Cremonese vs Lecce: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 6:30
Cremonese vs Lecce: Serie A Showdown with Crucial Points at Stake
Intro Title
This clash between Cremonese and Lecce is crucial as both teams aim to secure vital points in the Serie A standings. Currently, Cremonese sits in 11th place with 17 points, while Lecce lags just behind in 14th with 13 points. A win for either side could significantly impact their aspirations for a mid-table finish and potentially ease relegation fears.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams come into this match with mixed recent performances, reflecting their struggle for consistency in Serie A.
- Cremonese: After a promising start, Cremonese has struggled to maintain momentum, suffering three losses in their last five matches. Their home form is particularly concerning, with three draws and two losses in their last five games, failing to find the back of the net effectively.
- Lecce: Lecce's form has also been uneven, but they managed to secure a vital win against Torino in their last match, which could provide a confidence boost. However, their away record remains poor, indicating vulnerability on the road.
Head-to-Head
Historically, this matchup has seen Lecce hold a slight edge, winning one of the last two encounters, with one match ending in a draw. The average goals per head-to-head match stand at two, indicating that while matches can be competitive, they also tend to be low-scoring.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Stylistically, Cremonese tends to adopt a more balanced approach while Lecce often looks to exploit defensive lapses. Key players like E. Audero for Cremonese, who has been solid defensively, could play a pivotal role in thwarting Lecce's attacks. Meanwhile, M. Berisha from Lecce, known for his ability to control the midfield, will be crucial in maintaining possession and creating scoring opportunities. Both teams will need to capitalize on set-pieces and counter-attacks to break the deadlock.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: Cremonese 1 - 1 Lecce
Reasoning: Given both teams' recent form and statistical indicators like xG, a closely contested match seems likely, with both defenses showing vulnerabilities.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.6 (68.8%).
- Value Bet: Match Winner - Draw @ 3.12 (31.9%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
Cremonese
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Cremonese vs Lecce Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 6:30 Football
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Trends for Cremonese vs Lecce Football 7 Dec, 2025 6:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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⚽
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 83% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
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🚫
Toothless Attack
Lecce struggle to score — failed to find net in 4/6 recent away matches
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Cremonese vs Lecce, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Cremonese @ 2.56 ✅ 
✅Cremonese
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1486%Cremonese efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 14 Serie A (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Cremonese efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Serie A matches
❌Lecce
- Not WinRecent24/3080%Lecce have not won in 24 of their last 30 Serie A matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.13 ⚠️ 
Cremonese(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/683%Cremonese score (1.17/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 83% of matches (league avg: 47%)
Lecce(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/667%Lecce struggle to score in away matches (0.83/match) - fail to score in 67% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.60 ✅ 
Lecce(2 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1486%Lecce scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 14 Serie A (Away) matches
- Few GoalsRecent25/3083%Lecce scored 0-1 goals in 25 of their last 30 Serie A matches

Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Under 2.5 goals in their last 2 Serie A H2H matches
🛡️ Double Chance — Lecce Win or Draw @ 1.58 ✅ 
✅Lecce
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Lecce are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches vs Cremonese
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%Lecce are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches vs Cremonese
❌Cremonese
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Cremonese have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches vs Lecce
⚡ Team Total Goals — Cremonese Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.90 ⚠️ 
❌Lecce
- Weak AttackLeague4/667%Lecce struggle to score in away matches (0.83/match) - fail to score in 67% of matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.42 ✅ 
Cremonese(1 trends)
- Few CardsH2H2/2100%Cremonese receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches vs Lecce
Lecce(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H2/2100%Lecce receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches vs Cremonese
- Low Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Lecce average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.88 ✅ 
Cremonese(3 trends) — avg 3.3 (-25% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/685%Cremonese average 3.3 corners/match at home (-25% below league avg 4.4)
- Few CornersRecent12/1392%Cremonese win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 13 Serie A (Home) matches
- Few CornersRecent22/2781%Cremonese win 4 or fewer corners in 22 of their last 27 Serie A matches
Lecce(1 trends) — avg 5.5 (+25% above league)
- Many CornersLeague6/685%Lecce average 5.5 corners/match in away matches (+25% above league avg 4.4)
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Cremonese vs Lecce
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Cremonese is stronger in the second half (13 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Cremonese is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Cremonese
✈️ Lecce
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Cremonese - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Lecce - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Cremonese - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Lecce - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Cremonese is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider Cremonese to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Cremonese shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 5 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Cremonese winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Cremonese excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Cremonese scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Cremonese has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Cremonese handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Cremonese):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lecce):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Cremonese vs Lecce Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 6:30 Serie A
Cremonese vs Lecce: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Cremonese and away matches for Lecce
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.3% Low 13.00 | 3.3% Low 16.50 |
| -2 | 7.7% Low 12.00 | 7.7% Low 17.00 |
| -1.5 | 12.1% Low 5.25 | 12.1% Low 7.00 |
| -1 | 23.0% Low 4.36 | 23.0% Low 6.67 |
| -0.5 | 33.9% Low 2.49 | 33.8% Low 3.27 |
| +0.5 | 66.2% Medium 1.38 | 66.1% Medium 1.60 |
| +1 | 77.0% High 1.13 | 77.0% High 1.24 |
| +1.5 | 87.9% High 1.10 | 87.9% High 1.16 |
| +2 | 92.3% High 1.01 | 92.3% High 1.03 |
| +2.5 | 96.7% High 1.01 | 96.7% High 1.02 |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 24.07% | Low | 2.90 |
| Under 1.5 | 75.93% | High | 1.45 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 24.04% | Low | 3.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 75.96% | High | 1.33 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 6.89% | Low | 7.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 93.11% | High | 1.10 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 6.87% | Low | 11.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 93.13% | High | 1.07 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
0
1
1
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 7 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.2 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 9 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.3 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 13 | 2.1 | 15 | 2.2 | 28 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 20 | 3.3 | 23 | 3.3 | 43 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 70 | 12 | 84 | 11.8 | 154 |
| Offsides | 2.2 | 13 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.9 | 25 |
| Shots | 8.5 | 51 | 7.7 | 54 | 8.1 | 105 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.7 | 22 | 3 | 21 | 3.3 | 43 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.7 | 5 | 0.8 | 5 | 0.8 | 10 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 8 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.3 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 14 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.6 | 21 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 31 | 5.5 | 33 | 4.9 | 64 |
| Fouls | 12 | 84 | 13.5 | 81 | 12.7 | 165 |
| Offsides | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
| Shots | 9.6 | 67 | 9.2 | 55 | 9.4 | 122 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.1 | 22 | 2.3 | 14 | 2.8 | 36 |


Serie A 2025-2026