Login
Register
Derby
1
1
Portsmouth
Derby vs Swansea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 9:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
▼
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
12
8
7
7
31
30
1
31
13
▼
8
7
7
31
31
0
31
18
8
2
12
28
31
-3
26
19
7
5
10
24
30
-6
26
20
7
4
10
22
26
-4
25
0.88
xG
0.76
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Swansea
2/6 (33%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.33
PPG
1.50
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
83%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.09
Avg xG
0.94
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Swansea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 32 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Swansea. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-14
Time: 15:00
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Derby vs Swansea Football 14 Feb, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs Swansea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
Swansea(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Swansea are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H4/580%Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent17/2277%Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%Derby score (1.25/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Swansea(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/1050%Swansea struggle to score in away matches (0.90/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H3/560%Both teams scored in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Swansea(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/1050%Swansea struggle to score in away matches (0.90/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H3/560%Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
Swansea(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Swansea are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/580%Swansea are undefeated at half time in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Swansea(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent4/580%Swansea scored 1+ goals in their last 4 5 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Swansea(2 trends) — avg 2 (+2% above league)
- Few CardsH2H4/580%Swansea receive 0-1 card in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2286%Swansea average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 2.6 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 5.1
- Few CornersH2H3/475%Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Championship matches
Swansea(1 trends) — avg 4.8 (-6% below league)
- Few CornersH2H5/5100%Swansea win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+8 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs Swansea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Swansea is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Swansea is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Swansea is stronger in the second half (14 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Swansea is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Swansea is stronger in the second half (14 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Swansea
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Swansea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Swansea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Swansea often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Swansea scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Swansea is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Swansea to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Swansea shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 10 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Swansea winning the second half
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.111
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.06
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Swansea):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Derby vs Swansea Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Derby vs Swansea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Swansea
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Swansea
Yes
90%
9
70%
7
No
10%
1
30%
3
1X2
Derby
Swansea
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
30%
3
60%
6
Double Chance
Derby
Swansea
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
70%
7
40%
4
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Derby
Swansea
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
70%
7
70%
7
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Swansea
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Swansea
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
50%
5
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Derby
Swansea
xG
1.02
0.8
xGa
1.07
0.97
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Swansea
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2
Derby
Swansea
1
70%
7
20%
2
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
10%
1
60%
6
Double Chance
Derby
Swansea
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
90%
9
40%
4
X2
30%
3
80%
8
Total Goals
Derby
Swansea
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Swansea
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Swansea
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
Derby
Swansea
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Derby
Swansea
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Derby
Swansea
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Derby
Swansea
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Derby
Swansea
Played:
5
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
0.8
Goals
1.2
6
6
1.2
Goals Conceded
0.8
4
10
2
Yellow Cards
0.6
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.4
2
15
3
Corners
3.4
17
68
13.6
Fouls
10.4
52
5
1
Offsides
1
5
57
11.4
Shots
8
40
22
4.4
Shots on Goal
2.4
12
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 15 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 18 | 1.2 | 12 | 1.4 | 30 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 26 | 2.5 | 25 | 2.3 | 51 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 64 | 4 | 40 | 4.7 | 104 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 131 | 12.5 | 125 | 11.6 | 256 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 23 | 0.9 | 9 | 1.5 | 32 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 123 | 7.8 | 78 | 9.1 | 201 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 40 | 2.9 | 29 | 3.1 | 69 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 6 | 10 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 15 | 0.9 | 9 | 1.1 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 16 | 1.4 | 14 | 1.4 | 30 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 22 | 2.3 | 23 | 2 | 45 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 5 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 58 | 4.6 | 46 | 4.7 | 104 |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 114 | 10.4 | 104 | 9.9 | 218 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 21 | 2.4 | 24 | 2 | 45 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 141 | 10.4 | 104 | 11.1 | 245 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.7 | 44 | 3.7 | 37 | 3.7 | 81 |