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Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Coritiba
Coritiba
10th place
Form
VS
22:30
25 Feb 2026
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2nd place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Coritiba vs Sao Paulo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 25 February, 2026 16:30

Winner (1x2)3.05
Draw
Probability 44%
Total Goals1.62
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Both Teams to Score2.05
Yes
Probability 56%
Coritiba Total1.42
Home Under 1.5
Probability 93%
Sao Paulo Total1.39
Away Under 1.5
Probability 83%
Double Chance1.47
Draw/Sao Paulo
Probability 69%
Asian Handicap1.19
Sao Paulo +1
Probability 90%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Home Coritiba Under 1.5 Goals
Odds 1.42
Win Prob. 93.3% EV: +32.5%
Bet Now
Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
22:30
Coritiba W 18%
:
Sao Paulo W 38%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Coritiba
l w d
1 Played
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0 total)
xG
0.30 (0.3 total)
Shots per Match
8 (8 total)
Shots on Target
2 (25% acc)
Corners
1 (1 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
2.60 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 avg
Red Cards
1 (1 total)
Fouls
9 (9 total)
Offsides
3 (3 total)
2 Played
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (5 total)
xG
2.00 (4.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (23 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (30% acc)
Corners
3.5 (7 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.5 (25 total)
Offsides
1 (2 total)
3 Played
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (5 total)
xG
1.40 (4.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (31 total)
Shots on Target
3 (29% acc)
Corners
2.7 (8 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (1 total)
Fouls
11.3 (34 total)
Offsides
1.7 (5 total)
Sao Paulo
w l w d w
2 Played
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (4 total)
xG
2.50 (5.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.5 (27 total)
Shots on Target
4 (30% acc)
Corners
2.5 (5 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.5 (25 total)
Offsides
1.5 (3 total)
1 Played
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1 total)
xG
0.60 (0.6 total)
Shots per Match
9 (9 total)
Shots on Target
3 (33% acc)
Corners
4 (4 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
21 (21 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
3 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (5 total)
xG
1.90 (5.7 total)
Shots per Match
12 (36 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (31% acc)
Corners
3 (9 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
15.3 (46 total)
Offsides
1 (3 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.94 vs 1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.48%
0:1
14.3%
🔥
0:2
7.59%
0:3
2.68%
0:4
0.71%
0:5
0.15%
1
1:0
10.89%
1:1
13.4%
1:2
8.09%
1:3
3.21%
1:4
0.94%
1:5
0.22%
2
2:0
4.4%
2:1
6.16%
2:2
4.18%
2:3
1.85%
2:4
0.6%
2:5
0.15%
3
3:0
1.19%
3:1
1.86%
3:2
1.41%
3:3
0.69%
3:4
0.25%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
0.24%
4:1
0.42%
4:2
0.35%
4:3
0.19%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.07%
5:2
0.07%
5:3
0.04%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (14.3%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

13.5%
0
25.2%
1
25.4%
2
18.1%
3
10.2%
4
4.8%
5
1.9%
6
0.7%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

CoritibaHDPSao Paulo
2.3%
Very Low@ 13.00
-2.5
4.9%
@ 11.00Very Low
5.9%
Very Low@ 11.00
-2
10.5%
@ 10.00Very Low
9.5%
Very Low@ 6.60
-1.5
16.1%
@ 5.00Very Low
19.0%
Very Low@ 5.70
-1
28.0%
@ 4.28Low
28.6%
Low@ 2.96
-0.5
40.0%
@ 2.50Medium
60.0%
Medium@ 1.57
+0.5
71.4%
@ 1.44High
72.0%
High@ 1.22
+1
81.0%
@ 1.15Very High
83.9%
Very High@ 1.14
+1.5
90.5%
@ 1.11Very High
89.5%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
94.1%
@ 1.01Very High
95.1%
Very High@ 1.03
+2.5
97.7%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

CoritibaOutcomeSao Paulo
24.3%
Low@ 3.25
Over 1.5
31.8%
@ 2.81Low
75.7%
High@ 1.37
Under 1.5
68.2%
@ 1.44High
7.2%
Very Low@ 9.00
Over 2.5
11.4%
@ 7.00Very Low
92.8%
Very High@ 1.08
Under 2.5
88.7%
@ 1.11Very High
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Coritiba will take on Sao Paulo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-25 at 2026-02-25 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Coritiba, and the visiting side, Sao Paulo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-25 Time: 22:30 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Coritiba vs Sao Paulo Wednesday, Feb 25th, 2026 at 16:30 Football

