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Form
Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 27
Preview
Cremonese
Cremonese
17th place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
AC Milan
AC Milan
2nd place
Form
AI Prediction AC Milan to Win
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Cremonese vs AC Milan: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 1 March, 2026 5:30

Winner (1x2)1.55
AC Milan to Win
Probability 68%
Total Goals1.97
Over 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score2.05
Yes
Probability 52%
Cremonese Total1.76
Home Over 0.5
Probability 57%
AC Milan Total1.37
Away Under 2.5
Probability 65%
Double Chance1.13
Draw/AC Milan
Probability 87%
Asian Handicap1.26
Cremonese +2
Probability 71%

Betting Tip

AC Milan to Win

No high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.

Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
5:30
Cremonese W 13%
:
AC Milan W 68%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Cremonese
l l l d l
12 Played
2 Wins
6 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (11 total)
xG
1.20 (13.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.3 (112 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (40% acc)
Corners
3.2 (38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13 (156 total)
Offsides
1.7 (20 total)
14 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (10 total)
xG
0.70 (10.2 total)
Shots per Match
7.9 (110 total)
Shots on Target
2.6 (33% acc)
Corners
3.2 (45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.8 (179 total)
Offsides
1.8 (25 total)
26 Played
5 Wins
9 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (21 total)
xG
0.90 (24.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.5 (222 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (36% acc)
Corners
3.2 (83 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
12.9 (335 total)
Offsides
1.7 (45 total)
AC Milan
d w w d l
13 Played
7 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (18 total)
xG
1.70 (22.2 total)
Shots per Match
16 (208 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (33% acc)
Corners
5.6 (73 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
10.7 (139 total)
Offsides
1.9 (25 total)
13 Played
8 Wins
5 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (23 total)
xG
1.50 (19.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.1 (131 total)
Shots on Target
4 (40% acc)
Corners
3.1 (40 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
8.8 (114 total)
Offsides
1.9 (25 total)
26 Played
15 Wins
9 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (41 total)
xG
1.60 (41.3 total)
Shots per Match
13 (339 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (35% acc)
Corners
4.3 (113 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
9.7 (253 total)
Offsides
1.9 (50 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.84 vs 2.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.78%
0:1
12.66%
🔥
0:2
11.83%
0:3
7.37%
0:4
3.44%
0:5
1.29%
1
1:0
4.08%
1:1
9.26%
1:2
10.19%
1:3
7.31%
1:4
3.86%
1:5
1.61%
2
2:0
1.23%
2:1
3.28%
2:2
4.19%
2:3
3.44%
2:4
2.05%
2:5
0.95%
3
3:0
0.25%
3:1
0.76%
3:2
1.11%
3:3
1.03%
3:4
0.69%
3:5
0.36%
4
4:0
0.04%
4:1
0.13%
4:2
0.21%
4:3
0.22%
4:4
0.17%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0.02%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.04%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 0:1 (12.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.8%
0
16.7%
1
22.3%
2
21.1%
3
15.7%
4
9.8%
5
4.9%
6
1.9%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

CremoneseHDPAC Milan
0.7%
Very Low
-2.5
17.1%
@ 4.50Very Low
2.2%
Very Low
-2
26.9%
@ 4.18Low
3.7%
Very Low@ 15.00
-1.5
36.8%
@ 2.52Low
8.9%
Very Low@ 13.50
-1
50.0%
@ 1.87Medium
14.0%
Very Low@ 6.25
-0.5
63.3%
@ 1.50High
36.7%
Low@ 2.75
+0.5
86.0%
@ 1.12Very High
50.0%
Medium@ 2.04
+1
91.1%
@ 1.02Very High
63.2%
High@ 1.63
+1.5
96.3%
@ 1.02Very High
73.1%
High@ 1.26
+2
97.8%
Very High
83.0%
Very High@ 1.19
+2.5
99.3%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

CremoneseOutcomeAC Milan
21.3%
Low@ 5.20
Over 1.5
62.3%
@ 1.69High
78.7%
High@ 1.18
Under 1.5
42.8%
@ 2.26Medium
5.8%
Very Low@ 17.00
Over 2.5
30.2%
@ 3.10Low
94.2%
Very High@ 1.03
Under 2.5
69.8%
@ 1.37High
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Cremonese will take on AC Milan as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-03-01 at 2026-03-01 in the famous Stadio Giovanni Zini. The referee for the game will be D. Massa. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Cremonese, and the visiting side, AC Milan. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or AC Milan. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-01 Time: 11:30 Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Cremonese vs AC Milan Sunday, Mar 1st, 2026 at 5:30 Football

