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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21
Preview
Estoril
Estoril
8th place
Form
VS
18:00
7 Feb 2026
Tondela
Tondela
17th place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : Estoril
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Estoril vs Tondela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 7 February, 2026 12:00

Winner (1x2)-
Estoril to Win
Probability 69%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 57%
Estoril Total-
Home Over 1.5
Probability 67%
Tondela Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 93%
Double Chance-
Estoril/Draw
Probability 92%
Asian Handicap-
Estoril +2.5
Probability 99%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
18:00
Estoril W 77%
:
Tondela W 8%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Estoril
w w l w w
10 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (21 total)
xG
1.40 (14.0 total)
Shots per Match
12 (120 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (37% acc)
Corners
4.5 (45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.9 (119 total)
Offsides
1.3 (13 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (16 total)
xG
1.20 (11.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (106 total)
Shots on Target
4 (34% acc)
Corners
4.2 (38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.2 (119 total)
Offsides
1.3 (12 total)
19 Played
7 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (37 total)
xG
1.30 (25.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (226 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (35% acc)
Corners
4.4 (83 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.5 (238 total)
Offsides
1.3 (25 total)
Tondela
l w l l l
9 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (6 total)
xG
1.10 (10.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.8 (97 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (32% acc)
Corners
2.7 (24 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.7 (114 total)
Offsides
3.2 (29 total)
10 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (6 total)
xG
1.10 (11.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (96 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (32% acc)
Corners
4.2 (42 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
15.6 (156 total)
Offsides
2.3 (23 total)
19 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (12 total)
xG
1.10 (21.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (193 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (32% acc)
Corners
3.5 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.2 (270 total)
Offsides
2.7 (52 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.84 vs 1.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.17%
0:1
2.17%
0:2
0.74%
0:3
0.17%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
7.99%
1:1
6.47%
1:2
2.56%
1:3
0.66%
1:4
0.13%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
10.09%
🔥
2:1
9.43%
2:2
4.25%
2:3
1.24%
2:4
0.26%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
8.49%
3:1
8.99%
3:2
4.56%
3:3
1.49%
3:4
0.35%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
5.36%
4:1
6.34%
4:2
3.59%
4:3
1.3%
4:4
0.34%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
2.7%
5:1
3.54%
5:2
2.21%
5:3
0.88%
5:4
0.25%
5:5
0.06%
Hotspot: 2:0 (10.1%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.2%
0
10.2%
1
17.3%
2
20.6%
3
19.3%
4
15.0%
5
8.9%
6
3.9%
7
1.3%
8
0.3%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

EstorilHDPTondela
33.3%
Low
-2.5
0.4%
Very Low
44.3%
Medium
-2
1.2%
Very Low
55.4%
Medium
-1.5
2.0%
Very Low
66.4%
High
-1
5.0%
Very Low
77.3%
High
-0.5
8.0%
Very Low
92.0%
Very High
+0.5
22.6%
Low
95.0%
Very High
+1
33.6%
Low
98.0%
Very High
+1.5
44.6%
Medium
98.8%
Very High
+2
55.6%
Medium
99.6%
Very High
+2.5
66.7%
High

Team Total Predictions

EstorilOutcomeTondela
94.2%
Very High
Over 0.5
63.2%
High
5.8%
Very Low
Under 0.5
36.8%
Low
77.6%
High
Over 1.5
26.4%
Low
22.4%
Low
Under 1.5
73.6%
High
54.0%
Medium
Over 2.5
8.0%
Very Low
46.0%
Medium
Under 2.5
92.0%
Very High
31.7%
Low
Over 3.5
1.9%
Very Low
68.3%
High
Under 3.5
98.1%
Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Estoril will take on Tondela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-02-07 at 2026-02-07 in the famous Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Estoril, and the visiting side, Tondela. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Estoril. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-07 Time: 18:00 Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Estoril vs Tondela Saturday, Feb 7th, 2026 at 12:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Estoril vs Tondela Football 7 Feb, 2026 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Estoril vs Tondela

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Estoril is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (16 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: Estoril is stronger in the second half (16 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Estoril

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Tondela

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
19
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Estoril - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Tondela - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.47
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.47
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.37

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Estoril - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Tondela - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Estoril often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 1)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Estoril scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (16 vs 9)
  • First Half Result: Consider Estoril to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Estoril shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 9 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Estoril winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Estoril has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Estoril handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.135
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.085
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.042 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Estoril):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Tondela):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Estoril
Tondela

Estoril vs Tondela Head-to-head statistics for Sat 7 Feb, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
Famalicao
l l l w w
>
19
8
5
6
24
14
10
29
8
Estoril
w w l w w
>
19
7
5
7
37
31
6
26
9
Guimaraes
l d w l l
>
19
7
4
8
20
27
-7
25

16
Casa Pia
w d l l d
>
19
3
6
10
20
38
-18
15
17
Tondela
l w l l l
>
19
3
3
13
12
33
-21
12
18
AVS
d l l l d
>
19
0
5
14
14
47
-33
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Estoril
Goals Home: -3.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Estoril
VS
Tondela
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (2)
2 (2)
xG
1.60
2.80
Shots
17 (17)
14 (14)
Shots on Target
4 (4)
4 (4)
Corners
4 (4)
3 (3)
Defense
Conceded
2 (2)
2 (2)
xGa
2.80
1.60
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (3)
1 (1)
Fouls
10 (10)
7 (7)
Offsides
1 (1)
8 (8)
31 Aug
- 14:30
Tondela
Estoril
2.78
xG
1.55
2
2
Last 6 Matches
Estoril
VS
Tondela
4/6 (67%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 5/6 (83%)
2.00 PPG 0.50
2.50 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
50% BTTS % 50%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.54 Avg xG 1.26
Estoril
W W L W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 20:30
Estoril
4 2
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Estrela
0 5
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
3 1
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Estoril
4 1
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Estoril
1 0
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Famalicao
4 0
Estoril
Tondela
L W L L L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Famalicao
3 0
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Tondela
0 1
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Moreirense
1 0
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Tondela
3 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Tondela
1 2
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Nacional
3 1
Tondela

Estoril vs Tondela: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Estoril and away matches for Tondela

Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
40% 4
60% 6
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
50% 5
50% 5
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estoril
Tondela
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Estoril
Tondela
1
60% 6
20% 2
X
10% 1
10% 1
2
30% 3
70% 7
Double Chance
Estoril
Tondela
12
90% 9
90% 9
1X
70% 7
30% 3
X2
40% 4
80% 8
Total Goals
Estoril
Tondela
0-1
20% 2
40% 4
2-3
0% 0
30% 3
4+
80% 8
30% 3
Total Corners
Estoril
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Estoril
Tondela
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Estoril
Tondela
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
60% 6
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Estoril
Tondela
xG
1.6
1.18
xGa
1.53
1.03
Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estoril
Tondela
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Estoril
Tondela
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
20% 2
70% 7
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Estoril
Tondela
12
80% 8
30% 3
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Estoril
Tondela
0-1
30% 3
80% 8
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Estoril
Tondela
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estoril
Tondela
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Estoril
Tondela
1
50% 5
10% 1
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
20% 2
70% 7
Double Chance
Estoril
Tondela
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
80% 8
30% 3
X2
50% 5
90% 9
Total Goals
Estoril
Tondela
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Estoril
Tondela
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
2.53 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found