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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 11 7 Nov 2025 - 20:15
Finished
Estoril
Estoril
8th place
Form
4 : 3
1.76
xG
0.78
Full Time
Half Time: 2-2
Arouca
Arouca
15th place
Form
10'
T. Fukui
43'
K. Boma
52'
J. Holsgrove
87'
João Carvalho
T. Fukui
5'
N. Djouahra
31'
N. Djouahra
75'
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Estoril vs Arouca Football Match Stats & Results Friday, 7 November, 2025 14:15

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
4'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
5'
Winner (1x2)2.05
Estoril to Win
Probability 58%
Total Goals1.98
Over 2.5
Probability 51%
Both Teams to Score1.80
Yes
Probability 54%
Estoril Total1.22
Home Under 2.5
Probability 72%
Arouca Total1.38
Away Under 1.5
Probability 75%
Double Chance1.31
Estoril/Draw
Probability 94%
Asian Handicap1.35
Arouca +1.25
Probability 67%

📋 Preview: Estoril vs Arouca | Primeira Liga 2025-2026, Matchweek 11

📖 Introduction

This upcoming clash between Estoril and Arouca features two teams in the lower half of the Primeira Liga table, with Estoril positioned 14th with 10 points and Arouca just behind in 15th with 9 points. Both sides are eager to secure vital points as they navigate a challenging season, making this match crucial for boosting morale and moving out of the relegation zone.

🏠 Estoril Analysis

Estoril's recent form has been a mixed bag, with only one victory in their last five outings (WDDLL). At home, they've struggled to find consistency, recording just one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. They average 1.4 goals per game while being defensively sound with 1.2 goals conceded. Despite a disappointing average xG of 1.13, their last match saw a stunning 4-0 away victory against Rio Ave, providing a much-needed morale boost before facing a struggling Arouca side.

✈️ Arouca Analysis

Arouca enters this match on a downward trajectory, having secured only one win in their last five matches (LLDLW). Their away form has been particularly poor, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and a staggering 2.8 goals conceded per game. The team's expected goals (xG) of 0.59 indicates a significant struggle in creating clear scoring opportunities, which has been a recurring theme in their recent fixtures. After a disappointing 0-2 home loss to Moreirense, Arouca will be looking to turn their fortunes around against Estoril.

🔄 Head-to-Head

Historically, Estoril and Arouca have faced off six times recently, with Arouca holding a slight edge with three victories compared to Estoril's two wins and one draw. Their encounters have been high-scoring, averaging 3.5 goals per match, indicating that both teams have the potential to find the net when they meet.

🔑 Key Factors

Momentum will be a key factor in this matchup. Estoril's last match was a resounding victory that could provide a psychological edge, while Arouca's recent struggles might weigh heavily on their performance. Additionally, the expected goals (xG) data suggests that Estoril has the potential to exploit Arouca's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly given their own ability to score, albeit inconsistently. The defensive frailties of Arouca, highlighted by their high goals conceded average, could prove to be the deciding factor in this encounter.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome 60.2%, scoreline 2-1. Estoril's home advantage and Arouca's struggles make them the likely winners, especially with Arouca's low xG indicating difficulties in attack.

💡 Betting Tips

Market: match_winner @ 2.1 (60.2%). End: Bet responsibly.

Estoril
Arouca
5' 0:1 Goal
T. Fukui
T. Fukui
T. Fukui
Goal (own) 1:1 10'
T. Fukui
N. Lominadze
Yellow Card 17'
N. Lominadze
31' 1:2 Goal
N. Djouahra
Assistant: Miguel Puche
N. Djouahra
K. Boma
Goal 2:2 43'
K. Boma
Assistant: J. Holsgrove
K. Boma
VAR 45' +2'
Goal Disallowed - offside
Ferro
Substitute 46'
In:Ferro
Out:Pedro Carvalho
Peixinho
Substitute 46'
In:Peixinho
Out:N. Lominadze
46' Substitute
In:A. Trezza
Out:Barbero
A. Trezza
J. Holsgrove
Goal 3:2 52'
J. Holsgrove
Assistant: Y. Begraoui
Tiago Parente
Substitute 65'
In:Tiago Parente
Out:Gonçalo Costa
71' Substitute
In:D. Nandin
Out:Tiago Esgaio
D. Nandin
71' Substitute
In:Pablo Gozálbez
Out:David Simão
Pablo Gozálbez
Tiago Brito
Substitute 71'
In:Tiago Brito
Out:André Lacximicant
72' Substitute
In:Alex Pinto
Out:Miguel Puche
Alex Pinto
75' 3:3 Goal
N. Djouahra
Assistant: Arnau Solà
N. Djouahra
R. Guitane
Substitute 78'
In:R. Guitane
Out:Peixinho
84' Substitute
In:Omar Fayed
Out:Lee Hyun-Ju
Omar Fayed
João Carvalho
Goal 4:3 87'
João Carvalho
Assistant: R. Guitane
90' Yellow Card
Omar Fayed
Omar Fayed

📋 Preview: Estoril vs Arouca | Primeira Liga 2025-2026, Matchweek 11

📖 Introduction

This upcoming clash between Estoril and Arouca features two teams in the lower half of the Primeira Liga table, with Estoril positioned 14th with 10 points and Arouca just behind in 15th with 9 points. Both sides are eager to secure vital points as they navigate a challenging season, making this match crucial for boosting morale and moving out of the relegation zone.

