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Middlesbrough
2
1
Derby
Derby vs Millwall: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 10 December, 2025 13:45
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.08 vs 1.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.49%
0:1
12.5%
0:2
6.25%
0:3
2.09%
0:4
0.52%
0:5
0.1%
⭐
1
1:0
13.01%
1:1
13.51%
🔥
1:2
7.01%
1:3
2.42%
⭐
1:4
0.63%
1:5
0.13%
⭐
2
2:0
6.78%
⭐
2:1
7.29%
⭐
2:2
3.92%
⭐
2:3
1.4%
⭐
2:4
0.37%
⭐
2:5
0.08%
3
3:0
2.35%
3:1
2.62%
3:2
1.46%
⭐
3:3
0.54%
⭐
3:4
0.15%
3:5
0.03%
⭐
4
4:0
0.61%
4:1
0.71%
⭐
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.15%
⭐
4:4
0.04%
4:5
0.01%
⭐
5
5:0
0.13%
5:1
0.15%
⭐
5:2
0.09%
5:3
0.04%
⭐
5:4
0.01%
⭐
5:5
0%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
9
6
3
24
19
5
33
3
9
4
5
22
25
-3
31
4
9
3
6
26
14
12
30
10
6
8
4
23
20
3
26
11
7
5
6
25
25
0
26
12
7
4
7
20
22
-2
25
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Millwall
4/6 (67%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.00
PPG
1.33
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
100%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.94
Avg xG
1.41
Missing Players
-
Injured - Torn knee ligaments
-
Injured - Knee Surgery
1.08
xG [Total: 2.12]
1.04
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
1
5
Corners [Total: 10]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
12
Fouls [Total: 26]
15
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
4
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Millwall as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2025-12-10 at 2025-12-10 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Millwall. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Millwall.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-10
Time: 19:45
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Derby vs Millwall Football 10 Dec, 2025 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 83% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Clinical Finishers
Both teams convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — expect goals from limited opportunities
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs Millwall, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/4100%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 4 Championship matches vs Millwall
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/475%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 4 Championship matches vs Millwall
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Millwall(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/4100%Millwall are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches vs Derby
- Top Table FormLeague65%Millwall are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Efficient ScoringRecent11/1479%Millwall efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 11 of their last 14 Championship (Away) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/967%Derby score (1.33/match) and concede (1.44/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Millwall(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/875%Millwall score (1.25/match) and concede (1.63/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H3/475%Both teams scored in 3 of their last 4 Championship H2H matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/4100%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 4 Championship matches vs Millwall
Millwall(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/4100%Millwall are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches vs Derby
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/4100%Millwall are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches vs Derby
- Top Table FormLeague65%Millwall are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Derby(3 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H3/475%Derby scored 1+ goals in 3 of their last 4 Championship matches vs Millwall
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent13/1587%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent23/3077%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Millwall(3 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H4/4100%Millwall scored 1+ goals in their last 4 4 matches vs Derby
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H4/4100%Millwall conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 4 4 matches vs Derby
- Scored 1+Recent11/1479%Millwall scored 1+ goals in 11 of their last 14 Championship (Away) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Derby average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Derby receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Derby receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
Millwall(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague18/1886%Millwall average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-14% below league avg 1.8)
Millwall disciplined play balances Derby aggression — • H2H average: 2.5 total cards/match
+16 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs Millwall
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Millwall is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Millwall
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Millwall - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Millwall - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Millwall is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Millwall to win the first half
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.102
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.006
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Millwall):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Derby vs Millwall Head-to-head statistics for Wed 10 Dec, 2025 @ 13:45 Championship
Derby vs Millwall: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Millwall
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Millwall
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Derby
Millwall
1
60%
6
60%
6
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Millwall
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
40%
4
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Millwall
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Millwall
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Millwall
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Derby
Millwall
xG
0.98
1.38
xGa
1.28
0.92
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Millwall
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Derby
Millwall
1
70%
7
40%
4
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Millwall
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
30%
3
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Millwall
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Millwall
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Millwall
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Derby
Millwall
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Millwall
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Millwall
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Millwall
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Millwall
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 29.40% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 70.60% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 27.90% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 72.10% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 9.58% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 90.42% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 8.78% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 91.22% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Derby
Millwall
Played:
4
Wins
0
0
Draws
2
2
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
3
0.8
Goals
1.3
5
5
1.3
Goals Conceded
0.8
3
4
1
Yellow Cards
1.3
5
1
0.3
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.3
1
21
5.3
Corners
4.8
19
42
10.5
Fouls
10.5
42
2
0.5
Offsides
3
12
41
10.3
Shots
12.3
49
9
2.3
Shots on Goal
4.3
17
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 20 | 2.7 | 24 | 2.4 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 106 | 13 | 117 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Shots | 9.1 | 82 | 7 | 63 | 8.1 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 2.4 | 22 | 2.7 | 49 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 8 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 3 | 9 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 12 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.2 | 22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 12 | 1.6 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 14 | 1.6 | 13 | 1.5 | 27 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 5 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 6 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 59 | 4.6 | 37 | 5.3 | 96 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 115 | 13.9 | 111 | 12.6 | 226 |
| Offsides | 2.1 | 21 | 2 | 16 | 2.1 | 37 |
| Shots | 13.9 | 139 | 10.5 | 84 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.8 | 38 | 3.5 | 28 | 3.7 | 66 |