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Form
Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 28
Preview
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
15th place
Form
VS
19:45
6 Apr 2026
Benfica
Benfica
3rd place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : Benfica
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Casa Pia vs Benfica: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 6 April, 2026 14:45

Winner (1x2)-
Benfica to Win
Probability 75%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 63%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 52%
Casa Pia Total1.02
Home Under 2.5
Probability 95%
Benfica Total1.35
Away Over 1.5
Probability 71%
Double Chance-
Draw/Benfica
Probability 92%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
19:45
Casa Pia W 8%
:
Benfica W 75%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Casa Pia
w l d d l
12 Played
2 Wins
6 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (16 total)
xG
0.90 (10.9 total)
Shots per Match
7.5 (90 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (36% acc)
Corners
2.7 (32 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.9 (191 total)
Offsides
0.8 (10 total)
14 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (10 total)
xG
0.90 (12.2 total)
Shots per Match
8.7 (122 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (31% acc)
Corners
3.9 (54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.6 (205 total)
Offsides
1.8 (25 total)
26 Played
5 Wins
9 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (26 total)
xG
0.90 (23.2 total)
Shots per Match
8.2 (212 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (33% acc)
Corners
3.3 (86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
15.2 (396 total)
Offsides
1.3 (35 total)
Benfica
l w d w w
21 Played
13 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (44 total)
xG
1.70 (36.7 total)
Shots per Match
16.7 (350 total)
Shots on Target
6 (36% acc)
Corners
6.1 (129 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
10.7 (224 total)
Offsides
1.9 (39 total)
20 Played
12 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (30 total)
xG
1.30 (26.1 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (282 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (32% acc)
Corners
6.2 (123 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
10.7 (214 total)
Offsides
1 (19 total)
41 Played
25 Wins
9 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (74 total)
xG
1.50 (62.8 total)
Shots per Match
15.4 (632 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (34% acc)
Corners
6.1 (252 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
19 (46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (7 total)
Fouls
10.7 (438 total)
Offsides
1.4 (58 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.83 vs 2.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.46%
0:1
10.36%
0:2
12.03%
🔥
0:3
9.31%
0:4
5.4%
0:5
2.51%
1
1:0
2.95%
1:1
7.61%
1:2
9.7%
1:3
8.18%
1:4
5.14%
1:5
2.57%
2
2:0
0.98%
2:1
2.77%
2:2
3.85%
2:3
3.52%
2:4
2.39%
2:5
1.28%
3
3:0
0.22%
3:1
0.66%
3:2
1%
3:3
0.99%
3:4
0.72%
3:5
0.42%
4
4:0
0.04%
4:1
0.12%
4:2
0.19%
4:3
0.21%
4:4
0.16%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0.02%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 0:2 (12.0%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.5%
0
13.3%
1
20.6%
2
22.0%
3
18.1%
4
12.3%
5
6.2%
6
2.2%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Casa PiaHDPBenfica
0.3%
Very Low
-2.5
28.5%
@ 2.92Low
1.0%
Very Low
-2
39.9%
@ 2.32Low
1.8%
Very Low
-1.5
51.2%
@ 1.79Medium
4.9%
Very Low
-1
63.3%
@ 1.40High
8.0%
Very Low
-0.5
75.4%
@ 1.25High
24.6%
Low@ 3.80
+0.5
92.0%
Very High
36.7%
Low@ 3.10
+1
95.1%
Very High
48.8%
Medium@ 2.15
+1.5
98.2%
Very High
60.1%
High@ 1.70
+2
98.9%
Very High
71.4%
High@ 1.44
+2.5
99.7%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Casa PiaOutcomeBenfica
20.2%
Low@ 5.80
Over 1.5
71.1%
@ 1.35High
79.8%
High@ 1.15
Under 1.5
28.9%
@ 3.40Low
5.2%
Very Low@ 21.00
Over 2.5
45.4%
@ 2.10Medium
94.8%
Very High@ 1.02
Under 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.77Medium
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Casa Pia will take on Benfica as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-04-06 at 2026-04-06 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Casa Pia, and the visiting side, Benfica. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Benfica. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-06 Time: 19:45 Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Casa Pia vs Benfica Monday, Apr 6th, 2026 at 14:45 Football

