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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 14
7 Dec 2025-11:30
Cremonese
Cremonese
11th place
- : -
7 Dec 2025 6:30
Lecce
Lecce
14th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Cremonese vs Lecce: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 6:30

1×2 Prediction
Cremonese
36%32%32%
CremoneseDrawLecce
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
69%31%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
61%39%
NoYes
Team Total - Cremonese
Under 1.5
74%26%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Lecce
Under 1.5
75%25%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Cremonese/Draw
68%32%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Lecce +1
77%23%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Goals Over/Under -2.5
Odds: 1.6
68.8%
EV: +10.1%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Total - Home Cremonese Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.46
73.6%
EV: +7.4%
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Cremonese vs Lecce: Serie A Showdown with Crucial Points at Stake

Intro Title

This clash between Cremonese and Lecce is crucial as both teams aim to secure vital points in the Serie A standings. Currently, Cremonese sits in 11th place with 17 points, while Lecce lags just behind in 14th with 13 points. A win for either side could significantly impact their aspirations for a mid-table finish and potentially ease relegation fears.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams come into this match with mixed recent performances, reflecting their struggle for consistency in Serie A.

  • Cremonese: After a promising start, Cremonese has struggled to maintain momentum, suffering three losses in their last five matches. Their home form is particularly concerning, with three draws and two losses in their last five games, failing to find the back of the net effectively.
  • Lecce: Lecce's form has also been uneven, but they managed to secure a vital win against Torino in their last match, which could provide a confidence boost. However, their away record remains poor, indicating vulnerability on the road.

Head-to-Head

Historically, this matchup has seen Lecce hold a slight edge, winning one of the last two encounters, with one match ending in a draw. The average goals per head-to-head match stand at two, indicating that while matches can be competitive, they also tend to be low-scoring.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Stylistically, Cremonese tends to adopt a more balanced approach while Lecce often looks to exploit defensive lapses. Key players like E. Audero for Cremonese, who has been solid defensively, could play a pivotal role in thwarting Lecce's attacks. Meanwhile, M. Berisha from Lecce, known for his ability to control the midfield, will be crucial in maintaining possession and creating scoring opportunities. Both teams will need to capitalize on set-pieces and counter-attacks to break the deadlock.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: Cremonese 1 - 1 Lecce
Reasoning: Given both teams' recent form and statistical indicators like xG, a closely contested match seems likely, with both defenses showing vulnerabilities.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.6 (68.8%).
  • Value Bet: Match Winner - Draw @ 3.12 (31.9%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.94 vs 0.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
15.54%
🔥
0:1
14.4%
0:2
6.67%
0:3
2.06%
0:4
0.48%
0:5
0.09%
1
1:0
14.41%
1:1
13.49%
1:2
6.31%
1:3
1.97%
1:4
0.46%
1:5
0.09%
2
2:0
6.68%
2:1
6.32%
2:2
2.98%
2:3
0.94%
2:4
0.22%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
2.07%
3:1
1.97%
3:2
0.94%
3:3
0.3%
3:4
0.07%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
0.48%
4:1
0.46%
4:2
0.22%
4:3
0.07%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.09%
5:1
0.09%
5:2
0.04%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:0 (15.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

15.5%
0
28.8%
1
26.8%
2
16.8%
3
7.9%
4
3.0%
5
0.9%
6
0.2%
7
0.0%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Cremonese
vs
Lecce
Dec 7, 11:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
Sassuolo
w l w d l
>
13
5
2
6
16
16
0
17
11
Cremonese
w l l l w
>
13
4
5
4
16
17
-1
17
12
Atalanta
d l l l w
>
13
3
7
3
16
14
2
16
13
Torino
d d d l l
>
13
3
5
5
12
23
-11
14
14
Lecce
l w d l w
>
13
3
4
6
10
17
-7
13
15
Cagliari
l l d d l
>
13
2
5
6
13
19
-6
11
Last 6 Matches
Cremonese
VS
Lecce
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.17 PPG 1.17
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
67% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.15 Avg xG 0.80
Cremonese
W L L L W
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Bologna
1 3
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Cremonese
1 3
AS Roma
Serie A 2025-2026
7 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Pisa
1 0
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Cremonese
1 2
Juventus
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Oct 2025 - 19:45
Genoa
0 2
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 18:45
Cremonese
1 1
Atalanta
Lecce
L W D L W
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Lecce
2 1
Torino
Serie A 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Lazio
2 0
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Lecce
0 0
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Fiorentina
0 1
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
28 Oct 2025 - 17:30
Lecce
0 1
Napoli
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 13:00
Udinese
3 2
Lecce
Missing Players
Cremonese
- Injured - Thigh Injury
30
d
- Injured - Ankle Injury
Lecce
- Injured - Jumpers knee
19
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
75
m
- Injured - Muscle Injury
8
m
- Injured - Inactive
35% Draw 33%
31% Over 2.5 69%
39% Both Teams Score 61%
1.50 xPTS 1.50
0.94 xG [Total: 1.87] 0.93
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 3] 1
3 Corners [Total: 8] 5
2 Offsides [Total: 2] 1
11 Fouls [Total: 24] 13
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 6] 3
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Cremonese will take on Lecce as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Stadio Giovanni Zini. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Cremonese, and the visiting side, Lecce. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Lecce. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-07 Time: 11:30 Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Cremonese vs Lecce Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 6:30 Football

