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Elche
4
0
Rayo Vallecano
Elche vs Villarreal: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 3 January, 2026 11:30
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.41 vs 1.15
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.45%
⭐
0:1
8.97%
0:2
4.25%
0:3
1.35%
0:4
0.32%
0:5
0.06%
1
1:0
11.44%
⭐
1:1
12.79%
🔥
1:2
6.98%
1:3
2.5%
1:4
0.66%
1:5
0.14%
2
2:0
6.92%
⭐
2:1
8.91%
⭐
2:2
5.53%
2:3
2.22%
2:4
0.66%
2:5
0.15%
3
3:0
2.79%
⭐
3:1
4.07%
⭐
3:2
2.84%
3:3
1.27%
3:4
0.42%
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
0.85%
⭐
4:1
1.37%
⭐
4:2
1.07%
⭐
4:3
0.53%
⭐
4:4
0.19%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.2%
⭐
5:1
0.37%
⭐
5:2
0.31%
⭐
5:3
0.17%
⭐
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
▲
11
4
3
33
16
17
37
4
▼
11
2
3
31
15
16
35
5
10
3
4
22
17
5
33
8
▼
7
2
9
16
24
-8
23
9
▲
5
7
5
23
20
3
22
10
▼
6
2
9
24
26
-2
20
1.47
xG
0.76
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Elche
VS
Villarreal
2/6 (33%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.33
PPG
2.50
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.22
Avg xG
1.49
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Elche will take on Villarreal as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-03 at 2026-01-03 in the famous Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Elche, and the visiting side, Villarreal. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Villarreal.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-03
Time: 17:30
Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Elche vs Villarreal Saturday, Jan 3rd, 2026 at 11:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Elche vs Villarreal Football 3 Jan, 2026 11:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Elche have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Elche create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Elche vs Villarreal, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Villarreal @ 2.23 ✅ 
Villarreal
- Above League AverageLeague7/771.5%Villarreal score 1.57 goals/match in away matches (+23% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Villarreal rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.57 goals/match vs league avg 2.56)
- UnbeatenRecent13/1681%Villarreal are unbeaten in 13 of their last 16 La Liga matches
Villarreal demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.70 
Elche(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/956%Elche score well (1.78/match) but have strong defense at home (0.56 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
Villarreal(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/757%Villarreal score (1.57/match) and concede (1.29/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 50%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.89 ⚠️
Elche(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Elche score 1.78 goals/match at home (+39% above league average)
Villarreal(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/771.5%Villarreal score 1.57 goals/match in away matches (+23% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Villarreal rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.57 goals/match vs league avg 2.56)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H4/666.7%Over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Teams average combined 3.4 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Elche Win or Draw @ 1.75 ✅ 
Elche
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Elche concede only 0.56 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Elche demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Villarreal Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.06 ✅ 
Villarreal
- Above League AverageLeague7/771.5%Villarreal score 1.57 goals/match in away matches (+23% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Villarreal rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.57 goals/match vs league avg 2.56)
- Scored 1+Recent14/1688%Villarreal scored 1+ goals in 14 of their last 16 La Liga matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent13/1681%Villarreal score in second half in 13 of their last 16 La Liga matches
Villarreal maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Elche(1 trends) — avg 1.9 (-23% below league)
- Many CardsH2H5/683%Elche receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 La Liga matches
Villarreal(1 trends) — avg 2.4 (-2% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1686%Villarreal average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 2.2) — rank #4 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.7 cards per match in their last 6 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.62 ✅ 
Elche(2 trends) — avg 3.3 (-31% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/985%Elche average 3.3 corners/match at home (-31% below league avg 4.8)
- Few CornersRecent15/1788%Elche win 4 or fewer corners in 15 of their last 17 La Liga matches
Villarreal(1 trends) — avg 3.2 (-34% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Villarreal average 3.2 corners/match in away matches (-34% below league avg 4.8)
Combined average: 6.5 corners/match (Elche 3.3 + Villarreal 3.2) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+4 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Elche vs Villarreal
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Elche is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Elche
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.18
✈️ Villarreal
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.33
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Elche - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Villarreal - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Elche - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Villarreal - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Elche often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Elche scoring first
- Overall Result: Elche has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Elche handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.093
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.062
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Elche):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Villarreal):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Elche vs Villarreal Head-to-head statistics for Sat 3 Jan, 2026 @ 11:30 La Liga
Elche vs Villarreal: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Elche and away matches for Villarreal
Number of goals
Elche
Under
Over
Villarreal
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Elche
Villarreal
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Elche
Villarreal
1
20%
2
60%
6
X
30%
3
0%
0
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Elche
Villarreal
12
70%
7
100%
10
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
80%
8
40%
4
Total Goals
Elche
Villarreal
0-1
30%
3
10%
1
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
50%
5
40%
4
Total Corners
Elche
Under
Over
Villarreal
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Elche
Villarreal
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Elche
Villarreal
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
40%
4
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Elche
Villarreal
xG
1.02
1.72
xGa
1.49
1.2
Number of goals
Elche
Under
Over
Villarreal
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Elche
Villarreal
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Elche
Villarreal
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
70%
7
20%
2
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Elche
Villarreal
12
30%
3
80%
8
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
Elche
Villarreal
0-1
80%
8
90%
9
2-3
20%
2
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Elche
Villarreal
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Elche
Under
Over
Villarreal
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Elche
Villarreal
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Elche
Villarreal
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Elche
Villarreal
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
Elche
Villarreal
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Elche
Villarreal
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Elche or Draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 41.32% | Low | 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 58.68% | Medium | 1.49 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 32.03% | Low | 2.06 |
| Under 1.5 | 67.97% | Medium | 1.79 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 17.01% | Low | 7.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 82.99% | High | 1.11 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 11.05% | Low | 4.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 88.95% | High | 1.23 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Elche
Villarreal
Played:
6
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
7
1.2
Goals
1.8
11
11
1.8
Goals Conceded
1.2
7
16
2.7
Yellow Cards
2
12
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
24
4
Corners
6.3
38
81
13.5
Fouls
11.7
70
10
1.7
Offsides
2.8
17
50
8.3
Shots
12.7
76
14
2.3
Shots on Goal
5.3
32
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 0 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 5 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.8 | 16 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.4 | 23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 5 | 1.9 | 15 | 1.2 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 17 | 1.8 | 14 | 1.8 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 5 | 0 | 0.3 | 5 | |
| Corners | 3.3 | 30 | 2.6 | 21 | 3 | 51 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 119 | 12.6 | 101 | 12.9 | 220 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 16 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 13.7 | 123 | 8 | 64 | 11 | 187 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 45 | 2.6 | 21 | 3.9 | 66 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 7 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 4 | 11 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.2 | 20 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.9 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 6 | 1.3 | 9 | 0.9 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 14 | 3.4 | 24 | 2.4 | 38 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 5 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 7 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 50 | 2.7 | 19 | 4.3 | 69 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 100 | 12.9 | 90 | 11.9 | 190 |
| Offsides | 3.4 | 31 | 1.3 | 9 | 2.5 | 40 |
| Shots | 16 | 144 | 9.1 | 64 | 13 | 208 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.3 | 57 | 3.1 | 22 | 4.9 | 79 |
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