AI Value Bets
9 Found

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BTTS No
High Value
Prob: 79.8%
EV: +45.2%
Stake: $3.05
1.82
Goals Over/under Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 87.6%
EV: +41.9%
Stake: $4.03
1.62
Total Home Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 93.3%
EV: +32.5%
Stake: $5.95
1.42
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 55.6%
EV: +15.2%
Stake: $2.34
2.07
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 82.7%
EV: +14.9%
Stake: $6.41
1.39
Asian Handicap Sao Paulo +1
Value
Prob: 90.4%
EV: +7.6%
Stake: $10.00
1.19
Home Total Coritiba Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 75.7%
EV: +7.5%
Stake: $5.95
1.42
Correct Score 0:1
Value
Prob: 14.3%
EV: +7.1%
Stake: $0.38
7.50
Win To Nil Home No
Value
Prob: 85.9%
EV: +3.1%
Stake: $10.00
1.20
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-22 02:15:14
spinner

Trends for Coritiba vs Sao Paulo Football 25 Feb, 2026 16:30

ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.

🎯 Betting Analysis

Coritiba vs Sao Paulo

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Sao Paulo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 0).
⏰ First Half: Sao Paulo is stronger in the first half (14 vs 1).
🔄 Second Half: Sao Paulo is stronger in the second half (10 vs 1).
⚡ Final Stage: Sao Paulo is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 1).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Coritiba

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
3
Momentum
-0.04
Pressure
0.05

✈️ Sao Paulo

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Coritiba - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33

✈️ Sao Paulo - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Coritiba - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
1
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
1
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
0
Late Surges
1
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
1

✈️ Sao Paulo - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Sao Paulo often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 0)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Sao Paulo scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Sao Paulo is stronger in the first half (14 vs 1)
  • First Half Result: Consider Sao Paulo to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Sao Paulo shows superior performance after the break (10 vs 1 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Sao Paulo winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Sao Paulo excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 1 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Sao Paulo scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Coritiba has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Coritiba handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.253
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.101
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.027 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.01

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Coritiba):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sao Paulo):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Coritiba
Sao Paulo

Coritiba vs Sao Paulo Head-to-head statistics for Wed 25 Feb, 2026 @ 16:30 Serie A BR

Serie A

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Coritiba
VS
Sao Paulo
1/3 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/3 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/3 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.33 PPG 2.33
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
67% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.44 Avg xG 1.23
Coritiba
L W D
Serie A BR 2026
11 Feb 2026 - 22:00
Chapecoense-sc
3 3
Coritiba
Serie A BR 2026
6 Feb 2026 - 00:30
Cruzeiro
1 2
Coritiba
Serie A BR 2026
28 Jan 2026 - 22:00
Coritiba
0 1
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
W L W D W
Serie A BR 2026
12 Feb 2026 - 00:30
Sao Paulo
2 0
Gremio
Serie A BR 2026
4 Feb 2026 - 23:00
Santos
1 1
Sao Paulo
Serie A BR 2026
29 Jan 2026 - 00:30
Sao Paulo
2 1
Flamengo
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
7 Dec 2025 - 19:00
Vitoria
1 0
Sao Paulo
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
3 Dec 2025 - 23:00
Sao Paulo
3 0
Internacional
Serie A (Brazil) 2025
27 Nov 2025 - 23:30
Fluminense
6 0
Sao Paulo

Coritiba vs Sao Paulo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Coritiba and away matches for Sao Paulo

Number of goals
Coritiba
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
33% 1
67% 2
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
33% 1
67% 2
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
67% 2
33% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Yes
67% 2
50% 5
No
33% 1
50% 5
1X2
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
1
33% 1
40% 4
X
33% 1
20% 2
2
33% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
12
67% 2
80% 8
1X
67% 2
60% 6
X2
67% 2
60% 6
Total Goals
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0-1
33% 1
20% 2
2-3
33% 1
50% 5
4+
33% 1
30% 3
Total Corners
Coritiba
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
7.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 3
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
33% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
33% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
33% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
xG
1.44
1.08
xGa
1.74
1.56
Number of goals
Coritiba
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
33% 1
67% 2
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 3
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Yes
67% 2
10% 1
No
33% 1
90% 9
1X2
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
1
0% 0
30% 3
X
100% 3
40% 4
2
0% 0
30% 3
Double Chance
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
12
0% 0
60% 6
1X
100% 3
70% 7
X2
100% 3
70% 7
Total Goals
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0-1
33% 1
70% 7
2-3
67% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Yes
33% 1
60% 6
No
67% 2
40% 4
Number of goals
Coritiba
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
33% 1
67% 2
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
67% 2
33% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Yes
33% 1
40% 4
No
67% 2
60% 6
1X2
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
1
33% 1
40% 4
X
33% 1
20% 2
2
33% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
12
67% 2
80% 8
1X
67% 2
60% 6
X2
67% 2
60% 6
Total Goals
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0-1
67% 2
50% 5
2-3
0% 0
50% 5
4+
33% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Yes
33% 1
30% 3
No
67% 2
70% 7
0.41 xG 0.57
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots Off Goal 12
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found