Value Bets

5 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Correct Score 0:0
Odds: 7.50
15.5%
EV: +16.5% Kelly: $1.27
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Best Tip Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 1.60
68.8%
EV: +10.1% Kelly: $8.39
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Safe Tip Value
Home Total Cremonese Under 1.5
Odds: 1.46
73.6%
EV: +7.4% Kelly: $8.07
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Lecce +1.5
Odds: 1.16
87.9%
EV: +1.9% Kelly: $5.96
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 15:11:14
spinner

Trends for Cremonese vs Lecce Football 7 Dec, 2025 6:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 83% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Lecce struggle to score — failed to find net in 4/6 recent away matches

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Cremonese vs Lecce

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Cremonese is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Cremonese is stronger in the second half (13 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Cremonese is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Cremonese

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Lecce

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Cremonese - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Lecce - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Cremonese - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Lecce - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Cremonese is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider Cremonese to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Cremonese shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 5 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Cremonese winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Cremonese excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Cremonese scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Cremonese has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Cremonese handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.06
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.1
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Cremonese):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lecce):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Cremonese
Lecce

Cremonese vs Lecce Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 6:30 Serie A

Cremonese vs Lecce: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Cremonese and away matches for Lecce

Number of goals

Number of goals
Cremonese
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Cremonese
Lecce
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Cremonese
Lecce
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
40% 4
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Cremonese
Lecce
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
80% 8
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Cremonese
Lecce
0-1
20% 2
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
30% 3
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
Cremonese
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Cremonese
Lecce
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Cremonese
Lecce
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Cremonese
Lecce
xG
0.88
0.84
xGa
1.64
1.26

Number of goals

Number of goals
Cremonese
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Cremonese
Lecce
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Cremonese
Lecce
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
40% 4
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Cremonese
Lecce
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Cremonese
Lecce
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Cremonese
Lecce
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4

Number of goals

Number of goals
Cremonese
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Cremonese
Lecce
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Cremonese
Lecce
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
40% 4
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Cremonese
Lecce
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
70% 7
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Cremonese
Lecce
0-1
60% 6
80% 8
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Cremonese
Lecce
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
3.3%
Low
13.00
3.3%
Low
16.50
-2
7.7%
Low
12.00
7.7%
Low
17.00
-1.5
12.1%
Low
5.25
12.1%
Low
7.00
-1
23.0%
Low
4.36
23.0%
Low
6.67
-0.5
33.9%
Low
2.49
33.8%
Low
3.27
+0.5
66.2%
Medium
1.38
66.1%
Medium
1.60
+1
77.0%
High
1.13
77.0%
High
1.24
+1.5
87.9%
High
1.10
87.9%
High
1.16
+2
92.3%
High
1.01
92.3%
High
1.03
+2.5
96.7%
High
1.01
96.7%
High
1.02
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.524.07%Low2.90
Under 1.575.93%High1.45
AwayOver 1.524.04%Low3.50
Under 1.575.96%High1.33
HomeOver 2.56.89%Low7.70
Under 2.593.11%High1.10
AwayOver 2.56.87%Low11.00
Under 2.593.13%High1.07
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
4 Feb
- 14:00
Cremonese
Lecce
0
2
2 Oct
- 13:00
Lecce
Cremonese
1
1
club logo
Cremonese
Lecce
Played: 2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
1
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
1
0.5
Goals
1.5
3
3
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.5
1
2
1
Yellow Cards
2.5
5
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.5
1
12
6
Corners
4.5
9
27
13.5
Fouls
13
26
5
2.5
Offsides
0.5
1
25
12.5
Shots
7.5
15
7
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.5
5
Home Away All
Played 6 7 13
Wins 1 3 4
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 2 2 4
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.2 7 1.3 9 1.2 16
Goals Conceded 1.5 9 1.1 8 1.3 17
Yellow Cards 2.2 13 2.1 15 2.2 28
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.2 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Corners 3.3 20 3.3 23 3.3 43
Fouls 11.7 70 12 84 11.8 154
Offsides 2.2 13 1.7 12 1.9 25
Shots 8.5 51 7.7 54 8.1 105
Shots on Goal 3.7 22 3 21 3.3 43
Home Away All
Played 7 6 13
Wins 1 2 3
Draws 3 1 4
Losses 3 3 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.7 5 0.8 5 0.8 10
Goals Conceded 1.1 8 1.5 9 1.3 17
Yellow Cards 2 14 1.2 7 1.6 21
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.5 3 0.4 5
Corners 4.4 31 5.5 33 4.9 64
Fouls 12 84 13.5 81 12.7 165
Offsides 1 7 1 6 1 13
Shots 9.6 67 9.2 55 9.4 122
Shots on Goal 3.1 22 2.3 14 2.8 36
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