🏠 Estoril Analysis

Estoril's recent form has been a mixed bag, with only one victory in their last five outings (WDDLL). At home, they've struggled to find consistency, recording just one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. They average 1.4 goals per game while being defensively sound with 1.2 goals conceded. Despite a disappointing average xG of 1.13, their last match saw a stunning 4-0 away victory against Rio Ave, providing a much-needed morale boost before facing a struggling Arouca side.

✈️ Arouca Analysis

Arouca enters this match on a downward trajectory, having secured only one win in their last five matches (LLDLW). Their away form has been particularly poor, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and a staggering 2.8 goals conceded per game. The team's expected goals (xG) of 0.59 indicates a significant struggle in creating clear scoring opportunities, which has been a recurring theme in their recent fixtures. After a disappointing 0-2 home loss to Moreirense, Arouca will be looking to turn their fortunes around against Estoril.

🔄 Head-to-Head

Historically, Estoril and Arouca have faced off six times recently, with Arouca holding a slight edge with three victories compared to Estoril's two wins and one draw. Their encounters have been high-scoring, averaging 3.5 goals per match, indicating that both teams have the potential to find the net when they meet.

🔑 Key Factors

Momentum will be a key factor in this matchup. Estoril's last match was a resounding victory that could provide a psychological edge, while Arouca's recent struggles might weigh heavily on their performance. Additionally, the expected goals (xG) data suggests that Estoril has the potential to exploit Arouca's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly given their own ability to score, albeit inconsistently. The defensive frailties of Arouca, highlighted by their high goals conceded average, could prove to be the deciding factor in this encounter.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome 60.2%, scoreline 2-1. Estoril's home advantage and Arouca's struggles make them the likely winners, especially with Arouca's low xG indicating difficulties in attack.

💡 Betting Tips

Market: match_winner @ 2.1 (60.2%). End: Bet responsibly.

Estoril vs Arouca Formation Lineups for Fri 7 Nov, 2025 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga

Formation
6.8
Estoril
3-4-3
6.5
Arouca
4-2-3-1
Joel Robles
5.6
Robles 1
F. Bacher
6.3
Bacher 25
K. Boma
8
Boma 44
A. Tsoungui
6.3
Tsoungui 5
Gonçalo Costa
5.9
65'
Costa 20
N. Lominadze
6.2
46'
Lominadze 7
J. Holsgrove
9.2
Holsgrove 10
Pedro Carvalho
6.5
46'
Carvalho 22
João Carvalho
8.2
Carvalho 12
Y. Begraoui
6.7
Begraoui 14
André Lacximicant
6.6
71'
Lacximicant 19
N. Mantl
6.7
Mantl 58
Arnau Solà
6.3
Solà 16
José Fontán
6.2
Fontán 3
B. Popović
5.9
Popović 5
Tiago Esgaio
6.2
71'
Esgaio 28
T. Fukui
7.3
Fukui 21
David Simão
7.5
71'
Simão 8
N. Djouahra
8.3
Djouahra 7
Lee Hyun-Ju
5.9
84'
Hyun-Ju 14
Miguel Puche
6.2
72'
Puche 11
Barbero
6.3
46'
Barbero 17
field field
Substitutes
Ferro
6.9
46'
Ferro 4
Parente
6.5
65'
Parente 55
Brito
6.7
71'
Brito 90
Guitane
7.2
78'
Guitane 99
Trezza
6.3
46'
Trezza 19
Nandin
6.3
71'
Nandin 23
Gozálbez
6.2
71'
Gozálbez 10
Pinto
6.3
72'
Pinto 78
Fayed
84'
Fayed 66
LineUps
Estoril
5.6
6.3
44
d
43'
8
25
d
6.3
46'
6.5
52'
9.2
17'46'
6.2
65'
5.9
71'
6.6
6.7
87'
8.2
Substitutes
4
d
46'
6.9
70
f
46'78'
6.3
16
g
65'
6.5
21
m
71'
6.7
99
f
78'
7.2
Coach
Arouca
58
g
6.7
71'
6.2
5.9
6.2
6.3
71'
7.5
21
m
5'10'
7.3
72'
6.2
84'
5.9
31'75'
8.3
17
f
46'
6.3
Substitutes
19
m
46'
6.3
78
d
72'
6.3
66
d
84'90'
22
m
71'
6.2
23
f
71'
6.3
Coach

Estoril vs Arouca Head-to-head statistics for Fri 7 Nov, 2025 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga

Estoril
Arouca
Off Target 5 Blocked 7
On Target 6
On Target 4
Off Target 6 Blocked 2
4 Goals 3
48 Ball Possession 52
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 5
389 Total passes 449
81 Passes accurate % 82
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
8 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
1 Offsides 3
10 Corners 2
1.76 Expected Goals 0.78

Stats for Estoril vs Arouca Friday, Nov 7th, 2025 at 14:15 Football

Estoril
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Arouca
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
J. Holsgrove
9.2
Midfielder
2
N. Djouahra
8.3
3
João Carvalho
Midfielder
8.2
4
David Simão
Midfielder
7.5