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Casa Pia
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 16 May, 2026 12:00
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16
Played
2
Wins
8
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(17 total)
xG
0.80
(13.3 total)
Shots per Match
7.4
(119 total)
Shots on Target
2.6
(34% acc)
Corners
3.1
(50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
16.3
(260 total)
Offsides
1
(16 total)
17
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(13 total)
xG
0.90
(15.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.1
(155 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(32% acc)
Corners
4.2
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.9
(253 total)
Offsides
1.8
(30 total)
33
Played
6
Wins
11
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(30 total)
xG
0.90
(28.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.3
(274 total)
Shots on Target
2.8
(33% acc)
Corners
3.7
(122 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
15.5
(513 total)
Offsides
1.4
(46 total)
17
Played
3
Wins
6
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(17 total)
xG
1.20
(21.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(197 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(34% acc)
Corners
4.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(5 total)
Fouls
11.6
(198 total)
Offsides
1.1
(19 total)
16
Played
5
Wins
5
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(17 total)
xG
0.80
(12.2 total)
Shots per Match
8.5
(136 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(43% acc)
Corners
3.6
(58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.1
(209 total)
Offsides
1.6
(26 total)
33
Played
8
Wins
11
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(34 total)
xG
1.00
(33.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.1
(333 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(38% acc)
Corners
4.2
(138 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(6 total)
Fouls
12.3
(407 total)
Offsides
1.4
(45 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.96 vs 0.90
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
17.74%
🔥
⭐
0:1
13.66%
⭐
0:2
5.26%
⭐
0:3
1.35%
⭐
0:4
0.26%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
14.73%
⭐
1:1
13.65%
⭐
1:2
6.14%
1:3
1.8%
1:4
0.39%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
6.11%
2:1
6.62%
2:2
3.43%
2:3
1.15%
2:4
0.28%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
1.69%
3:1
2.1%
3:2
1.24%
3:3
0.47%
3:4
0.13%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
0.35%
4:1
0.49%
4:2
0.32%
4:3
0.14%
4:4
0.04%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.06%
5:1
0.09%
5:2
0.07%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:0 (17.7%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Saturday, May 16th, 2026 at 12:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Football 16 May, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
-
Clinical Finishing
Rio Ave convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
Comprehensive betting trends for Casa Pia vs Rio Ave.
🏆 Match Winner — Casa Pia @ 1.78 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia
Efficient ScoringH2H
Casa Pia efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsRio Ave
Not WinH2H
Rio Ave have not won in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
Rio Ave have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Casa Pia to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.78 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Casa Pia score (1.00/match) and concede (2.14/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 44%)
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Unlock Streak TrendsRio Ave1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Rio Ave score (1.50/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 88% of matches (league avg: 44%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.08 
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 666.7%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Casa Pia Win or Draw @ 1.23 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia
Undefeated at HTH2H
Casa Pia are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsRio Ave
Not WinH2H
Rio Ave have not won in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
Rio Ave have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Casa Pia to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Rio Ave Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.40 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsRio Ave
Scored 1+Recent
Rio Ave scored 1+ goals in their last 5 6 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Rio Ave's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia3 Trends — avg 2.9 (+10% above league)Many CardsH2H
Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh Card MatchesLeague
Casa Pia average 3.2 cards/match in all matches (+18% above league avg 2.7) — rank #2 in league
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Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsRio Ave2 Trends — avg 2.6 (-2% below league)High Card MatchesLeague
Rio Ave average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+13% above league avg 2.7) — rank #3 in league
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Rio Ave receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 4.7 cards per match in their last 6 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams show aggressive play -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.25 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia1 Trends — avg 3.6 (-22% below league)Few CornersLeague
Casa Pia average 3.6 corners/match at home (-22% below league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.25
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Casa Pia
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Rio Ave
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Casa Pia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Rio Ave - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Casa Pia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Rio Ave - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Casa Pia to win the first half
- Overall Result: Casa Pia has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Casa Pia handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.054
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Casa Pia):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Rio Ave):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Head-to-head statistics for Sat 16 May, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
▲
9
9
15
32
40
-8
36
13
▼
8
11
14
34
56
-22
35
14
8
7
18
35
45
-10
31
15
6
11
16
36
54
-18
29
16
6
11
16
30
56
-26
29
17
6
10
17
26
52
-26
28
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Rio Ave
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Casa Pia
VS
Rio Ave
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
3
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (8)
1.3 (9)
xG
1.30
1.80
Shots
10.3 (72)
10.9 (76)
Shots on Target
2.9 (20)
4.1 (29)
Corners
5.6 (39)
4.3 (30)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (9)
1.1 (8)
xGa
1.80
1.30
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 (18)
1.6 (11)
Fouls
19.6 (137)
13.7 (96)
Offsides
1.7 (12)
1.4 (10)
Last 6 Matches
Casa Pia
VS
Rio Ave
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.67
PPG
0.83
0.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
33%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.81
Avg xG
1.16
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Casa Pia and away matches for Rio Ave
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
xG
0.85
1.34
xGa
1.43
1.07
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
60%
6
60%
6
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
12
40%
4
40%
4
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
0-1
80%
8
40%
4
2-3
20%
2
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
0.90
xG
0.86
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
3
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In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Casa Pia will take on Rio Ave as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-05-16 at 2026-05-16 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Casa Pia, and the visiting side, Rio Ave. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Rio Ave.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-16
Time: 17:00
Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!