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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 17
28 Dec 2025-14:00
Cremonese
Cremonese
11th place
- : -
28 Dec 2025 9:00
Napoli
Napoli
3rd place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Cremonese vs Napoli: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 28 December, 2025 9:00

1×2 Prediction
Napoli
24%28%48%
CremoneseDrawNapoli
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
61%39%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
56%44%
NoYes
Team Total - Cremonese
Under 1.5
80%20%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Napoli
Under 1.5
58%42%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Napoli
76%24%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Cremonese +2
85%15%
Home +2NOT Home +2
Best Tip Value
Total - Away Napoli Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.3
81.9%
EV: +6.5%
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Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
9:00
Cremonese W 24%
:
Napoli W 48%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.85 vs 1.34
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.31%
0:1
15.05%
🔥
0:2
10.01%
0:3
4.44%
0:4
1.48%
0:5
0.39%
1
1:0
9.55%
1:1
12.79%
1:2
8.56%
1:3
3.82%
1:4
1.28%
1:5
0.34%
2
2:0
4.04%
2:1
5.44%
2:2
3.66%
2:3
1.65%
2:4
0.55%
2:5
0.15%
3
3:0
1.14%
3:1
1.54%
3:2
1.04%
3:3
0.47%
3:4
0.16%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
0.24%
4:1
0.33%
4:2
0.22%
4:3
0.1%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.06%
5:2
0.04%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (15.0%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.3%
0
24.6%
1
26.8%
2
19.6%
3
10.7%
4
4.7%
5
1.6%
6
0.4%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
AC Milan
d w w w d
>
15
9
5
1
24
13
11
32
3
Napoli
l w w w l
>
15
10
1
4
22
13
9
31
4
AS Roma
w l l w l
>
16
10
0
6
17
10
7
30

10
Sassuolo
d l w d l
>
16
6
3
7
21
20
1
21
11
Cremonese
l w w l d
>
16
5
6
5
18
18
0
21
12
Udinese
l w l w l
>
16
6
3
7
17
27
-10
21
0.97 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots Off Goal 9
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Cremonese
VS
Napoli
2/6 (33%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.17 PPG 1.67
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
33% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.20 Avg xG 1.51
Cremonese
L W W L D
Serie A 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Lazio
0 0
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Torino
1 0
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
7 Dec 2025 - 11:30
Cremonese
2 0
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Bologna
1 3
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Cremonese
1 3
AS Roma
Serie A 2025-2026
7 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Pisa
1 0
Cremonese
Napoli
W W W L L
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Udinese
1 0
Napoli
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Benfica
2 0
Napoli
Serie A 2025-2026
7 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Napoli
2 1
Juventus
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 19:45
AS Roma
0 1
Napoli
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Napoli
2 0
Qarabag
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Napoli
3 1
Atalanta
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Cremonese will take on Napoli as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2025-12-28 at 2025-12-28 in the famous Stadio Giovanni Zini. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Cremonese, and the visiting side, Napoli. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Napoli. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-28 Time: 14:00 Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Cremonese vs Napoli Sunday, Dec 28th, 2025 at 9:00 Football

Value Bets

8 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Asian Handicap Cremonese +1.5
Odds: 1.52
77.3%
EV: +17.5% Stake: $4.81
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Value
Win to Nil Napoli NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.58
70.3%
EV: +11.1% Stake: $4.31
Bet Now
Value
Goals Over/under Under 2.5
Odds: 1.83
60.7%
EV: +11.0% Stake: $3.01
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Cremonese +2.5
Odds: 1.17
91.7%
EV: +7.3% Stake: $10.00
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Total Away Under 2.5
Odds: 1.30
81.9%
EV: +6.5% Stake: $8.33
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Best Tip Value
Away Total Napoli Under 2.5
Odds: 1.30
81.9%
EV: +6.5% Stake: $8.33
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Cremonese +2
Odds: 1.23
84.5%
EV: +3.9% Stake: $10.00
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-26 02:02:16
spinner