AI Value Bets
3 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
Win to Nil Benfica NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 60.7%
EV: +5.0%
Stake: $3.42
1.73
Asian Handicap Casa Pia +2.5
Value
Prob: 71.4%
EV: +2.9%
Stake: $5.68
1.44
Asian Handicap Casa Pia +2
Value
Prob: 60.1%
EV: +2.2%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-30 03:17:03
spinner

Trends for Casa Pia vs Benfica Football 6 Apr, 2026 14:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Benfica have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Benfica rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Casa Pia vs Benfica

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Casa Pia is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (17 vs 12).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Casa Pia

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Benfica

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Casa Pia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Benfica - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Casa Pia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Benfica - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Casa Pia often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Casa Pia scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (17 vs 12)
  • First Half Result: Consider Casa Pia to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Benfica has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Benfica handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.111
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.077
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Casa Pia):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Benfica):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Casa Pia
Benfica

Casa Pia vs Benfica Head-to-head statistics for Mon 6 Apr, 2026 @ 14:45 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
Sporting CP
w w w d w
>
26
20
5
1
68
15
53
65
3
Benfica
w w d w w
>
27
19
8
0
58
17
41
65
4
SC Braga
l w w d l
>
26
13
7
6
53
27
26
46

14
Santa Clara
d d w w w
>
27
7
7
13
24
31
-7
28
15
Casa Pia
w l d d l
>
26
5
9
12
26
48
-22
24
16
Nacional
l l d l l
>
27
5
7
15
29
39
-10
22
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Benfica
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Casa Pia
VS
Benfica
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
2 Draws
4 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (6)
1.7 (12)
xG
0.90
2.20
Shots
7 (49)
18.9 (132)
Shots on Target
2.3 (16)
6.1 (43)
Corners
2.9 (20)
9 (63)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (12)
0.9 (6)
xGa
2.20
0.90
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (14)
1.4 (10)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
11.3 (79)
9.4 (66)
Offsides
0.4 (3)
2 (14)
9 Nov
- 20:30
Benfica
Casa Pia
2.03
xG
1.27
2
2
Prob 71%
Asian Handicap A+2.5
Odd 1.55
25 Jan
- 18:00
Casa Pia
Benfica
1.25
xG
1.93
3
1
17 Aug
- 19:30
Benfica
Casa Pia
2.50
xG
0.29
3
0
17 Mar
- 18:00
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
1
28 Oct
- 17:00
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
4 Feb
- 18:00
Benfica
Casa Pia
3
0
13 Aug
- 17:00
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
1
Last 6 Matches
Casa Pia
VS
Benfica
1/6 (17%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.00 PPG 2.67
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
33% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.05 Avg xG 1.94
Casa Pia
W L D D L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Mar 2026 - 20:15
Estrela
4 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 20:30
Estoril
0 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Casa Pia
1 1
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Feb 2026 - 20:15
Famalicao
2 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Casa Pia
3 2
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
0 0
Casa Pia
Benfica
L W D W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
3 0
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Mar 2026 - 20:30
Arouca
1 2
Benfica
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
2 2
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Mar 2026 - 20:15
GIL Vicente
1 2
Benfica
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Real Madrid
2 1
Benfica
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
3 0
AVS

Casa Pia vs Benfica: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Casa Pia and away matches for Benfica

Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Benfica
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
20% 2
60% 6
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Benfica
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
40% 4
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Benfica
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
70% 7
4+
40% 4
10% 1
Total Corners
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
50% 5
50% 5
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Benfica
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Casa Pia
Benfica
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Casa Pia
Benfica
xG
1.09
1.73
xGa
1.91
1.05
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Benfica
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Benfica
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Benfica
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Benfica
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Benfica
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Benfica
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
0% 0
40% 4
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
70% 7
30% 3
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Benfica
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
30% 3
70% 7
X2
100% 10
60% 6
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Benfica
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
0% 0
40% 4
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Benfica
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
0.59 xG 2.14
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots Off Goal 9
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found