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7 Dec 2025-15:30
Estoril
Estoril
10th place
- : -
7 Dec 2025 9:30
Moreirense
Moreirense
7th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Estoril vs Moreirense: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 9:30

1×2 Prediction
Estoril
49%30%21%
EstorilDrawMoreirense
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
53%47%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
54%46%
YesNo
Team Total - Estoril
Under 1.5
55%45%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Moreirense
Under 1.5
72%28%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Estoril/Draw
79%21%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Moreirense +1
65%35%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Double Chance Estoril or Draw
Odds: 1.31
78.7%
EV: +3.1%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.57 vs 1.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.05%
0:1
7.06%
0:2
2.26%
0:3
0.48%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
12.81%
🔥
1:1
12.72%
1:2
5.52%
1:3
1.48%
1:4
0.29%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
7.42%
2:1
10.01%
2:2
5.81%
2:3
1.99%
2:4
0.47%
2:5
0.08%
3
3:0
2.87%
3:1
4.88%
3:2
3.62%
3:3
1.57%
3:4
0.46%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.83%
4:1
1.71%
4:2
1.55%
4:3
0.83%
4:4
0.29%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.19%
5:1
0.46%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.32%
5:4
0.14%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 1:0 (12.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.0%
0
19.9%
1
22.4%
2
18.9%
3
13.1%
4
7.8%
5
4.1%
6
1.9%
7
0.7%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Estoril
vs
Moreirense
Dec 7, 15:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
SC Braga
d w l w w
>
12
5
4
3
23
11
12
19
7
Moreirense
l l w l d
>
12
6
1
5
18
17
1
19
8
Guimaraes
w l l w w
>
12
5
2
5
14
17
-3
17
9
Alverca
w l l d w
>
12
4
2
6
14
19
-5
14
10
Estoril
d d w w l
>
12
3
4
5
19
18
1
13
11
Rio Ave
w w l d d
>
12
2
7
3
15
20
-5
13
Last 6 Matches
Estoril
VS
Moreirense
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.33 PPG 1.17
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
50% BTTS % 83%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.36 Avg xG 0.99
Estoril
D D W W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 20:30
FC Porto
1 0
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Nov 2025 - 20:15
Estoril
4 3
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Rio Ave
0 4
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Oct 2025 - 15:30
Estoril
1 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Oct 2025 - 19:15
Casa Pia
2 2
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Sep 2025 - 19:30
Estoril
0 1
Sporting CP
Moreirense
L L W L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Moreirense
2 2
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 20:30
SC Braga
2 1
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Arouca
0 2
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Oct 2025 - 20:15
Moreirense
1 2
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Oct 2025 - 14:30
Nacional
3 2
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Sep 2025 - 14:30
Moreirense
2 1
Casa Pia
49% Draw 20%
47% Over 2.5 53%
54% Both Teams Score 46%
1.92 xPTS 1.08
1.57 xG [Total: 2.62] 1.05
3 Yellow Cards [Total: 6] 3
4 Corners [Total: 6] 2
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
13 Fouls [Total: 27] 14
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 7] 3
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Estoril will take on Moreirense as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 13 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Estoril, and the visiting side, Moreirense. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Estoril or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-07 Time: 15:30 Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Estoril vs Moreirense Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 9:30 Football

Value Bets

2 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.31
78.7%
EV: +3.1% Kelly: $4.93
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 09:39:14
spinner

Trends for Estoril vs Moreirense Football 7 Dec, 2025 9:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

🎯 Betting Analysis

Estoril vs Moreirense

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Estoril is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (12 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Moreirense is stronger in the second half (17 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Moreirense is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Estoril

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Moreirense

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Estoril - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Moreirense - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Estoril - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Moreirense - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Estoril often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Estoril scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (12 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Estoril to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Moreirense shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Moreirense winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Moreirense excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Moreirense scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Estoril has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Estoril handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.024
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.012
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Estoril):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Moreirense):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Estoril
Moreirense

Estoril vs Moreirense Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 9:30 Primeira Liga

Estoril vs Moreirense: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Estoril and away matches for Moreirense

