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Derby
Derby vs Swansea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 9:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
6
8
4
23
20
3
26
11
7
5
6
25
25
0
26
12
7
4
7
20
22
-2
25
20
4
6
8
20
25
-5
18
21
4
5
9
18
27
-9
17
22
4
5
9
15
25
-10
17
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Swansea
4/6 (67%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
5/6 (83%)
2.00
PPG
0.17
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
2.50
100%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.94
Avg xG
0.54
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
0.97
xG [Total: 1.58]
0.61
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
5
Corners [Total: 10]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
12
Fouls [Total: 22]
10
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
4
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Swansea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 32 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Swansea. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-14
Time: 15:00
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Derby vs Swansea Football 14 Feb, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs Swansea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Swansea
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Swansea(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Swansea are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
- Efficient ScoringH2H4/580%Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/967%Derby score (1.33/match) and concede (1.44/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Swansea(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Swansea struggle to score in away matches (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Swansea
Swansea(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Swansea are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/580%Swansea are undefeated at half time in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
⚡ Team Total Goals
Derby(2 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent13/1587%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent23/3077%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Swansea(3 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H4/580%Swansea scored 1+ goals in their last 4 5 matches vs Derby
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H4/580%Swansea conceded under 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
- Weak AttackLeague5/956%Swansea struggle to score in away matches (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Derby average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Derby receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Derby receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
Swansea(2 trends)
- Few CardsH2H4/580%Swansea receive 0-1 card in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1880%Swansea average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+10% above league avg 1.8)
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 2.6 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 5 (-2% below league)
- Few CornersH2H3/475%Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Championship matches vs Swansea
Swansea(2 trends) — avg 4.3 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersH2H5/5100%Swansea win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Derby
- Few CornersLeague9/977%Swansea average 4.3 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.9)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+20 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs Swansea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Swansea
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Swansea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Swansea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.255
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.006
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Swansea):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Derby vs Swansea Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Derby vs Swansea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Swansea
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Swansea
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Derby
Swansea
1
60%
6
10%
1
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
30%
3
70%
7
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Swansea
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
70%
7
30%
3
X2
40%
4
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Swansea
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Swansea
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Swansea
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
60%
6
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Derby
Swansea
xG
0.98
0.59
xGa
1.28
1.55
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Swansea
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Derby
Swansea
1
70%
7
10%
1
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
10%
1
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Swansea
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
90%
9
40%
4
X2
30%
3
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Swansea
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Swansea
Yes
80%
8
30%
3
No
20%
2
70%
7
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Swansea
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Derby
Swansea
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Swansea
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Swansea
0-1
50%
5
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Swansea
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Derby
Swansea
Played:
5
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
0.8
Goals
1.2
6
6
1.2
Goals Conceded
0.8
4
10
2
Yellow Cards
0.6
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.4
2
15
3
Corners
3.4
17
68
13.6
Fouls
10.4
52
5
1
Offsides
1
5
57
11.4
Shots
8
40
22
4.4
Shots on Goal
2.4
12
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 20 | 2.7 | 24 | 2.4 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 106 | 13 | 117 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Shots | 9.1 | 82 | 7 | 63 | 8.1 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 2.4 | 22 | 2.7 | 49 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.1 | 10 | 0.9 | 8 | 1 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 15 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.5 | 27 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 16 | 2.1 | 19 | 1.9 | 35 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 38 | 4.3 | 39 | 4.3 | 77 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 93 | 10.1 | 91 | 10.2 | 184 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 16 | 2.3 | 21 | 2.1 | 37 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 89 | 10 | 90 | 9.9 | 179 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.2 | 29 | 3.4 | 31 | 3.3 | 60 |