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14 Dec 2025-17:30
Charleroi
Charleroi
10th place
- : -
14 Dec 2025 12:30
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
1st place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 12:30

1×2 Prediction
Union St. Gilloise
21%27%52%
CharleroiDrawUnion St. Gilloise
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
60%40%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
56%44%
NoYes
Team Total - Charleroi
Under 1.5
80%20%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Union St. Gilloise
Under 1.5
57%43%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Union St. Gilloise
79%21%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Charleroi +1
61%39%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip
Total - Home Charleroi Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.27
78.6%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.83 vs 1.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.81%
0:1
15.12%
🔥
0:2
10.57%
0:3
4.93%
0:4
1.72%
0:5
0.48%
1
1:0
8.42%
1:1
12.33%
1:2
9.01%
1:3
4.38%
1:4
1.6%
1:5
0.46%
2
2:0
3.28%
2:1
5.02%
2:2
3.82%
2:3
1.94%
2:4
0.73%
2:5
0.22%
3
3:0
0.85%
3:1
1.36%
3:2
1.08%
3:3
0.57%
3:4
0.22%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
0.17%
4:1
0.28%
4:2
0.23%
4:3
0.12%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.03%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.04%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (15.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.8%
0
23.5%
1
26.2%
2
19.8%
3
11.5%
4
5.4%
5
2.0%
6
0.6%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Charleroi
vs
Union St. Gilloise
Dec 14, 17:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Pro League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Last 6 Matches
Charleroi
VS
Union St. Gilloise
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.17 PPG 2.17
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
33% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.25 Avg xG 1.40
Charleroi
W L W L D
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Charleroi
0 0
RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Club Brugge KV
1 0
Charleroi
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 17:15
Charleroi
2 0
KVC Westerlo
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
31 Oct 2025 - 19:45
Standard Liege
3 1
Charleroi
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
24 Oct 2025 - 18:45
Charleroi
1 0
Anderlecht
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
18 Oct 2025 - 18:45
Union St. Gilloise
3 1
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
L D W W L
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Anderlecht
1 0
Union St. Gilloise
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Galatasaray
0 1
Union St. Gilloise
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Union St. Gilloise
2 0
Cercle Brugge
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 18:15
KV Mechelen
1 1
Union St. Gilloise
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Atletico Madrid
3 1
Union St. Gilloise
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Zulte Waregem
1 4
Union St. Gilloise
21% Draw 52%
40% Over 2.5 60%
44% Both Teams Score 56%
1.04 xPTS 1.96
0.83 xG [Total: 2.28] 1.45
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 5] 3
4 Corners [Total: 9] 5
2 Offsides [Total: 4] 2
12 Fouls [Total: 25] 13
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 9] 5
In this exciting Belgian Pro League 2025-2026 matchup, Charleroi will take on Union St. Gilloise as part of the 2025-2026 season in Belgian Pro League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Stade du Pays de Charleroi. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Charleroi, and the visiting side, Union St. Gilloise. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-14 Time: 17:30 Location: Stade du Pays de Charleroi Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 12:30 Football

Value Bets

2 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 1.78
60.3%
EV: +7.3% Kelly: $4.69
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Value
BTTS No
Odds: 1.87
56.3%
EV: +5.3% Kelly: $3.04
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 12:17:14
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Trends for Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise Football 14 Dec, 2025 12:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Stalemate

    Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Union St. Gilloise is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Charleroi

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Union St. Gilloise

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Charleroi - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Union St. Gilloise - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Charleroi - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Union St. Gilloise - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Union St. Gilloise excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Union St. Gilloise scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Union St. Gilloise has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Union St. Gilloise handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.051
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.093
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Charleroi):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Union St. Gilloise):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise

Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 12:30 Belgian Pro League

Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Charleroi and away matches for Union St. Gilloise

Number of goals

Number of goals
Charleroi
Under
Over
Union St. Gilloise
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
10% 1
10% 1
2
60% 6
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
12
90% 9
90% 9
1X
40% 4
60% 6
X2
70% 7
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
20% 2
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Charleroi
Under
Over
Union St. Gilloise
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
xG
1.03
1.19
xGa
1.03
1.28

Number of goals

Number of goals
Charleroi
Under
Over
Union St. Gilloise
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
60% 6
50% 5
2
10% 1
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
12
40% 4
50% 5
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
70% 7
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4

Number of goals

Number of goals
Charleroi
Under
Over
Union St. Gilloise
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
50% 5
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
80% 8
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise and -3.5 goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
1.4%
Low
N/A
9.8%
Low
6.05
-2
3.8%
Low
N/A
17.6%
Low
5.25
-1.5
6.3%
Low
9.20
25.5%
Low
3.45
-1
13.6%
Low
8.20
38.6%
Low
2.62
-0.5
20.9%
Low
3.95
51.7%
Medium
1.85
+0.5
48.3%
Low
2.00
79.1%
High
1.20
+1
61.4%
Medium
1.52
86.4%
High
1.02
+1.5
74.5%
High
1.33
93.7%
High
1.00
+2
82.4%
High
1.09
96.2%
High
N/A
+2.5
90.2%
High
1.09
98.6%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.520.20%Low3.82
Under 1.579.80%High1.27
AwayOver 1.542.53%Low2.02
Under 1.557.47%Medium1.78
HomeOver 2.55.18%Low10.75
Under 2.594.82%High1.05
AwayOver 2.517.87%Low3.95
Under 2.582.13%High1.22
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
18 Oct
- 18:45
Union St. Gilloise
Charleroi
0.93
xG
0.72
3
1
Prob 89%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.45
10 Dec
- 18:15
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
1 Oct
- 11:30
Union St. Gilloise
Charleroi
3
1
club logo
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Played: 3
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
3
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
3
1
Goals
3
9
9
3
Goals Conceded
1
3
8
2.7
Yellow Cards
1
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
15
5
Corners
5.3
16
28
9.3
Fouls
13.3
40
6
2
Offsides
2
6
22
7.3
Shots
16.7
50
10
3.3
Shots on Goal
6.7
20
Home Away All
Played 8 8 16
Wins 3 2 5
Draws 3 1 4
Losses 2 5 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.1 9 1.1 9 1.1 18
Goals Conceded 0.9 7 1.8 14 1.3 21
Yellow Cards 1.8 14 2 16 1.9 30
Red Cards 0.3 2 0 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.1 1 0.3 4
Corners 4.9 39 4.4 35 4.6 74
Fouls 11.5 92 10.9 87 11.2 179
Offsides 2.3 18 2 16 2.1 34
Shots 10.5 84 10.5 84 10.5 168
Shots on Goal 4.1 33 4 32 4.1 65
Home Away All
Played 7 9 16
Wins 7 4 11
Draws 0 3 3
Losses 0 2 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.7 19 1.3 12 1.9 31
Goals Conceded 0.1 1 0.9 8 0.6 9
Yellow Cards 1.3 9 2.9 26 2.2 35
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.9 6 0.2 2 0.5 8
Corners 5.6 39 5.3 48 5.4 87
Fouls 11.6 81 13.4 121 12.6 202
Offsides 2.4 17 2.2 20 2.3 37
Shots 18.1 127 12.4 112 14.9 239
Shots on Goal 6.7 47 4.8 43 5.6 90
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