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Chelsea vs Bournemouth: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 30 December, 2025 13:30
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.50 vs 1.10
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.16%
0:1
3.14%
0:2
1.57%
0:3
0.52%
0:4
0.13%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
7.59%
1:1
7.87%
1:2
4.08%
1:3
1.41%
1:4
0.36%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
9.12%
2:1
9.84%
🔥
2:2
5.29%
2:3
1.89%
2:4
0.51%
2:5
0.11%
3
3:0
7.31%
⭐
3:1
8.19%
⭐
3:2
4.57%
3:3
1.69%
3:4
0.47%
⭐
3:5
0.1%
⭐
4
4:0
4.39%
⭐
4:1
5.1%
⭐
4:2
2.95%
⭐
4:3
1.13%
⭐
4:4
0.32%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
2.11%
⭐
5:1
2.54%
⭐
5:2
1.52%
⭐
5:3
0.6%
⭐
5:4
0.18%
⭐
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
11
3
3
27
18
9
36
4
8
5
4
29
17
12
29
5
▲
9
2
6
28
25
3
29
14
▼
6
4
7
26
23
3
22
15
▼
5
7
5
26
29
-3
22
16
▲
5
4
8
24
31
-7
19
2.51
xG
0.97
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Chelsea
VS
Bournemouth
1/6 (17%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
0.67
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.18
Avg xG
1.89
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Chelsea will take on Bournemouth as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2025-12-30 at 2025-12-30 in the famous Stamford Bridge.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Chelsea, and the visiting side, Bournemouth. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Chelsea or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-30
Time: 19:30
Location: Stamford Bridge
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Chelsea vs Bournemouth Tuesday, Dec 30th, 2025 at 13:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Chelsea vs Bournemouth Football 30 Dec, 2025 13:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Chelsea have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Chelsea vs Bournemouth, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Bournemouth @ 5.50 ✅ 
Bournemouth
- High xG PerformanceH2H7/7100%Bournemouth create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 7 of their last 7 Premier League matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Bournemouth score 1.88 goals/match in away matches (+33% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%Bournemouth create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Bournemouth demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.63 ⚠️
Bournemouth(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/875%Bournemouth score (1.88/match) and concede (2.88/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 53%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.60 ⚠️ 
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Bournemouth(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Bournemouth score 1.88 goals/match in away matches (+33% above league average)
Combined 1.9 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Chelsea Win or Draw @ 1.19 ✅ 
Chelsea
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/7100%Chelsea are undefeated at half time in their last 7 7 matches
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Chelsea concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1776%Chelsea are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Chelsea dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Bournemouth Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.15 ⚠️
Bournemouth
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Bournemouth score 1.88 goals/match in away matches (+33% above league average)
Bournemouth's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Chelsea(2 trends) — avg 2.4 (+26% above league)
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Chelsea average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.9) — rank #2 in league
Bournemouth(2 trends) — avg 2.6 (+36% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Bournemouth average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+29% above league avg 1.9) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent14/1782%Bournemouth receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 6.0 cards per match in their last 6 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.65 ✅
Chelsea(2 trends) — avg 6.6 (+38% above league)
- Many CornersH2H5/683%Chelsea win 6+ corners in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Chelsea average 6.6 corners/match at home (+38% above league avg 4.8)
Bournemouth(1 trends) — avg 5.5 (+14% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/879%Bournemouth average 5.5 corners/match in away matches (+14% above league avg 4.8)
Combined average: 12.1 corners/match (Chelsea 6.6 + Bournemouth 5.5) • Chelsea dominance pushes total over threshold
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Chelsea vs Bournemouth
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Bournemouth is stronger in the second half (17 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Chelsea
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Bournemouth
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Bournemouth - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Bournemouth - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bournemouth shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Bournemouth winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bournemouth excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bournemouth scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Chelsea has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Chelsea handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.183
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.098
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bournemouth):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Head-to-head statistics for Tue 30 Dec, 2025 @ 13:30 Premier League
Chelsea vs Bournemouth: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Chelsea and away matches for Bournemouth
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
Chelsea
Bournemouth
1
40%
4
10%
1
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Chelsea
Bournemouth
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
90%
9
Total Goals
Chelsea
Bournemouth
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
30%
3
60%
6
Total Corners
Chelsea
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Chelsea
Bournemouth
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Chelsea
Bournemouth
xG
1.48
1.67
xGa
1.31
1.52
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
Chelsea
Bournemouth
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Chelsea
Bournemouth
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Chelsea
Bournemouth
0-1
60%
6
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
70%
7
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Chelsea
Bournemouth
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Chelsea
Bournemouth
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Chelsea
Bournemouth
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Chelsea Over 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.75%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 70.68% | High | 1.56 |
| Under 1.5 | 29.32% | Low | 2.50 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 29.59% | Low | 3.15 |
| Under 1.5 | 70.41% | High | 1.39 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 44.89% | Low | 2.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 55.11% | Medium | 1.47 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 9.68% | Low | 9.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 90.32% | High | 1.08 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Played:
7
Wins
4
4
Draws
3
3
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
10
1.4
Goals
0.6
4
4
0.6
Goals Conceded
1.4
10
22
3.1
Yellow Cards
2
14
0
Red Cards
0
4
0.6
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
38
5.4
Corners
5
35
81
11.6
Fouls
12.9
90
10
1.4
Offsides
1.7
12
103
14.7
Shots
13.3
93
39
5.6
Shots on Goal
4.6
32
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 12 | 1.9 | 17 | 1.7 | 29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 7 | 1.1 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 13 | 2.9 | 26 | 2.3 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 4 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.5 | 8 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 53 | 4.1 | 37 | 5.3 | 90 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 90 | 11.6 | 104 | 11.4 | 194 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 11 | 1.7 | 15 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 15 | 120 | 12.7 | 114 | 13.8 | 234 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.3 | 42 | 4.8 | 43 | 5 | 85 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 11 | 1.9 | 15 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 6 | 2.9 | 23 | 1.7 | 29 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 18 | 2.9 | 23 | 2.4 | 41 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 46 | 5.5 | 44 | 5.3 | 90 |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 109 | 11.9 | 95 | 12 | 204 |
| Offsides | 2.2 | 20 | 2.1 | 17 | 2.2 | 37 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 120 | 12.3 | 98 | 12.8 | 218 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 39 | 5.1 | 41 | 4.7 | 80 |
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