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Form
Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 20
Preview
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
16th place
Form
VS
20:45
2 Feb 2026
FC Porto
FC Porto
1st place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : FC Porto
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Casa Pia vs FC Porto: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 2 February, 2026 14:45

Winner (1x2)-
FC Porto to Win
Probability 85%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 65%
Casa Pia Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 99%
FC Porto Total-
Away Over 1.5
Probability 76%
Double Chance-
Draw/FC Porto
Probability 97%
Asian Handicap-
FC Porto +2.5
Probability 100%
Best Tip
Value
Match Winner FC Porto to Win
Odds 1.33
Win Prob. 86.6% EV: +15.1%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20:45
Casa Pia W 3%
:
FC Porto W 85%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Casa Pia
w d l l d
9 Played
0 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10 total)
xG
0.70 (6.7 total)
Shots per Match
7.3 (66 total)
Shots on Target
2.6 (35% acc)
Corners
3.2 (29 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.7 (141 total)
Offsides
1 (9 total)
10 Played
3 Wins
1 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (10 total)
xG
0.90 (9.2 total)
Shots per Match
8.9 (89 total)
Shots on Target
3 (34% acc)
Corners
4 (40 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.7 (147 total)
Offsides
1.3 (13 total)
19 Played
3 Wins
6 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (20 total)
xG
0.80 (15.9 total)
Shots per Match
8.2 (155 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (34% acc)
Corners
3.6 (69 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
15.2 (288 total)
Offsides
1.2 (22 total)
FC Porto
w w w d w
12 Played
11 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (26 total)
xG
1.90 (23.4 total)
Shots per Match
14.3 (172 total)
Shots on Target
5.7 (40% acc)
Corners
5.4 (65 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.3 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.2 (146 total)
Offsides
1.8 (21 total)
14 Played
11 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (24 total)
xG
1.60 (22.9 total)
Shots per Match
14.6 (204 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (37% acc)
Corners
5.7 (80 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.5 (189 total)
Offsides
1.8 (25 total)
26 Played
22 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (50 total)
xG
1.80 (46.3 total)
Shots per Match
14.5 (376 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (38% acc)
Corners
5.6 (145 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
17 (65%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
12.9 (335 total)
Offsides
1.8 (46 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.49 vs 2.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.17%
0:1
11.54%
0:2
15.97%
🔥
0:3
14.73%
0:4
10.19%
0:5
5.64%
1
1:0
1.37%
1:1
4.46%
1:2
7.11%
1:3
7.42%
1:4
5.73%
1:5
3.5%
2
2:0
0.22%
2:1
0.84%
2:2
1.53%
2:3
1.79%
2:4
1.54%
2:5
1.04%
3
3:0
0.02%
3:1
0.1%
3:2
0.21%
3:3
0.28%
3:4
0.27%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
0%
4:1
0.01%
4:2
0.02%
4:3
0.03%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0%
5:2
0%
5:3
0%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:2 (16.0%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.2%
0
12.9%
1
20.6%
2
22.7%
3
19.2%
4
13.4%
5
5.3%
6
1.3%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Casa PiaHDPFC Porto
0.0%
Very Low
-2.5
45.4%
@ 3.35Medium
0.2%
Very Low
-2
57.0%
@ 2.52Medium
0.4%
Very Low
-1.5
68.6%
@ 1.93High
1.5%
Very Low
-1
78.1%
@ 1.44High
2.6%
Very Low
-0.5
87.7%
@ 1.30Very High
12.3%
Very Low@ 3.94
+0.5
97.3%
Very High
21.9%
Low@ 3.03
+1
98.5%
Very High
31.4%
Low@ 2.01
+1.5
99.6%
Very High
43.0%
Medium@ 1.55
+2
99.8%
Very High
54.6%
Medium@ 1.38
+2.5
99.9%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Casa PiaOutcomeFC Porto
38.7%
Low@ 2.30
Over 0.5
94.7%
@ 1.10Very High
61.3%
High@ 1.65
Under 0.5
5.3%
@ 8.00Very Low
8.7%
Very Low@ 8.30
Over 1.5
79.0%
@ 1.54High
91.3%
Very High@ 1.09
Under 1.5
21.0%
@ 2.75Low
1.4%
Very Low@ 12.50
Over 2.5
56.1%
@ 2.60Medium
98.6%
Very High@ 1.01
Under 2.5
43.9%
@ 1.58Medium
0.2%
Very Low
Over 3.5
33.7%
@ 4.90Low
99.8%
Very High
Under 3.5
66.3%
@ 1.20High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Casa Pia will take on FC Porto as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-02-02 at 2026-02-02 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Casa Pia, and the visiting side, FC Porto. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : FC Porto. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-02 Time: 20:45 Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Casa Pia vs FC Porto Monday, Feb 2nd, 2026 at 14:45 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

