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Chelsea
Chelsea vs Pafos: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 21 January, 2026 14:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
13
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(24 total)
xG
1.80
(23.7 total)
Shots per Match
15
(195 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(34% acc)
Corners
6.7
(87 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(4 total)
Fouls
11.9
(155 total)
Offsides
1.6
(21 total)
14
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(23 total)
xG
1.30
(18.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(169 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(37% acc)
Corners
4.5
(63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.6
(163 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
27
Played
11
Wins
8
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(47 total)
xG
1.60
(42.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(364 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(36% acc)
Corners
5.6
(150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(37%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(7 total)
Fouls
11.8
(318 total)
Offsides
1.7
(46 total)
7
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(8 total)
xG
0.30
(2.3 total)
Shots per Match
5.6
(39 total)
Shots on Target
1.9
(33% acc)
Corners
1.7
(12 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
7.6
(53 total)
Offsides
0.4
(3 total)
7
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(5 total)
xG
0.50
(3.3 total)
Shots per Match
5.9
(41 total)
Shots on Target
1.9
(32% acc)
Corners
1.7
(12 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(71%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(2 total)
Fouls
6.9
(48 total)
Offsides
0.7
(5 total)
14
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(13 total)
xG
0.40
(5.6 total)
Shots per Match
5.7
(80 total)
Shots on Target
1.9
(33% acc)
Corners
1.7
(24 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
7.2
(101 total)
Offsides
0.6
(8 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.72 vs 0.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.43%
0:1
6.13%
⭐
0:2
1.99%
⭐
0:3
0.43%
0:4
0.07%
⭐
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
15.56%
🔥
⭐
1:1
10.77%
1:2
3.72%
⭐
1:3
0.85%
1:4
0.15%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
12.83%
2:1
9.43%
2:2
3.44%
⭐
2:3
0.83%
2:4
0.15%
⭐
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
7.06%
⭐
3:1
5.49%
3:2
2.11%
3:3
0.54%
3:4
0.1%
⭐
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
2.91%
⭐
4:1
2.39%
4:2
0.97%
⭐
4:3
0.26%
⭐
4:4
0.05%
⭐
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.96%
5:1
0.83%
5:2
0.35%
5:3
0.1%
⭐
5:4
0.02%
⭐
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Chelsea will take on Pafos as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-21 at 2026-01-21 in the famous Stamford Bridge.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Chelsea, and the visiting side, Pafos. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Chelsea or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-21
Time: 20:00
Location: Stamford Bridge
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Chelsea vs Pafos Football 21 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
Toothless Attack
Pafos struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/6 recent away matches
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Chelsea vs Pafos, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Chelsea(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Chelsea score 3.00 goals/match at home (+99% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Chelsea concede only 0.33 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Efficient ScoringRecent5/683%Chelsea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Pafos(3 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Pafos concede only 0.50 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- UnbeatenRecent10/1283%Pafos are unbeaten in 10 of their last 12 UEFA Champions League matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent9/1275%Pafos efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Champions League matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague2/367%Chelsea score well (3.00/match) but have strong defense at home (0.33 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
Pafos(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/683%Pafos struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 83% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Chelsea score 3.00 goals/match at home (+99% above league average)
Pafos(3 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/683%Pafos struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 83% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent9/1275%Pafos scored 0-1 goals in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Champions League matches
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent9/1275%Under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Champions League matches
Teams average combined 3.0 goals per match
🛡️ Double Chance
Chelsea(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Chelsea concede only 0.33 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Pafos(3 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Pafos concede only 0.50 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- UnbeatenRecent10/1283%Pafos are unbeaten in 10 of their last 12 UEFA Champions League matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent10/1283%Pafos are undefeated at half time in 10 of their last 12 UEFA Champions League matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Chelsea(4 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Chelsea score 3.00 goals/match at home (+99% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Chelsea concede only 0.33 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent6/6100%Chelsea scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent6/6100%Chelsea score in first half in their last 6 6 matches
Pafos(2 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Pafos concede only 0.50 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent9/1275%Pafos scored 1+ goals in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Champions League matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Chelsea(2 trends) — avg 1.8 (-16% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague6/690%Chelsea average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+22% above league avg 2.0)
- Many CardsRecent5/683%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Pafos disciplined play balances Chelsea aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Chelsea(1 trends) — avg 6.0 (+29% above league)
- Many CornersLeague3/385%Chelsea average 6.0 corners/match at home (+29% above league avg 4.7)
Pafos(2 trends) — avg 4.0 (-14% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/679%Pafos average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-14% below league avg 4.7)
- Few CornersRecent6/786%Pafos win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 7 UEFA Champions League matches
Combined average: 10.0 corners/match (Chelsea 6.0 + Pafos 4.0)
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Chelsea vs Pafos
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Chelsea is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Chelsea is stronger in the first half (12 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Chelsea is stronger in the first half (12 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Chelsea
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Pafos
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Pafos - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Pafos - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Chelsea often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Chelsea scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Chelsea is stronger in the first half (12 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Chelsea to win the first half
- Overall Result: Chelsea has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Chelsea handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.063
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.022
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.053
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Pafos):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Chelsea vs Pafos Head-to-head statistics for Wed 21 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Chelsea or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Chelsea
VS
Pafos
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.67
PPG
1.00
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.83
Avg xG
0.93
Chelsea vs Pafos: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Chelsea and away matches for Pafos
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Pafos
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
1X2
Chelsea
Pafos
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Chelsea
Pafos
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Chelsea
Pafos
0-1
10%
1
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
30%
3
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Chelsea
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
8
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
8
0%
0
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
8
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
8
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Pafos
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Chelsea
Pafos
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
30%
3
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Chelsea
Pafos
xG
1.48
0.93
xGa
1.63
2.02
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Pafos
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Chelsea
Pafos
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Chelsea
Pafos
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Chelsea
Pafos
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Pafos
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Pafos
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Chelsea
Pafos
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Chelsea
Pafos
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Chelsea
Pafos
0-1
40%
4
70%
7
2-3
60%
6
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Pafos
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1.86
xG
0.53
75%
Ball Possession
25%
19
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
2
14
Shots Off Goal
4
8
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
3
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