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Middlesbrough
2
1
Derby
Derby vs Middlesbrough: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 1 January, 2026 10:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
13
4
1
50
18
32
43
2
10
6
3
28
20
8
36
3
9
4
5
22
25
-3
31
10
6
8
4
23
20
3
26
11
7
5
6
25
25
0
26
12
7
4
7
20
22
-2
25
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Middlesbrough
4/6 (67%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
2.00
PPG
1.83
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
100%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.94
Avg xG
1.08
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
0.79
xG [Total: 1.92]
1.13
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
5
Corners [Total: 11]
6
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
12
Fouls [Total: 22]
10
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
3
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Middlesbrough as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 25 and will take place on 2026-01-01 at 2026-01-01 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Middlesbrough. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-01
Time: 15:00
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Derby vs Middlesbrough Football 1 Jan, 2026 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Chance Suppression
Middlesbrough rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs Middlesbrough, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(1 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Middlesbrough(1 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Middlesbrough are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/967%Derby score (1.33/match) and concede (1.44/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 59%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Middlesbrough(1 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Middlesbrough are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Derby(2 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent13/1587%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent23/3077%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Middlesbrough(2 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H5/5100%Middlesbrough conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 5 5 matches vs Derby
- Defensive SolidarityRecent16/16100%Middlesbrough rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 16 of their last 16 Championship (Away) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(4 trends)
- Many CardsH2H5/5100%Derby receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches vs Middlesbrough
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Derby average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Derby receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Derby receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
Middlesbrough(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague19/1984.5%Middlesbrough average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 1.8)
Middlesbrough disciplined play balances Derby aggression — • H2H average: 4 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Middlesbrough(1 trends) — avg 5.7 (+16% above league)
- Many CornersLeague10/1081%Middlesbrough average 5.7 corners/match in away matches (+16% above league avg 4.9)
Moderate corner environment -
+20 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs Middlesbrough
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Middlesbrough
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.06
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Middlesbrough - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Middlesbrough - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Derby excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Derby scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Middlesbrough has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Middlesbrough handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.309
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.059
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.075
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Middlesbrough):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Derby vs Middlesbrough Head-to-head statistics for Thu 1 Jan, 2026 @ 10:00 Championship
Derby vs Middlesbrough: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Middlesbrough
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
70%
7
80%
8
No
30%
3
20%
2
1X2
1X2
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
60%
6
50%
5
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Middlesbrough
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
40%
4
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Middlesbrough
0-1
30%
3
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
70%
7
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Middlesbrough
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
30%
3
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Derby
Middlesbrough
xG
0.98
1.17
xGa
1.28
1.07
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
70%
7
40%
4
X
20%
2
0%
0
2
10%
1
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Middlesbrough
12
80%
8
100%
10
1X
90%
9
40%
4
X2
30%
3
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Middlesbrough
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
80%
8
30%
3
No
20%
2
70%
7
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Middlesbrough
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Middlesbrough
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Middlesbrough
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Derby
Middlesbrough
Played:
5
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
3
0.6
Goals
1.4
7
7
1.4
Goals Conceded
0.6
3
11
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
9
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.4
2
28
5.6
Corners
6.2
31
65
13
Fouls
8.6
43
4
0.8
Offsides
1.4
7
29
5.8
Shots
16.8
84
9
1.8
Shots on Goal
5.2
26
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 20 | 2.7 | 24 | 2.4 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 106 | 13 | 117 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Shots | 9.1 | 82 | 7 | 63 | 8.1 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 2.4 | 22 | 2.7 | 49 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 4 | 10 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 13 | 1.5 | 15 | 1.5 | 28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 9 | 1.1 | 11 | 1.1 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.8 | 7 | 2.2 | 22 | 1.5 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 47 | 5.7 | 57 | 5.5 | 104 |
| Fouls | 8.6 | 77 | 10.1 | 101 | 9.4 | 178 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 12 | 2.4 | 24 | 1.9 | 36 |
| Shots | 12.3 | 111 | 13.3 | 133 | 12.8 | 244 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 36 | 3.4 | 34 | 3.7 | 70 |
Final Score: Hull City 0, Middlesbrough 1 - Championship Match Highlights
Middlesbrough 0, Burnley 0: Final Score from Championship Clash
Championship: Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday Draw 3-3 at Full Time