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Asian Handicap FC Porto -1.5
High Value
Prob: 65.9%
EV: +27.1%
Stake: $2.69
1.93
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 61.5%
EV: +16.8%
Stake: $2.78
1.90
Match Winner FC Porto
Value
Prob: 85.5%
EV: +13.7%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Asian Handicap FC Porto -1
Value
Prob: 76.2%
EV: +9.7%
Stake: $5.68
1.44
Win to Nil FC Porto Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 58.6%
EV: +8.4%
Stake: $2.94
1.85
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 88.9%
EV: +4.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.17
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-27 03:00:11
spinner

Trends for Casa Pia vs FC Porto Football 2 Feb, 2026 14:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    FC Porto have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    FC Porto create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Casa Pia vs FC Porto

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the second half (13 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Casa Pia

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.12

✈️ FC Porto

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.05
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Casa Pia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ FC Porto - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Casa Pia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8

✈️ FC Porto - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
0
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Casa Pia shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Casa Pia winning the second half
  • Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.165
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.046
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Casa Pia):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC Porto):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Casa Pia
FC Porto

Casa Pia vs FC Porto Head-to-head statistics for Mon 2 Feb, 2026 @ 14:45 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
FC Porto
w w w w w
>
19
18
1
0
40
4
36
55
2
Sporting CP
w w d w w
>
19
15
3
1
52
10
42
48

15
Arouca
d d l w l
>
19
4
5
10
20
44
-24
17
16
Casa Pia
w d l l d
>
19
3
6
10
20
38
-18
15
17
Tondela
l w l l l
>
19
3
3
13
12
33
-21
12
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : FC Porto
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Casa Pia
VS
FC Porto
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
6 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.4 (3)
2 (14)
xG
0.40
1.80
Shots
8.1 (57)
18.4 (129)
Shots on Target
1.9 (13)
7.4 (52)
Corners
4.1 (29)
6.4 (45)
Defense
Conceded
2 (14)
0.4 (3)
xGa
1.80
0.40
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
4 (57%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (12)
1.9 (13)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
12.6 (88)
12.9 (90)
Offsides
2 (14)
1.7 (12)
24 Aug
- 17:00
FC Porto
Casa Pia
2.63
xG
0.22
4
0
12 Apr
- 19:30
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0.62
xG
0.81
0
1
2 Dec
- 20:45
FC Porto
Casa Pia
1.82
xG
0.46
2
0
21 Apr
- 17:00
Casa Pia
FC Porto
1
2
9 Dec
- 20:30
FC Porto
Casa Pia
3
1
14 May
- 19:30
FC Porto
Casa Pia
2
1
7 Jan
- 20:30
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
0
Last 6 Matches
Casa Pia
VS
FC Porto
1/6 (17%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.00 PPG 3.00
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.17
67% BTTS % 17%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
0.85 Avg xG 1.88
Casa Pia
W D L L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Casa Pia
3 3
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Sporting CP
3 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Rio Ave
3 1
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 0
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Tondela
1 2
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
1 1
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
W W W D W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Jan 2026 - 20:15
FC Porto
3 0
GIL Vicente
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
22 Jan 2026 - 17:45
Plzen
1 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 20:30
Guimaraes
0 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Santa Clara
0 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Dec 2025 - 20:15
FC Porto
2 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Dec 2025 - 18:45
Alverca
0 3
FC Porto

Casa Pia vs FC Porto: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Casa Pia and away matches for FC Porto

Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
1X2
Casa Pia
FC Porto
1
10% 1
90% 9
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
50% 5
0% 0
Double Chance
Casa Pia
FC Porto
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
50% 5
100% 10
X2
90% 9
10% 1
Total Goals
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
40% 4
10% 1
Total Corners
Casa Pia
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Yes
10% 1
70% 7
No
90% 9
30% 3
1X2 HT - FT
Casa Pia
FC Porto
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Casa Pia
FC Porto
xG
0.79
2
xGa
1.73
0.58
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2
Casa Pia
FC Porto
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
50% 5
10% 1
Double Chance
Casa Pia
FC Porto
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
50% 5
90% 9
X2
90% 9
50% 5
Total Goals
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0-1
80% 8
90% 9
2-3
20% 2
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Yes
50% 5
90% 9
No
50% 5
10% 1
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
1X2
Casa Pia
FC Porto
1
30% 3
80% 8
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
50% 5
10% 1
Double Chance
Casa Pia
FC Porto
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
50% 5
90% 9
X2
70% 7
20% 2
Total Goals
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
30% 3
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Yes
30% 3
80% 8
No
70% 7
20% 2
0.43 xG 2.58
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots Off Goal 9
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
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