Crystal Palace vs Brighton Football Match Stats & Results Sunday, 9 November, 2025 8:00

Preview: Crystal Palace vs Brighton | Premier League 2025-2026, Matchweek 11

📋 Introduction

This match is crucial for both Crystal Palace and Brighton as they find themselves in close proximity in the league table. With Crystal Palace sitting in 9th place (16 points) and Brighton just behind in 10th place (15 points), this encounter could have significant implications for their aspirations this season. Both teams will be eager to secure points to improve their standings and build momentum heading into the busy festive period.

🏠 Crystal Palace Analysis

Crystal Palace is currently experiencing a mixed run of form, having registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. At home, they have been relatively strong, with an unbeaten record of 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five fixtures, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match while conceding 1 goal per game. Their expected goals (xG) data indicates a slight overperformance, with an xG of 1.58 compared to an average of 1.6 goals scored. In their last match, they achieved a commendable 2-0 victory against Brentford, which should provide a boost in confidence. Moving forward, the pressure will be on to maintain this home form with a trip to Wolves coming next.

✈️ Brighton Analysis

Brighton has shown a more favorable trend in their recent performances, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches. However, their away form has been less impressive, managing only 1 win and 1 draw from their last five games on the road, averaging 1.4 goals scored while conceding 2 goals per match. Their xG of 1.55 suggests they have slightly underperformed, indicating potential for improvement. They come into this match on the back of a strong 3-0 home win against Leeds, which could provide the momentum they need as they prepare for this crucial away fixture against a local rival.

🔄 Head-to-Head

The head-to-head record between these two sides reflects a competitive rivalry, with Crystal Palace winning 3, Brighton securing 2 victories, and 5 draws in their last ten encounters. The average goals per match in these meetings is 2.6, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. Notably, the last five results include a mix of close matches, with recent trends showing both teams capable of scoring, adding to the anticipation for this fixture.

🔑 Key Factors

Statistical analysis suggests that home advantage could play a vital role in this matchup, as Crystal Palace has demonstrated solid home form. Their defensive record at home, allowing only 1 goal per match, could be crucial in stifling Brighton’s attacking threat. On the other hand, Brighton’s ability to score on the road has been inconsistent, which may limit their effectiveness. With both teams averaging similar goals conceded, tactical discipline will be essential. The team that can capitalize on their expected goals and maintain defensive solidity will likely emerge victorious. Furthermore, the pressure on both teams to secure points will intensify the competitive nature of this fixture.

🎯 AI Prediction (probabilities + exact score)

Based on statistical predictions, Crystal Palace has a 41.4% probability of winning, while Brighton stands at 30.8% for an away victory, and a 27.9% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, reflecting the statistical expectation of both teams’ scoring potential and their recent form. Confidence in this prediction is bolstered by the head-to-head statistics and the teams' current performances.

📝 Summary

This match between Crystal Palace and Brighton promises to be an exciting encounter, with both teams looking to strengthen their positions in the Premier League. Recent form, head-to-head statistics, and the tactical setups will all contribute to the dynamics of the game. The statistical insights suggest that a draw is a likely outcome, making this fixture particularly intriguing from a competitive standpoint.

Preview: Crystal Palace vs Brighton | Premier League 2025-2026, Matchweek 11

📋 Introduction

This match is crucial for both Crystal Palace and Brighton as they find themselves in close proximity in the league table. With Crystal Palace sitting in 9th place (16 points) and Brighton just behind in 10th place (15 points), this encounter could have significant implications for their aspirations this season. Both teams will be eager to secure points to improve their standings and build momentum heading into the busy festive period.

🏠 Crystal Palace Analysis

Crystal Palace is currently experiencing a mixed run of form, having registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. At home, they have been relatively strong, with an unbeaten record of 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five fixtures, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match while conceding 1 goal per game. Their expected goals (xG) data indicates a slight overperformance, with an xG of 1.58 compared to an average of 1.6 goals scored. In their last match, they achieved a commendable 2-0 victory against Brentford, which should provide a boost in confidence. Moving forward, the pressure will be on to maintain this home form with a trip to Wolves coming next.

✈️ Brighton Analysis

Brighton has shown a more favorable trend in their recent performances, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches. However, their away form has been less impressive, managing only 1 win and 1 draw from their last five games on the road, averaging 1.4 goals scored while conceding 2 goals per match. Their xG of 1.55 suggests they have slightly underperformed, indicating potential for improvement. They come into this match on the back of a strong 3-0 home win against Leeds, which could provide the momentum they need as they prepare for this crucial away fixture against a local rival.

🔄 Head-to-Head

The head-to-head record between these two sides reflects a competitive rivalry, with Crystal Palace winning 3, Brighton securing 2 victories, and 5 draws in their last ten encounters. The average goals per match in these meetings is 2.6, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. Notably, the last five results include a mix of close matches, with recent trends showing both teams capable of scoring, adding to the anticipation for this fixture.

🔑 Key Factors

Statistical analysis suggests that home advantage could play a vital role in this matchup, as Crystal Palace has demonstrated solid home form. Their defensive record at home, allowing only 1 goal per match, could be crucial in stifling Brighton’s attacking threat. On the other hand, Brighton’s ability to score on the road has been inconsistent, which may limit their effectiveness. With both teams averaging similar goals conceded, tactical discipline will be essential. The team that can capitalize on their expected goals and maintain defensive solidity will likely emerge victorious. Furthermore, the pressure on both teams to secure points will intensify the competitive nature of this fixture.

🎯 AI Prediction (probabilities + exact score)

Based on statistical predictions, Crystal Palace has a 41.4% probability of winning, while Brighton stands at 30.8% for an away victory, and a 27.9% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, reflecting the statistical expectation of both teams’ scoring potential and their recent form. Confidence in this prediction is bolstered by the head-to-head statistics and the teams' current performances.

📝 Summary

This match between Crystal Palace and Brighton promises to be an exciting encounter, with both teams looking to strengthen their positions in the Premier League. Recent form, head-to-head statistics, and the tactical setups will all contribute to the dynamics of the game. The statistical insights suggest that a draw is a likely outcome, making this fixture particularly intriguing from a competitive standpoint.