Estoril vs Alverca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 27 December, 2025 15:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
Estoril
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Estoril vs Alverca Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 15:30 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Estoril vs Alverca Football 27 Dec, 2025 15:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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⚽
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
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🟨
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Estoril vs Alverca, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Estoril(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/774%Estoril score 1.71 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
Alverca(1 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent5/683%Alverca efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Estoril(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Estoril score (1.71/match) and concede (1.57/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 45%)
Alverca(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/667%Alverca score (1.50/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 45%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Estoril(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/774%Estoril score 1.71 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
🛡️ Double Chance
Alverca(1 trends)
- Undefeated at HTRecent6/6100%Alverca are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Estoril(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/774%Estoril score 1.71 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent24/3080%Estoril scored 1+ goals in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Alverca(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent5/683%Alverca scored 1+ goals in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Estoril(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Estoril receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent24/3080%Estoril receive 2+ cards in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Alverca(2 trends) — avg 3.0 (-34% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/685%Alverca average 3.0 corners/match in away matches (-34% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent3/475%Alverca win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
+2 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Estoril vs Alverca
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (11 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Estoril is stronger in the second half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Estoril
✈️ Alverca
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Estoril - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Alverca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Estoril - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Alverca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Estoril often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Estoril scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (11 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Estoril to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Estoril shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 6 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Estoril winning the second half
- Overall Result: Estoril has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Estoril handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Estoril):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Alverca):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Estoril vs Alverca Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 15:30 Primeira Liga
Estoril vs Alverca: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Estoril and away matches for Alverca
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.8% Low N/A | 3.3% Low N/A |
| -2 | 15.7% Low N/A | 7.2% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 22.5% Low N/A | 11.1% Low N/A |
| -1 | 34.1% Low N/A | 19.7% Low N/A |
| -0.5 | 45.6% Low N/A | 28.4% Low N/A |
| +0.5 | 71.6% High N/A | 54.3% Medium N/A |
| +1 | 80.3% High N/A | 65.9% Medium N/A |
| +1.5 | 88.9% High N/A | 77.4% High N/A |
| +2 | 92.8% High N/A | 84.3% High N/A |
| +2.5 | 96.6% High N/A | 91.2% High N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.71%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 59.40% | Medium | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 40.60% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 48.47% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 51.53% | Medium | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 32.33% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 67.67% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 22.44% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 77.56% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
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0
0
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 12 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.7 | 22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 11 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.6 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 3.3 | 23 | 2.5 | 15 | 2.9 | 38 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Corners | 4.3 | 30 | 3.7 | 22 | 4 | 52 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 88 | 12.3 | 74 | 12.5 | 162 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 9 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 19 |
| Shots | 11.9 | 83 | 13 | 78 | 12.4 | 161 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 28 | 3.8 | 23 | 3.9 | 51 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.9 | 6 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.2 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 10 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.5 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 15 | 2.7 | 16 | 2.4 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 2.7 | 35 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 89 | 13.5 | 81 | 13.1 | 170 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 11 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 73 | 7.3 | 44 | 9 | 117 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 28 | 3 | 18 | 3.5 | 46 |


Primeira Liga 2025-2026