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Form
Form
Championship 2025-2026 • Matchweek 29
Preview
Derby
Derby
13th place
Form
VS
20:00
23 Jan 2026
West Brom
West Brom
18th place
Form
Pride Park Stadium
AI Prediction Double chance : Derby or draw
1 - X - 2 -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Derby vs West Brom: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 23 January, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)-
Derby to Win
Probability 50%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 59%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 53%
Derby Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 82%
West Brom Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 94%
Double Chance-
Derby/Draw
Probability 78%
Asian Handicap-
Derby +2.5
Probability 98%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
• 20:00
Derby W 50%
:
West Brom W 22%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Derby
d d l w l
14 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (17 total)
xG
1.00 (14.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (144 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (34% acc)
Corners
5.7 (80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.7 (150 total)
Offsides
1.8 (25 total)
12 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (18 total)
xG
0.80 (9.8 total)
Shots per Match
7.6 (91 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (35% acc)
Corners
3.8 (45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.5 (150 total)
Offsides
0.9 (11 total)
26 Played
9 Wins
8 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (35 total)
xG
0.90 (23.9 total)
Shots per Match
9 (235 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (34% acc)
Corners
4.8 (125 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
11.5 (300 total)
Offsides
1.4 (36 total)
West Brom
l l w l l
12 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (16 total)
xG
1.40 (17.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.5 (186 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (33% acc)
Corners
6.3 (76 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.8 (118 total)
Offsides
2 (24 total)
14 Played
3 Wins
0 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (13 total)
xG
1.00 (14.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (166 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (31% acc)
Corners
4 (56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.2 (129 total)
Offsides
1.6 (22 total)
26 Played
9 Wins
4 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (29 total)
xG
1.20 (31.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.5 (352 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (32% acc)
Corners
5.1 (132 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
9.5 (247 total)
Offsides
1.8 (46 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.45 vs 0.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.43%
⭐
0:1
8.5%
0:2
3.46%
⭐
0:3
0.94%
⭐
0:4
0.19%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
14.44%
🔥
1:1
12.45%
1:2
5.35%
1:3
1.53%
⭐
1:4
0.33%
⭐
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
10%
2:1
9.09%
2:2
4.11%
⭐
2:3
1.23%
⭐
2:4
0.28%
⭐
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
4.61%
⭐
3:1
4.41%
3:2
2.1%
3:3
0.66%
3:4
0.15%
⭐
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
1.6%
⭐
4:1
1.6%
⭐
4:2
0.8%
4:3
0.26%
4:4
0.06%
⭐
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.44%
⭐
5:1
0.46%
5:2
0.24%
5:3
0.08%
⭐
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
⭐
Hotspot: 1:0 (14.4%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.4%
0
22.9%
1
25.9%
2
20.0%
3
11.8%
4
5.7%
5
2.3%
6
0.7%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

DerbyHDPWest Brom
9.3%
Very Low
-2.5
1.6%
Very Low
16.9%
Very Low
-2
4.2%
Very Low
24.5%
Low
-1.5
6.9%
Very Low
37.4%
Low
-1
14.5%
Very Low
50.3%
Medium
-0.5
22.1%
Low
77.9%
High
+0.5
49.7%
Medium
85.5%
Very High
+1
62.6%
High
93.1%
Very High
+1.5
75.5%
High
95.7%
Very High
+2
83.1%
Very High
98.4%
Very High
+2.5
90.7%
Very High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

DerbyOutcomeWest Brom
76.5%
High
Over 0.5
58.5%
Medium
23.5%
Low
Under 0.5
41.5%
Medium
42.5%
Medium
Over 1.5
22.0%
Low
57.5%
Medium
Under 1.5
78.0%
High
17.9%
Very Low
Over 2.5
6.0%
Very Low
82.1%
Very High
Under 2.5
94.0%
Very High
6.0%
Very Low
Over 3.5
1.3%
Very Low
94.1%
Very High
Under 3.5
98.8%
Very High
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on West Brom as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-01-23 at 2026-01-23 in the famous Pride Park Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, West Brom. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Derby or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-23 Time: 20:00 Location: Pride Park Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Derby vs West Brom Friday, Jan 23rd, 2026 at 14:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Derby vs West Brom Football 23 Jan, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • ⚽
    BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

Comprehensive betting trends for Derby vs West Brom, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.

🏆 Match Winner

Derby(4 trends)

  • UnbeatenH2H5/5100%
    Derby are unbeaten in their last 5 5 matches
  • WonH2H4/580%
    Derby have won their last 4 5 matches
  • Efficient ScoringH2H4/580%
    Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
  • Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%
    Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches

West Brom(2 trends)

  • Not WinH2H4/580%
    West Brom have not won their last 4 5 matches
  • LostH2H4/580%
    West Brom have lost their last 4 5 matches

⚽ Both Teams To Score

Derby(1 trends)

  • BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%
    Derby score (1.25/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)

🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Head-to-Head(1 trends)

  • Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/560%
    Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)

🛡️ Double Chance

Derby(2 trends)

