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27 Dec 2025-20:30
Estoril
Estoril
13th place
- : -
27 Dec 2025 15:30
Alverca
Alverca
9th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Estoril vs Alverca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 27 December, 2025 15:30

1×2 Prediction
Estoril
47%26%27%
EstorilDrawAlverca
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
67%33%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
71%29%
YesNo
Team Total - Estoril
Under 2.5
68%32%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Alverca
Under 2.5
78%22%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Estoril/Draw
73%27%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Estoril +2.5
97%3%
Home +2.5NOT Home +2.5

No betting tips available for this match.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.00 vs 1.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.58%
0:1
5.07%
0:2
2.8%
0:3
1.03%
0:4
0.29%
0:5
0.06%
1
1:0
6.76%
1:1
9.88%
🔥
1:2
6.79%
1:3
2.99%
1:4
0.96%
1:5
0.24%
2
2:0
4.99%
2:1
9.06%
2:2
7.6%
2:3
3.99%
2:4
1.49%
2:5
0.43%
3
3:0
2.46%
3:1
5.33%
3:2
5.32%
3:3
3.29%
3:4
1.43%
3:5
0.47%
4
4:0
0.91%
4:1
2.29%
4:2
2.66%
4:3
1.91%
4:4
0.96%
4:5
0.36%
5
5:0
0.27%
5:1
0.77%
5:2
1.03%
5:3
0.84%
5:4
0.48%
5:5
0.21%
Hotspot: 1:1 (9.9%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.6%
0
11.8%
1
17.7%
2
19.3%
3
17.1%
4
12.9%
5
8.5%
6
4.8%
7
2.3%
8
0.8%
9
0.2%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Estoril
vs
Alverca
Dec 27, 20:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Moreirense
l w l d d
>
13
6
2
5
21
20
1
20
9
Alverca
l l d w w
>
13
5
2
6
15
19
-4
17
10
Rio Ave
l d d w l
>
14
3
7
4
17
22
-5
16

12
Estrela
l w d l w
>
13
3
5
5
16
19
-3
14
13
Estoril
d w w l d
>
13
3
5
5
22
21
1
14
14
Nacional
d l d l l
>
13
3
3
7
12
18
-6
12
1.69 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
Last 6 Matches
Estoril
VS
Alverca
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.50 PPG 1.67
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
67% BTTS % 33%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.63 Avg xG 1.24
Estoril
D W W L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Estoril
3 3
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 20:30
FC Porto
1 0
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Nov 2025 - 20:15
Estoril
4 3
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Rio Ave
0 4
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Oct 2025 - 15:30
Estoril
1 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Oct 2025 - 19:15
Casa Pia
2 2
Estoril
Alverca
L L D W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Alverca
1 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 2
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Alverca
1 1
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Oct 2025 - 20:15
Sporting CP
2 0
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Oct 2025 - 19:15
Alverca
0 4
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Oct 2025 - 17:00
AVS
1 3
Alverca
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Estoril will take on Alverca as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-27 at 2025-12-27 in the famous Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Estoril, and the visiting side, Alverca. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Alverca. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-27 Time: 20:30 Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Estoril vs Alverca Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 15:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Estoril vs Alverca Football 27 Dec, 2025 15:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Estoril vs Alverca

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Estoril is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (11 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Estoril is stronger in the second half (12 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Estoril

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Alverca

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
13
Momentum
-0.05
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Estoril - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Alverca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.38
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.46
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.46

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Estoril - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Alverca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
0
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Estoril often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Estoril scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (11 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Estoril to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Estoril shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Estoril winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Estoril has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Estoril handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.268
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.004
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Estoril):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Alverca):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Estoril
Alverca

Estoril vs Alverca Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 15:30 Primeira Liga

Estoril vs Alverca: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Estoril and away matches for Alverca

Number of goals

Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Estoril
Alverca
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Estoril
Alverca
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
40% 4
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Estoril
Alverca
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
70% 7
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Estoril
Alverca
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
20% 2
60% 6
4+
50% 5
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
Estoril
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Estoril
Alverca
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Estoril
Alverca
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Estoril
Alverca
xG
1.26
1.15
xGa
1.33
1.18

Number of goals

Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Estoril
Alverca
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Estoril
Alverca
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
50% 5
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Estoril
Alverca
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
80% 8
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Estoril
Alverca
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Estoril
Alverca
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5

Number of goals

Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Estoril
Alverca
Yes
30% 3
0% 0
No
70% 7
100% 10

1X2

1X2
Estoril
Alverca
1
40% 4
60% 6
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
20% 2
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Estoril
Alverca
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
40% 4

Total Goals

Total Goals
Estoril
Alverca
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Estoril
Alverca
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Alverca
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
8.8%
Low
N/A
3.3%
Low
N/A
-2
15.7%
Low
N/A
7.2%
Low
N/A
-1.5
22.5%
Low
N/A
11.1%
Low
N/A
-1
34.1%
Low
N/A
19.7%
Low
N/A
-0.5
45.6%
Low
N/A
28.4%
Low
N/A
+0.5
71.6%
High
N/A
54.3%
Medium
N/A
+1
80.3%
High
N/A
65.9%
Medium
N/A
+1.5
88.9%
High
N/A
77.4%
High
N/A
+2
92.8%
High
N/A
84.3%
High
N/A
+2.5
96.6%
High
N/A
91.2%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.71%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.559.40%MediumN/A
Under 1.540.60%LowN/A
AwayOver 1.548.47%LowN/A
Under 1.551.53%MediumN/A
HomeOver 2.532.33%LowN/A
Under 2.567.67%MediumN/A
AwayOver 2.522.44%LowN/A
Under 2.577.56%HighN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Estoril
Alverca
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 7 6 13
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.7 12 1.7 10 1.7 22
Goals Conceded 1.6 11 1.7 10 1.6 21
Yellow Cards 3.3 23 2.5 15 2.9 38
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0 0.2 1 0.1 1
Corners 4.3 30 3.7 22 4 52
Fouls 12.6 88 12.3 74 12.5 162
Offsides 1.3 9 1.7 10 1.5 19
Shots 11.9 83 13 78 12.4 161
Shots on Goal 4 28 3.8 23 3.9 51
Home Away All
Played 7 6 13
Wins 3 2 5
Draws 1 1 2
Losses 3 3 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.9 6 1.5 9 1.2 15
Goals Conceded 1.4 10 1.5 9 1.5 19
Yellow Cards 2.1 15 2.7 16 2.4 31
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.2 1 0.2 2
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.2 1 0.3 4
Corners 3.3 23 2 12 2.7 35
Fouls 12.7 89 13.5 81 13.1 170
Offsides 1.6 11 1.5 9 1.5 20
Shots 10.4 73 7.3 44 9 117
Shots on Goal 4 28 3 18 3.5 46
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