AI Value Bets
4 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 55.1%
EV: +8.6%
Stake: $2.58
1.97
Premium Tip Over 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Match Winner AC Milan
Value
Prob: 67.5%
EV: +4.7%
Stake: $4.55
1.55
Asian Handicap Cremonese +1.5
Value
Prob: 63.2%
EV: +3.1%
Stake: $3.97
1.63
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-28 06:15:49
spinner

Trends for Cremonese vs AC Milan Football 1 Mar, 2026 5:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    AC Milan have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Cremonese vs AC Milan

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Cremonese is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
⚡ Final Stage: Cremonese is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Cremonese

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.15

✈️ AC Milan

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Cremonese - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ AC Milan - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Cremonese - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3

✈️ AC Milan - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Cremonese often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Cremonese scoring first
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Cremonese excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Cremonese scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: AC Milan has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider AC Milan handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.192
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.089
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Cremonese):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (AC Milan):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Cremonese
AC Milan

Cremonese vs AC Milan Head-to-head statistics for Sun 1 Mar, 2026 @ 5:30 Serie A

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Inter
w w w w w
>
26
21
1
4
62
21
41
64
2
AC Milan
d w w d l
>
26
15
9
2
41
20
21
54
3
Napoli
l w w d l
>
26
15
5
6
39
27
12
50

16
Fiorentina
l l d w w
>
26
5
9
12
30
39
-9
24
17
Cremonese
l l l d l
>
26
5
9
12
21
36
-15
24
18
Lecce
d l w w l
>
26
6
6
14
17
33
-16
24
Team comparison
Prediction
AC Milan to Win
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Cremonese
VS
AC Milan
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (3)
0.7 (2)
xG
0.30
1.30
Shots
5.3 (16)
18.7 (56)
Shots on Target
2 (6)
5 (15)
Corners
1.3 (4)
7 (21)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (2)
1 (3)
xGa
1.30
0.30
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.7 (11)
1.3 (4)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
14 (42)
10.3 (31)
Offsides
2.3 (7)
1.7 (5)
23 Aug
- 18:45
AC Milan
Cremonese
1.31
xG
0.30
1
2
3 May
- 19:00
AC Milan
Cremonese
1
1
8 Nov
- 19:45
Cremonese
AC Milan
0
0
Last 6 Matches
Cremonese
VS
AC Milan
0/6 (0%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
0.33 PPG 1.83
0.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
17% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.74 Avg xG 1.66
Cremonese
L L L D L
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Feb 2026 - 19:45
AS Roma
3 0
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 14:00
Cremonese
0 0
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Feb 2026 - 17:30
Atalanta
2 1
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 17:00
Cremonese
0 2
Inter
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 11:30
Sassuolo
1 0
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
19 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Cremonese
0 0
Verona
AC Milan
D W W D L
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Feb 2026 - 17:00
AC Milan
0 1
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
18 Feb 2026 - 19:45
AC Milan
1 1
Como
Serie A 2025-2026
13 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Pisa
1 2
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
3 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Bologna
0 3
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 19:45
AS Roma
1 1
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
18 Jan 2026 - 19:45
AC Milan
1 0
Lecce

Cremonese vs AC Milan: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Cremonese and away matches for AC Milan

Number of goals
Cremonese
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Cremonese
AC Milan
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
1X2
Cremonese
AC Milan
1
0% 0
50% 5
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
70% 7
10% 1
Double Chance
Cremonese
AC Milan
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
30% 3
90% 9
X2
100% 10
50% 5
Total Goals
Cremonese
AC Milan
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Total Corners
Cremonese
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Cremonese
AC Milan
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Cremonese
AC Milan
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
50% 5
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Cremonese
AC Milan
xG
0.79
1.63
xGa
1.8
1.01
Number of goals
Cremonese
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Cremonese
AC Milan
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2
Cremonese
AC Milan
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Cremonese
AC Milan
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Cremonese
AC Milan
0-1
50% 5
80% 8
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Cremonese
AC Milan
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
Number of goals
Cremonese
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
90% 9
10% 1
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Cremonese
AC Milan
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7
1X2
Cremonese
AC Milan
1
10% 1
60% 6
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Cremonese
AC Milan
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
90% 9
40% 4
Total Goals
Cremonese
AC Milan
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Cremonese
AC Milan
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Missing Players
Cremonese
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Injury
32
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
AC Milan
46
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Broken jawbone
0.61 xG 2.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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Milan on the Verge of Replacing Coach Fonseca with Conceição
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Exhausted Rossoneri Held to Another Draw
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