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Derby
1
2
Wrexham
Derby vs Swansea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 9:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
14
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(144 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(150 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
12
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(18 total)
xG
0.80
(9.8 total)
Shots per Match
7.6
(91 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(35% acc)
Corners
3.8
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.5
(150 total)
Offsides
0.9
(11 total)
26
Played
9
Wins
8
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(35 total)
xG
0.90
(23.9 total)
Shots per Match
9
(235 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(34% acc)
Corners
4.8
(125 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.5
(300 total)
Offsides
1.4
(36 total)
13
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(16 total)
xG
0.90
(11.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(154 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(31% acc)
Corners
4.7
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.3
(121 total)
Offsides
1.6
(21 total)
13
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(11 total)
xG
0.80
(10.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.5
(137 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(37% acc)
Corners
4.2
(55 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.3
(134 total)
Offsides
2.5
(32 total)
26
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(27 total)
xG
0.80
(21.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(291 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(34% acc)
Corners
4.5
(116 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.8
(255 total)
Offsides
2
(53 total)
No prediction data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Swansea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 32 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Swansea. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-14
Time: 15:00
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Derby vs Swansea Football 14 Feb, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs Swansea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
Swansea(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Swansea are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H4/580%Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent17/2277%Swansea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%Derby score (1.25/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Swansea(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/1050%Swansea struggle to score in away matches (0.90/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H3/560%Both teams scored in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Swansea(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/1050%Swansea struggle to score in away matches (0.90/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H3/560%Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
Swansea(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Swansea are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/580%Swansea are undefeated at half time in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Swansea(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent4/580%Swansea scored 1+ goals in their last 4 5 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Swansea(2 trends) — avg 1.9 (-3% below league)
- Few CardsH2H4/580%Swansea receive 0-1 card in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2286%Swansea average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 2.6 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 5.2 (+2% above league)
- Few CornersH2H3/475%Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Championship matches
Swansea(1 trends) — avg 4.7 (-8% below league)
- Few CornersH2H5/5100%Swansea win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+8 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs Swansea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Swansea is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Swansea
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Swansea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Swansea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Swansea shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Swansea winning the second half
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.132
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.055
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Swansea):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Derby vs Swansea Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
▲
10
7
9
37
38
-1
37
13
▼
9
8
9
35
35
0
35
14
▲
9
7
10
35
36
-1
34
16
▼
10
2
13
36
38
-2
32
17
▼
9
5
12
27
33
-6
32
18
9
4
13
29
35
-6
31
Derby
VS
Swansea
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (4)
1.2 (6)
xG
1.80
0.40
Shots
11.4 (57)
8 (40)
Shots on Target
4.4 (22)
2.4 (12)
Corners
3 (15)
3.4 (17)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 (6)
0.8 (4)
xGa
0.40
1.80
Clean Sheets
1 (20%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (10)
0.6 (3)
Fouls
13.6 (68)
10.4 (52)
Offsides
1 (5)
1 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Swansea
2/6 (33%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.33
PPG
1.50
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
67%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.90
Avg xG
1.18
Derby vs Swansea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Swansea
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Swansea
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
1X2
Derby
Swansea
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
30%
3
0%
0
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Derby
Swansea
12
70%
7
100%
10
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Derby
Swansea
0-1
10%
1
40%
4
2-3
80%
8
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Swansea
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Swansea
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Derby
Swansea
xG
0.98
0.94
xGa
1.12
0.92
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Swansea
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2
Derby
Swansea
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Derby
Swansea
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Derby
Swansea
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Swansea
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Swansea
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Derby
Swansea
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Derby
Swansea
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Derby
Swansea
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Swansea
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1.13
xG
0.89
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
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