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Casa Pia
1
1
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia vs Guimaraes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 28 December, 2025 9:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.92 vs 1.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.75%
0:1
14.59%
🔥
⭐
0:2
8.34%
⭐
0:3
3.18%
0:4
0.91%
0:5
0.21%
⭐
1
1:0
7.7%
⭐
1:1
12.84%
⭐
1:2
9.65%
1:3
4.56%
1:4
1.55%
1:5
0.41%
⭐
2
2:0
2.32%
⭐
2:1
5.09%
2:2
4.94%
2:3
2.9%
⭐
2:4
1.19%
2:5
0.37%
3
3:0
0.47%
3:1
1.27%
3:2
1.53%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.55%
⭐
3:5
0.2%
⭐
4
4:0
0.07%
4:1
0.23%
⭐
4:2
0.33%
⭐
4:3
0.29%
⭐
4:4
0.17%
4:5
0.07%
⭐
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.03%
5:2
0.05%
5:3
0.06%
⭐
5:4
0.04%
⭐
5:5
0.02%
⭐
Hotspot:
0:1 (14.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
▼
6
4
3
25
12
13
22
7
▲
6
3
5
15
17
-2
21
8
▼
6
2
6
21
24
-3
20
15
▼
3
3
7
12
18
-6
12
16
▼
2
4
8
14
28
-14
10
17
▼
2
3
8
7
22
-15
9
0.70
xG
1.80
45%
Ball Possession
55%
9
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots Off Goal
9
4
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Casa Pia
VS
Guimaraes
0/6 (0%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.33
PPG
1.67
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
2.50
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
50%
BTTS %
0%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.54
Avg xG
0.97
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Casa Pia will take on Guimaraes as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-28 at 2025-12-28 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Casa Pia, and the visiting side, Guimaraes. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Guimaraes.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-28
Time: 15:30
Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Casa Pia vs Guimaraes Football 28 Dec, 2025 9:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Guimaraes struggle to score — failed to find net in 7/7 recent away matches
-
Chance Suppression
Guimaraes rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Casa Pia vs Guimaraes, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Casa Pia(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H5/683%Casa Pia are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches vs Guimaraes
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Casa Pia are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Casa Pia have not won in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Guimaraes(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H5/683%Guimaraes have not won in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches vs Casa Pia
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Casa Pia(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/757%Casa Pia score (1.00/match) and concede (2.14/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 44%)
Guimaraes(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague7/7100%Guimaraes struggle to score in away matches (0.57/match) - fail to score in 100% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H5/683%At least one team failed to score in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H6/6100%Under 2.5 goals in their last 6 Primeira Liga H2H matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
Casa Pia(4 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/6100%Casa Pia are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches vs Guimaraes
- UnbeatenH2H5/683%Casa Pia are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches vs Guimaraes
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Casa Pia are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Casa Pia have not won in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Guimaraes(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H5/683%Guimaraes have not won in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches vs Casa Pia
⚡ Team Total Goals
Casa Pia(1 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H6/6100%Casa Pia conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 6 6 matches vs Guimaraes
Guimaraes(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague7/7100%Guimaraes struggle to score in away matches (0.57/match) - fail to score in 100% of matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent15/15100%Guimaraes rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Casa Pia(4 trends)
- Many CardsH2H6/6100%Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches vs Guimaraes
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Casa Pia average 3.2 cards/match in all matches (+18% above league avg 2.7) — rank #2 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent24/3080%Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Guimaraes(1 trends)
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Guimaraes receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 5.3 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Casa Pia(1 trends) — avg 3.6 (-22% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Casa Pia average 3.6 corners/match at home (-22% below league avg 4.6)
Guimaraes(2 trends) — avg 5.6 (+11% above league)
- Many CornersH2H5/683%Guimaraes win 6+ corners in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches vs Casa Pia
- Corner DominanceH2H5/683%Guimaraes dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches vs Casa Pia
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+15 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Casa Pia vs Guimaraes
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Casa Pia
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Guimaraes
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Casa Pia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Guimaraes - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Casa Pia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Guimaraes - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Guimaraes has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Guimaraes handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.006
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.038
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Casa Pia):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Guimaraes):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Casa Pia vs Guimaraes Head-to-head statistics for Sun 28 Dec, 2025 @ 9:30 Primeira Liga
Casa Pia vs Guimaraes: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Casa Pia and away matches for Guimaraes
Number of goals
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
40%
4
10%
1
Total Corners
Total Corners
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Yes
10%
1
50%
5
No
90%
9
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
xG
0.82
1.18
xGa
1.5
0.96
Number of goals
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2
1X2
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Guimaraes
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 23.48% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 76.52% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 42.87% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 57.13% | Medium | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 6.62% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 93.38% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 18.12% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 81.88% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Played:
6
Wins
2
2
Draws
3
3
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
0.7
Goals
0.3
2
2
0.3
Goals Conceded
0.7
4
20
3.3
Yellow Cards
2
12
0
Red Cards
0
4
0.7
Clean Sheets
0.5
3
23
3.8
Corners
7.7
46
91
15.2
Fouls
11.2
67
5
0.8
Offsides
2.2
13
62
10.3
Shots
17.5
105
16
2.7
Shots on Goal
3.2
19
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 15 | 1.9 | 13 | 2 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 19 | 3.6 | 25 | 3.1 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 3.6 | 25 | 3.9 | 27 | 3.7 | 52 |
| Fouls | 14.7 | 103 | 14 | 98 | 14.4 | 201 |
| Offsides | 1 | 7 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.1 | 15 |
| Shots | 7.6 | 53 | 8.1 | 57 | 7.9 | 110 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.6 | 18 | 2.7 | 19 | 2.6 | 37 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 11 | 0.6 | 4 | 1.1 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 8 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.2 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 3 | 21 | 1.9 | 13 | 2.4 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 34 | 4.3 | 30 | 4.6 | 64 |
| Fouls | 14 | 98 | 13 | 91 | 13.5 | 189 |
| Offsides | 2 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 28 |
| Shots | 11.9 | 83 | 12.9 | 90 | 12.4 | 173 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 27 | 3.1 | 22 | 3.5 | 49 |
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