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Chelsea
2
2
Leeds
Chelsea vs Burnley: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 9:00
Betting Tip
Burnley AH+2.5No high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.
Prediction League
17
Played
10
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(32 total)
xG
2.00
(33.2 total)
Shots per Match
15
(255 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(34% acc)
Corners
6.9
(117 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
11.1
(188 total)
Offsides
1.5
(26 total)
18
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(37 total)
xG
1.70
(31.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(235 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(41% acc)
Corners
4.4
(79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.3
(203 total)
Offsides
1.6
(29 total)
35
Played
18
Wins
9
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(69 total)
xG
1.80
(64.4 total)
Shots per Match
14
(490 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(37% acc)
Corners
5.6
(196 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(7 total)
Fouls
11.2
(391 total)
Offsides
1.6
(55 total)
14
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.9
(138 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(32% acc)
Corners
3.3
(46 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
8.9
(124 total)
Offsides
1.1
(15 total)
13
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(16 total)
xG
0.70
(9.1 total)
Shots per Match
7.8
(101 total)
Shots on Target
2.8
(36% acc)
Corners
3.5
(46 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.5
per match
xGa
2.20
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.1
(131 total)
Offsides
1.9
(25 total)
27
Played
5
Wins
6
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(33 total)
xG
0.90
(23.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.9
(239 total)
Shots on Target
3
(33% acc)
Corners
3.4
(92 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.4
(255 total)
Offsides
1.5
(40 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.15 vs 1.10
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.37%
⭐
0:1
4.29%
⭐
0:2
1.71%
⭐
0:3
0.45%
⭐
0:4
0.09%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
9.93%
1:1
9.54%
⭐
1:2
4.45%
⭐
1:3
1.36%
⭐
1:4
0.3%
⭐
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
9.17%
2:1
10.32%
🔥
⭐
2:2
5.56%
⭐
2:3
1.93%
⭐
2:4
0.49%
⭐
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
5.65%
3:1
7.28%
3:2
4.46%
⭐
3:3
1.75%
⭐
3:4
0.49%
⭐
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
2.61%
4:1
3.79%
4:2
2.61%
⭐
4:3
1.14%
⭐
4:4
0.36%
⭐
4:5
0.09%
5
5:0
0.96%
5:1
1.56%
5:2
1.19%
5:3
0.58%
⭐
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot:
2:1 (10.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Chelsea will take on Burnley as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Stamford Bridge.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Chelsea, and the visiting side, Burnley. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Chelsea or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 15:00
Location: Stamford Bridge
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Chelsea vs Burnley Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 9:00 Football
AI Value Bets
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Chelsea vs Burnley Football 21 Feb, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Chelsea have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Burnley score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Chelsea vs Burnley.
🏆 Match Winner — Chelsea @ 1.26 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea
UnbeatenH2H
Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringH2H
Chelsea efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 786%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Chelsea concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsBurnley
Not WinH2H
Burnley have not won in 7 of their last 7 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsRelegation BattleLeague
Burnley are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
Burnley have not won in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Chelsea dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.00 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBurnley1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Burnley score (1.33/match) and concede (2.67/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 89% of matches (league avg: 53%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.47 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea2 TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Chelsea Win or Draw @ 1.07 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea
UnbeatenH2H
Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTH2H
Chelsea are undefeated at half time in their last 7 7 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Chelsea concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Chelsea are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsBurnley
Not WinH2H
Burnley have not won in 7 of their last 7 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsRelegation BattleLeague
Burnley are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
Burnley have not won in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Chelsea dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Chelsea Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea
Scored 1+Recent
Chelsea scored 1+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Chelsea's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea1 Trends — avg 2.6 (+36% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Chelsea average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.9) — rank #2 in league
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Unlock Streak TrendsBurnley1 Trends — avg 2 (+5% above league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Burnley average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 1.9) — rank #5 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Burnley disciplined play balances Chelsea aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.48 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsChelsea1 Trends — avg 6.6 (+38% above league)Many CornersLeague
Chelsea average 6.6 corners/match at home (+38% above league avg 4.8)
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Unlock Streak TrendsBurnley2 Trends — avg 4.1 (-14% below league)Few CornersLeague
Burnley average 4.1 corners/match in away matches (-14% below league avg 4.8)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 979%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew CornersRecent
Burnley win 4 or fewer corners in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 10.7 corners/match (Chelsea 6.6 + Burnley 4.1) • Chelsea dominance pushes total over threshold
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Chelsea vs Burnley
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Burnley is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: Chelsea is stronger in the second half (14 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Chelsea is stronger in the second half (14 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Chelsea
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Burnley
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Burnley - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Burnley - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Burnley is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider Burnley to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Chelsea shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Chelsea winning the second half
- Overall Result: Chelsea has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Chelsea handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.117
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.045
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Burnley):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Chelsea vs Burnley Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
12
9
5
47
37
10
45
5
12
8
6
47
30
17
44
6
12
6
8
41
35
6
42
18
6
6
14
32
49
-17
24
19
4
6
16
28
51
-23
18
20
1
6
19
16
48
-32
9
Team comparison
Prediction
Burnley AH+2.5
Goals Home:
-3.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Chelsea
VS
Burnley
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6 (18)
0.6 (4)
xG
1.60
0.40
Shots
18 (126)
7.4 (52)
Shots on Target
7 (49)
2 (14)
Corners
6.9 (48)
3.4 (24)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 (4)
2.6 (18)
xGa
0.40
1.60
Clean Sheets
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 (11)
2.1 (15)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
9 (63)
9.9 (69)
Offsides
2.3 (16)
1.7 (12)
Last 6 Matches
Chelsea
VS
Burnley
5/6 (83%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.17
PPG
1.00
2.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.83
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
83%
BTTS %
67%
67%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
2.54
Avg xG
0.98
Chelsea vs Burnley: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Chelsea and away matches for Burnley
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Burnley
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
1X2
Chelsea
Burnley
1
70%
7
20%
2
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Chelsea
Burnley
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
30%
3
80%
8
Total Goals
Chelsea
Burnley
0-1
10%
1
10%
1
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
60%
6
50%
5
Total Corners
Chelsea
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Burnley
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Chelsea
Burnley
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Chelsea
Burnley
xG
2.56
0.9
xGa
1.13
1.68
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Burnley
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
Chelsea
Burnley
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Chelsea
Burnley
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Chelsea
Burnley
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Burnley
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Burnley
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Chelsea
Burnley
1
70%
7
20%
2
X
0%
0
40%
4
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Chelsea
Burnley
12
100%
10
60%
6
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
30%
3
80%
8
Total Goals
Chelsea
Burnley
0-1
40%
4
70%
7
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Burnley
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
2.79
xG
0.67
63%
Ball Possession
37%
17
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
4
11
Shots Off Goal
6
7
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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