Number of goals

Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Estoril
Moreirense
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4

1X2

1X2
Estoril
Moreirense
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
40% 4
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
Estoril
Moreirense
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
70% 7
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Estoril
Moreirense
0-1
30% 3
0% 0
2-3
20% 2
70% 7
4+
50% 5
30% 3

Total Corners

Total Corners
Estoril
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Estoril
Moreirense
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Estoril
Moreirense
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
40% 4
HT X - FT X
0% 0
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Estoril
Moreirense
xG
1.24
1.05
xGa
1.37
1.71

Number of goals

Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Estoril
Moreirense
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Estoril
Moreirense
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
20% 2
70% 7
2
50% 5
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Estoril
Moreirense
12
80% 8
30% 3
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
70% 7
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Estoril
Moreirense
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Estoril
Moreirense
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5

Number of goals

Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Estoril
Moreirense
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Estoril
Moreirense
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
30% 3
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Estoril
Moreirense
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
60% 6
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Estoril
Moreirense
0-1
60% 6
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Estoril
Moreirense
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
Team comparison
Prediction
Estoril or Draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
7.0%
Low
8.50
1.0%
Low
15.00
-2
14.1%
Low
7.50
3.2%
Low
N/A
-1.5
21.1%
Low
4.01
5.3%
Low
8.70
-1
34.8%
Low
3.22
12.8%
Low
7.50
-0.5
48.4%
Low
2.11
20.3%
Low
3.56
+0.5
79.7%
High
1.33
51.6%
Medium
1.88
+1
87.2%
High
1.10
65.2%
Medium
1.38
+1.5
94.7%
High
1.06
78.9%
High
1.25
+2
96.8%
High
N/A
85.9%
High
1.10
+2.5
99.0%
High
1.01
93.0%
High
1.01
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.96%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.546.53%Low2.29
Under 1.553.47%Medium1.67
AwayOver 1.528.26%Low3.42
Under 1.571.74%High1.33
HomeOver 2.520.89%Low5.00
Under 2.579.11%High1.18
AwayOver 2.58.97%Low10.00
Under 2.591.03%High1.07
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
11 May
- 17:00
Moreirense
Estoril
1.36
xG
1.61
2
2
Prob 67%
BTTS Yes
Odd 1.95
28 Dec
- 18:00
Estoril
Moreirense
1.12
xG
0.63
2
2
18 May
- 17:00
Moreirense
Estoril
2
1
13 Jan
- 20:30
Estoril
Moreirense
1
3
club logo
Estoril
Moreirense
Played: 4
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
6
1.5
Goals
2.3
9
9
2.3
Goals Conceded
1.5
6
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
8
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
27
6.8
Corners
1.8
7
53
13.3
Fouls
13.5
54
7
1.8
Offsides
1.8
7
45
11.3
Shots
10.5
42
20
5
Shots on Goal
5.3
21
Home Away All
Played 6 6 12
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 2 2 4
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.5 9 1.7 10 1.6 19
Goals Conceded 1.3 8 1.7 10 1.5 18
Yellow Cards 3.5 21 2.5 15 3 36
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0 0.2 1 0.1 1
Corners 4.8 29 3.7 22 4.3 51
Fouls 12 72 12.3 74 12.2 146
Offsides 1.2 7 1.7 10 1.4 17
Shots 12.5 75 13 78 12.8 153
Shots on Goal 4 24 3.8 23 3.9 47
Home Away All
Played 6 6 12
Wins 4 2 6
Draws 1 0 1
Losses 1 4 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 12 1 6 1.5 18
Goals Conceded 1.2 7 1.7 10 1.4 17
Yellow Cards 3.3 20 2.5 15 2.9 35
Red Cards 0.2 1 0.2 1 0.2 2
Clean Sheets 0.2 1 0.3 2 0.3 3
Corners 4.8 29 2.7 16 3.8 45
Fouls 14.2 85 14.7 88 14.4 173
Offsides 1.3 8 1.2 7 1.3 15
Shots 10.8 65 7.5 45 9.2 110
Shots on Goal 4.3 26 2.2 13 3.3 39
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