  • UnbeatenH2H5/5100%
    Derby are unbeaten in their last 5 5 matches
  • Undefeated at HTH2H5/5100%
    Derby are undefeated at half time in their last 5 5 matches

West Brom(1 trends)

  • Not WinH2H4/580%
    West Brom have not won their last 4 5 matches

⚡ Team Total Goals

Derby(2 trends)

  • Scored 1+Recent4/580%
    Derby scored 1+ goals in their last 4 5 matches
  • Second Half SpecialistsRecent4/580%
    Derby score in second half in their last 4 5 matches

🟨 Cards Over/Under

Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)

  • High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%
    Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league

West Brom(2 trends) — avg 1.6 (-18% below league)

  • Few CardsH2H5/5100%
    West Brom receive 0-1 card in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches
  • Low Card MatchesLeague22/2284.5%
    West Brom average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 1.8)

Head-to-Head(1 trends)

  • Low Card MatchesH2H%
    Average 3.0 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
💡West Brom disciplined play balances Derby aggression —

🚩 Corners Over/Under

Derby(1 trends) — avg 5.2 (+2% above league)

  • Few CornersH2H3/475%
    Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Championship matches

West Brom(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-20% below league)

  • Few CornersLeague12/1285%
    West Brom average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-20% below league avg 5.0)
💡Low corner activity in recent matches -

+11 Streak trends are hidden

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Derby vs West Brom

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: West Brom is stronger in the second half (15 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Derby

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06

✈️ West Brom

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Derby - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ West Brom - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Derby - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
3

✈️ West Brom - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: West Brom shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 8 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of West Brom winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.015
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.017
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (West Brom):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Derby
West Brom

Derby vs West Brom Head-to-head statistics for Fri 23 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 Championship

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12 ▲
Leicester
Leicester
l l w l w
>
26
10
7
9
37
38
-1
37
13 ▼
Derby
Derby
d d l w l
>
26
9
8
9
35
35
0
35
14 ▲
Birmingham
Birmingham
l d d l w
>
26
9
7
10
35
36
-1
34
17 ▼
Swansea
Swansea
w l w w l
>
26
9
5
12
27
33
-6
32
18
West Brom
West Brom
l l w l l
>
26
9
4
13
29
35
-6
31
19
Charlton
Charlton
w l l d d
>
25
7
8
10
25
32
-7
29
Championship 2025-2026
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Derby or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Derby
VS
West Brom
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (7)
0.4 (2)
xG
0.70
1.10
Shots
5.8 (29)
17.8 (89)
Shots on Target
2 (10)
4.6 (23)
Corners
2.8 (14)
5.4 (27)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 (2)
1.4 (7)
xGa
1.10
0.70
Clean Sheets
3 (60%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (10)
1 (5)
Fouls
11.4 (57)
8.4 (42)
Offsides
2.2 (11)
1.6 (8)
13 Sep
- 14:00
West Brom
Derby
1.15
xG
0.32
0
1
Prob 71%
Double Chance 1X
Odd 1.18
21 Apr
- 14:00
West Brom
Derby
0.96
xG
0.88
1
3
26 Dec
- 17:30
Derby
West Brom
0.84
xG
1.33
2
1
27 Dec
- 15:00
Derby
West Brom
1
0
14 Sep
- 19:00
West Brom
Derby
0
0
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
West Brom
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
1.33 PPG 1.00
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
67% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.90 Avg xG 1.64
Derby
D D L W L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Derby
1 2
Wrexham
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Derby
1 0
Middlesbrough
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Leicester
2 1
Derby
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Birmingham
1 1
Derby
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Derby
1 1
Portsmouth
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Sheffield Wednesday
0 3
Derby
West Brom
L L W L L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Leicester
2 1
West Brom
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Swansea
1 0
West Brom
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Dec 2025 - 19:45
West Brom
2 1
QPR
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Dec 2025 - 15:00
West Brom
1 2
Bristol City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Hull City
1 0
West Brom
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Dec 2025 - 20:00
West Brom
2 0
Sheffield Utd

Derby vs West Brom: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for West Brom

Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
West Brom
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Derby
West Brom
Yes
80% 8
70% 7
No
20% 2
30% 3
1X2
Derby
West Brom
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
40% 4
60% 6
Double Chance
Derby
West Brom
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Derby
West Brom
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
80% 8
50% 5
4+
10% 1
30% 3
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
West Brom
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Derby
West Brom
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
West Brom
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Derby
West Brom
xG
0.98
1.41
xGa
1.12
0.85
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
West Brom
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Derby
West Brom
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Derby
West Brom
1
40% 4
10% 1
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
20% 2
50% 5
Double Chance
Derby
West Brom
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
80% 8
50% 5
X2
60% 6
90% 9
Total Goals
Derby
West Brom
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Derby
West Brom
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
West Brom
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Derby
West Brom
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Derby
West Brom
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Derby
West Brom
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Derby
West Brom
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Derby
West Brom
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1.60 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
Derby
West Brom
Full-Time: Derby County 2, West Bromwich Albion 1 - Championship Match Summary
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Substitutes Who Achieved a Hat-Trick After Coming Off the Bench
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