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Estrela
Estrela vs Arouca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 12:00
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.57 vs 0.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.79%
⭐
0:1
6.3%
0:2
1.55%
0:3
0.25%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
16.02%
🔥
⭐
1:1
11.95%
1:2
3.94%
1:3
0.81%
1:4
0.12%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
10.03%
⭐
2:1
10.02%
2:2
4.37%
2:3
1.13%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
4.19%
3:1
5.25%
⭐
3:2
2.88%
3:3
0.94%
3:4
0.21%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
1.31%
4:1
1.98%
⭐
4:2
1.32%
⭐
4:3
0.52%
⭐
4:4
0.14%
⭐
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.33%
5:1
0.58%
⭐
5:2
0.46%
⭐
5:3
0.21%
⭐
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:0 (16.0%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
15
2
3
7
13
26
-13
9
16
2
3
7
7
20
-13
9
17
2
3
7
13
34
-21
9
18
0
3
9
8
29
-21
3
Last 6 Matches
Estrela
VS
Arouca
2/6 (33%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
5/6 (83%)
1.17
PPG
0.17
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded
3.33
50%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.48
Avg xG
0.50
1.57
xG [Total: 2.38]
0.81
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 6]
3
4
Corners [Total: 7]
3
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
14
Fouls [Total: 28]
14
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
4
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Estrela will take on Arouca as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 13 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Estádio José Gomes.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Estrela, and the visiting side, Arouca. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Estrela or draw and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-07
Time: 18:00
Location: Estádio José Gomes
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Estrela vs Arouca Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 12:00 Football
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Trends for Estrela vs Arouca Football 7 Dec, 2025 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Estrela create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Estrela vs Arouca, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Estrela @ 2.30 ✅ 
Estrela
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Estrela create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Arouca
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
Estrela confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.91 
Estrela(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/650%Estrela score (1.17/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 50% of matches (league avg: 45%)
Arouca(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/560%Arouca score (1.20/match) and concede (3.40/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 60% of matches (league avg: 45%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.76 ⚠️
Estrela(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent24/3080%Estrela scored 0-1 goals in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Arouca Win or Draw @ 1.70 ✅ 
Arouca
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%Arouca are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/475%Arouca are undefeated at half time in their last 3 4 matches vs Estrela
Estrela
- Not WinH2H3/475%Estrela have not won in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Arouca
- Not WinRecent13/1587%Estrela have not won in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Estrela have not won in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Arouca confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Arouca Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.40 ✅
Arouca
- Scored 1+Recent11/1479%Arouca scored 1+ goals in 11 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Arouca's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Estrela(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/475%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Arouca
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent26/3087%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 26 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Arouca(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/475%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Many CardsRecent24/3080%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent11/1479%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 11 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 5.8 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.74 ✅ 
Estrela(1 trends) — avg 4.9 (-3% below league)
- Few CornersH2H4/4100%Estrela win 4 or fewer corners in 4 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Arouca
Arouca(2 trends) — avg 2.2 (-52% below league)
- Corner DominanceH2H3/475%Arouca dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Estrela
- Few CornersLeague5/585%Arouca average 2.2 corners/match in away matches (-52% below league avg 4.5)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.74
+10 Streak trends are hidden
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Estrela vs Arouca
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Arouca is stronger in the second half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Estrela
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Arouca
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Estrela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Arouca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Estrela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Arouca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Arouca shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 6 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Arouca winning the second half
- Overall Result: Estrela has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Estrela handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.063
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.046
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Estrela):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arouca):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Estrela vs Arouca Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Estrela vs Arouca: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Estrela and away matches for Arouca
Number of goals
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Estrela
Arouca
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Estrela
Arouca
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
40%
4
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Estrela
Arouca
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
60%
6
40%
4
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Estrela
Arouca
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
30%
3
50%
5
Total Corners
Total Corners
Estrela
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Arouca
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Estrela
Arouca
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
50%
5
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Estrela
Arouca
xG
1.31
0.53
xGa
1.34
1.92
Number of goals
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Estrela
Arouca
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Estrela
Arouca
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
50%
5
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Estrela
Arouca
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
50%
5
50%
5
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Estrela
Arouca
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Arouca
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
Number of goals
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Estrela
Arouca
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Estrela
Arouca
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Estrela
Arouca
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
40%
4
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Estrela
Arouca
0-1
80%
8
40%
4
2-3
10%
1
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Arouca
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
Team comparison
Prediction
Arouca Under 1.5 Goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.96%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 46.53% | Low | 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 53.47% | Medium | 1.62 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 19.48% | Low | 3.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 80.52% | High | 1.37 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 20.89% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 79.11% | High | 1.16 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 4.89% | Low | 10.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 95.11% | High | 1.07 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Estrela
Arouca
Played:
4
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
3
0.8
Goals
1.5
6
6
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.8
3
12
3
Yellow Cards
2.5
10
1
0.3
Red Cards
0
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.5
2
11
2.8
Corners
5.5
22
42
10.5
Fouls
15
60
14
3.5
Offsides
1.8
7
28
7
Shots
17.8
71
7
1.8
Shots on Goal
5
20
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 8 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.8 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 2.5 | 15 | 3.4 | 41 |
| Fouls | 13 | 78 | 13.5 | 81 | 13.3 | 159 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 8 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Shots | 14 | 84 | 8.7 | 52 | 11.3 | 136 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.5 | 21 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.6 | 43 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 7 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.4 | 17 | 3.4 | 17 | 2.8 | 34 |
| Yellow Cards | 3.1 | 22 | 1.6 | 8 | 2.5 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corners | 4 | 28 | 2.2 | 11 | 3.3 | 39 |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 101 | 14.2 | 71 | 14.3 | 172 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0.8 | 9 |
| Shots | 8.6 | 60 | 8 | 40 | 8.3 | 100 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.9 | 20 | 2.2 | 11 | 2.6 | 31 |
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