%
5
7.0%
6
3.6%
7
1.6%
8
0.5%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

EstrelaHDPEstoril
6.6%
Very Low@ 11.50
-2.5
4.6%
@ 9.50Very Low
12.5%
Very Low@ 10.50
-2
9.3%
@ 8.60Very Low
18.4%
Very Low@ 5.75
-1.5
14.0%
@ 4.80Very Low
29.2%
Low@ 5.02
-1
23.7%
@ 4.16Low
40.0%
Medium@ 2.84
-0.5
33.4%
@ 2.53Low
66.6%
High@ 1.57
+0.5
60.0%
@ 1.47Medium
76.3%
High@ 1.24
+1
70.8%
@ 1.18High
86.0%
Very High@ 1.18
+1.5
81.6%
@ 1.14Very High
90.7%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
87.5%
@ 1.01Very High
95.4%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
93.4%
@ 1.01Very High

Team Total Predictions

EstrelaOutcomeEstoril
82.3%
Very High@ 1.33
Over 0.5
79.6%
@ 1.27High
17.7%
Very Low@ 3.40
Under 0.5
20.4%
@ 3.75Low
51.6%
Medium@ 2.55
Over 1.5
47.2%
@ 2.30Medium
48.4%
Medium@ 1.55
Under 1.5
52.8%
@ 1.63Medium
25.1%
Low@ 6.00
Over 2.5
21.4%
@ 5.50Low
74.9%
High@ 1.14
Under 2.5
78.6%
@ 1.17High
9.8%
Very Low@ 17.00
Over 3.5
7.7%
@ 23.00Very Low
90.2%
Very High@ 1.03
Under 3.5
92.3%
@ 1.04Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Estrela will take on Estoril as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-19 at 2026-01-19 in the famous Estádio José Gomes. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Estrela, and the visiting side, Estoril. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Estoril and +1.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-19 Time: 20:15 Location: Estádio José Gomes Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Estrela vs Estoril Monday, Jan 19th, 2026 at 14:15 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

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Premium Tip Over 2.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 66.9%
EV: +17.1%
Stake: $3.33
1.75
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 66.9%
EV: +16.4%
Stake: $3.38
1.74
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 66.5%
EV: +4.4%
Stake: $4.39
1.57
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 66.5%
EV: +3.1%
Stake: $4.55
1.55
Win to Nil Estoril NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 87.3%
EV: +3.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Asian Handicap Estrela +1.5
Value
Prob: 86%
EV: +1.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:37:16
spinner

Trends for Estrela vs Estoril Football 19 Jan, 2026 14:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Estrela create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Estrela rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Estrela vs Estoril

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (16 vs 12).
🔄 Second Half: Estoril is stronger in the second half (16 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Estrela

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Estoril

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Estrela - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Estoril - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Estrela - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Estoril - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (16 vs 12)
  • First Half Result: Consider Estoril to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Estoril shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Estoril winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Estoril has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Estoril handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.151
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.036
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Estrela):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estoril):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Estrela
Estoril

Estrela vs Estoril Head-to-head statistics for Mon 19 Jan, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Famalicao
l w l l l
>
17
6
5
6
20
14
6
23
9
Estoril
d l w w l
>
17
5
5
7
28
29
-1
20
10
Alverca
w l l l w
>
17
6
2
9
17
27
-10
20
11
Rio Ave
w l d l w
>
17
4
8
5
22
29
-7
20
12
Estrela
w l d w d
>
17
4
7
6
23
27
-4
19
13
Santa Clara
w l d l d
>
17
4
5
8
14
19
-5
17
Team comparison
Prediction
Both Teams to Score
Under/Over: +1.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Estrela
VS
Estoril
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (5)
2.2 (11)
xG
1.00
1.80
Shots
10.8 (54)
10.6 (53)
Shots on Target
4.2 (21)
5.2 (26)
Corners
4 (20)
4.8 (24)
Defense
Conceded
2.2 (11)
1 (5)
xGa
1.80
1.00
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 (8)
2.2 (11)
Fouls
13 (65)
13.6 (68)
Offsides
3.4 (17)
1.4 (7)
11 Aug
- 17:45
Estoril
Estrela
0.69
xG
1.34
1
1
17 May
- 17:00
Estoril
Estrela
2.24
xG
0.62
4
0
Prob 66%
Match Winner 1
Odd 2.67
5 Jan
- 20:30
Estrela
Estoril
0.91
xG
2.49
2
4
4 Feb
- 18:00
Estoril
Estrela
1
0
25 Aug
- 19:15
Estrela
Estoril
2
1
Last 6 Matches
Estrela
VS
Estoril
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.33 PPG 1.17
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
67% BTTS % 50%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
0.92 Avg xG 1.30
Estrela
W L D W D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Estrela
3 3
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Famalicao
2 3
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Estrela
0 0
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 20:45
FC Porto
3 1
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Estrela
3 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Sporting CP
4 0
Estrela
Estoril
D L W W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
3 1
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Estoril
4 1
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Estoril
1 0
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Famalicao
4 0
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Estoril
3 3
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 20:30
FC Porto
1 0
Estoril

Estrela vs Estoril: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Estrela and away matches for Estoril

Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estrela
Estoril
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1X2
Estrela
Estoril
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Estrela
Estoril
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Estrela
Estoril
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
60% 6
70% 7
Total Corners
Estrela
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Estoril
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Estrela
Estoril
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Estrela
Estoril
xG
1.16
1.47
xGa
1.77
1.53
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estrela
Estoril
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Estrela
Estoril
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
Estrela
Estoril
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Estrela
Estoril
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Estoril
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estrela
Estoril
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Estrela
Estoril
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Estrela
Estoril
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Estrela
Estoril
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Estoril
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1.62 xG 1.52
53% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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