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Derby
1
1
Portsmouth
Derby vs Middlesbrough: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 1 January, 2026 9:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.92 vs 1.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.21%
0:1
14.61%
🔥
⭐
0:2
8.08%
⭐
0:3
2.98%
0:4
0.82%
0:5
0.18%
1
1:0
11.44%
1:1
13.36%
1:2
7.78%
⭐
1:3
3.02%
1:4
0.87%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
4.95%
⭐
2:1
6.1%
⭐
2:2
3.73%
2:3
1.52%
⭐
2:4
0.46%
⭐
2:5
0.11%
3
3:0
1.43%
3:1
1.85%
3:2
1.19%
3:3
0.5%
⭐
3:4
0.16%
⭐
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
0.31%
⭐
4:1
0.42%
4:2
0.28%
4:3
0.13%
⭐
4:4
0.04%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.05%
5:1
0.08%
⭐
5:2
0.05%
⭐
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
⭐
5:5
0%
⭐
Hotspot:
0:1 (14.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
6
2
53
23
30
48
2
12
6
4
33
24
9
42
3
▲
10
7
5
38
23
15
37
11
▼
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
12
8
7
7
31
30
1
31
13
▼
8
7
7
31
31
0
31
0.81
xG
1.15
48%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Middlesbrough
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
2.00
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
2.17
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
83%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.09
Avg xG
1.43
Missing Players
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Middlesbrough as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 25 and will take place on 2026-01-01 at 2026-01-01 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Middlesbrough. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-01
Time: 15:00
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Derby vs Middlesbrough Football 1 Jan, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Chance Suppression
Middlesbrough rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs Middlesbrough, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(1 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
Middlesbrough(3 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Middlesbrough are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- UnbeatenRecent18/2282%Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent18/2282%Middlesbrough efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%Derby score (1.25/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/560%Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Middlesbrough(2 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Middlesbrough are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- UnbeatenRecent18/2282%Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Middlesbrough(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent18/2282%Middlesbrough scored 1+ goals in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(2 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- Many CardsH2H5/5100%Derby receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Middlesbrough(1 trends) — avg 1.4 (-29% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague22/2284.5%Middlesbrough average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 1.8)
Middlesbrough disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Middlesbrough(1 trends) — avg 6.1 (+22% above league)
- Many CornersLeague12/1285%Middlesbrough average 6.1 corners/match in away matches (+22% above league avg 5.0)
Moderate corner environment -
+6 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs Middlesbrough
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Middlesbrough
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Middlesbrough - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Middlesbrough - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.174
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.015
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Middlesbrough):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Derby vs Middlesbrough Head-to-head statistics for Thu 1 Jan, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Derby vs Middlesbrough: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Middlesbrough
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
90%
9
80%
8
No
10%
1
20%
2
1X2
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Derby
Middlesbrough
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Derby
Middlesbrough
0-1
0%
0
0%
0
2-3
70%
7
70%
7
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Middlesbrough
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Derby
Middlesbrough
xG
1.02
1.22
xGa
1.07
0.97
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
70%
7
40%
4
X
20%
2
0%
0
2
10%
1
60%
6
Double Chance
Derby
Middlesbrough
12
80%
8
100%
10
1X
90%
9
40%
4
X2
30%
3
60%
6
Total Goals
Derby
Middlesbrough
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
80%
8
30%
3
No
20%
2
70%
7
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Derby
Middlesbrough
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Derby
Middlesbrough
0-1
30%
3
70%
7
2-3
60%
6
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 23.48% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 76.52% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 32.29% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 67.71% | Medium | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 6.62% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 93.38% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 11.20% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 88.80% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Derby
Middlesbrough
Played:
5
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
3
0.6
Goals
1.4
7
7
1.4
Goals Conceded
0.6
3
11
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
9
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.4
2
28
5.6
Corners
6.2
31
65
13
Fouls
8.6
43
4
0.8
Offsides
1.4
7
29
5.8
Shots
16.8
84
9
1.8
Shots on Goal
5.2
26
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 15 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 18 | 1.2 | 12 | 1.4 | 30 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 26 | 2.5 | 25 | 2.3 | 51 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 64 | 4 | 40 | 4.7 | 104 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 131 | 12.5 | 125 | 11.6 | 256 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 23 | 0.9 | 9 | 1.5 | 32 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 123 | 7.8 | 78 | 9.1 | 201 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 40 | 2.9 | 29 | 3.1 | 69 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 16 | 1.4 | 17 | 1.5 | 33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 10 | 1.2 | 14 | 1.1 | 24 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.8 | 8 | 2.2 | 26 | 1.5 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 57 | 6.1 | 73 | 5.9 | 130 |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 89 | 9.3 | 111 | 9.1 | 200 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 15 | 2.1 | 25 | 1.8 | 40 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 129 | 14.3 | 171 | 13.6 | 300 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 43 | 3.7 | 44 | 4 | 87 |
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Final Score: Hull City 0, Middlesbrough 1 - Championship Match Highlights
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Championship: Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday Draw 3-3 at Full Time