Trends for Cremonese vs Napoli Football 28 Dec, 2025 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Napoli have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Cremonese vs Napoli

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Cremonese

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Napoli

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Cremonese - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Napoli - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Cremonese - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Napoli - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Napoli has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Napoli handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.245
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.023
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Cremonese):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Napoli):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Cremonese
Napoli

Cremonese vs Napoli Head-to-head statistics for Sun 28 Dec, 2025 @ 9:00 Serie A

Cremonese vs Napoli: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Cremonese and away matches for Napoli

Number of goals
Cremonese
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Cremonese
Napoli
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
1X2
Cremonese
Napoli
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Cremonese
Napoli
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Cremonese
Napoli
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Total Corners
Cremonese
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Cremonese
Napoli
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Cremonese
Napoli
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Cremonese
Napoli
xG
1.11
1.22
xGa
1.3
0.87
Number of goals
Cremonese
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Cremonese
Napoli
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2
Cremonese
Napoli
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Cremonese
Napoli
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Cremonese
Napoli
0-1
90% 9
90% 9
2-3
10% 1
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Cremonese
Napoli
Yes
60% 6
90% 9
No
40% 4
10% 1
Number of goals
Cremonese
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Cremonese
Napoli
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Cremonese
Napoli
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Cremonese
Napoli
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Cremonese
Napoli
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Cremonese
Napoli
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
Napoli Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
1.8%
Low
N/A
8.4%
Low
5.00
-2
4.7%
Low
N/A
15.6%
Low
4.69
-1.5
7.5%
Low
15.50
22.8%
Low
2.69
-1
15.5%
Low
14.00
35.5%
Low
2.02
-0.5
23.5%
Low
6.60
48.2%
Low
1.59
+0.5
51.8%
Medium
2.54
76.5%
High
1.12
+1
64.5%
Medium
1.90
84.5%
High
1.02
+1.5
77.2%
High
1.52
92.5%
High
1.01
+2
84.4%
High
1.23
95.3%
High
N/A
+2.5
91.6%
High
1.17
98.2%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.520.72%Low5.50
Under 1.579.28%High1.18
AwayOver 1.538.64%Low1.82
Under 1.561.36%Medium2.05
HomeOver 2.55.40%Low19.00
Under 2.594.60%High1.03
AwayOver 2.515.16%Low3.55
Under 2.584.84%High1.30
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
12 Feb
- 19:45
Napoli
Cremonese
3
0
9 Oct
- 16:00
Cremonese
Napoli
1
4
club logo
Cremonese
Napoli
Played: 2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
1
0.5
Goals
3.5
7
7
3.5
Goals Conceded
0.5
1
4
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.5
1
12
6
Corners
5.5
11
25
12.5
Fouls
6.5
13
4
2
Offsides
2
4
18
9
Shots
18
36
2
1
Shots on Goal
10
20
Home Away All
Played 7 9 16
Wins 2 3 5
Draws 3 3 6
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 9 1 9 1.1 18
Goals Conceded 1.3 9 1 9 1.1 18
Yellow Cards 2 14 2.2 20 2.1 34
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.3 3 0.3 5
Corners 3.6 25 3.2 29 3.4 54
Fouls 12.1 85 13 117 12.6 202
Offsides 1.9 13 1.7 15 1.8 28
Shots 8.9 62 8 72 8.4 134
Shots on Goal 3.7 26 2.9 26 3.3 52
Home Away All
Played 7 8 15
Wins 6 4 10
Draws 1 0 1
Losses 0 4 4
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 14 1 8 1.5 22
Goals Conceded 0.9 6 0.9 7 0.9 13
Yellow Cards 1.7 12 1.3 10 1.5 22
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.4 3 0.3 5
Corners 6 42 4.9 39 5.4 81
Fouls 12.7 89 11.9 95 12.3 184
Offsides 1.6 11 0.6 5 1.1 16
Shots 12.6 88 12.1 97 12.3 185
Shots on Goal 5.3 37 4.3 34 4.7 71
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