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Form
Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 19
Preview
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
15th place
Form
VS
20:15
23 Jan 2026
AVS
AVS
18th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Casa Pia or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Casa Pia vs AVS: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 23 January, 2026 14:15

Winner (1x2)-
Casa Pia to Win
Probability 58%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 58%
Casa Pia Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 80%
AVS Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 96%
Double Chance-
Casa Pia/Draw
Probability 86%
Asian Handicap-
Casa Pia +2.5
Probability 100%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20:15
Casa Pia W 58%
:
AVS W 14%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Casa Pia
l d w d l
8 Played
0 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (7 total)
xG
0.60 (5.1 total)
Shots per Match
7.1 (57 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (33% acc)
Corners
3.4 (27 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.8 (126 total)
Offsides
0.9 (7 total)
9 Played
3 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10 total)
xG
1.00 (9.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.2 (83 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (35% acc)
Corners
3.8 (34 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
15 (135 total)
Offsides
1.1 (10 total)
17 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (17 total)
xG
0.80 (14.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.2 (140 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (34% acc)
Corners
3.6 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.4 (261 total)
Offsides
1 (17 total)
AVS
l l d l l
9 Played
0 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (7 total)
xG
0.90 (8.3 total)
Shots per Match
10 (90 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (34% acc)
Corners
2.9 (26 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
15.3 (138 total)
Offsides
0.9 (8 total)
8 Played
0 Wins
1 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (4 total)
xG
0.70 (5.9 total)
Shots per Match
9 (72 total)
Shots on Target
2.1 (24% acc)
Corners
3.4 (27 total)
Defense
Conceded
3.1 per match
xGa
2.10 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.8 (102 total)
Offsides
1.3 (10 total)
17 Played
0 Wins
4 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (11 total)
xG
0.80 (14.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.5 (162 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (30% acc)
Corners
3.1 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.5 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
14.1 (240 total)
Offsides
1.1 (18 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.55 vs 0.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.6%
0:1
6.64%
0:2
1.75%
0:3
0.31%
0:4
0.04%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
17.22%
🔥
1:1
11.38%
1:2
3.61%
1:3
0.74%
1:4
0.11%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
11.77%
2:1
9.36%
2:2
3.51%
2:3
0.84%
2:4
0.14%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
5.36%
3:1
4.98%
3:2
2.17%
3:3
0.6%
3:4
0.12%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
1.83%
4:1
1.95%
4:2
0.97%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.5%
5:1
0.6%
5:2
0.34%
5:3
0.12%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (17.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

12.6%
0
23.9%
1
24.9%
2
18.6%
3
11.1%
4
5.6%
5
2.3%
6
0.8%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Casa PiaHDPAVS
11.0%
Very Low
-2.5
0.5%
Very Low
19.9%
Very Low
-2
1.8%
Very Low
28.8%
Low
-1.5
3.1%
Very Low
43.2%
Medium
-1
8.7%
Very Low
57.7%
Medium
-0.5
14.3%
Very Low
85.7%
Very High
+0.5
42.3%
Medium
91.3%
Very High
+1
56.8%
Medium
96.9%
Very High
+1.5
71.2%
High
98.2%
Very High
+2
80.1%
Very High
99.5%
Very High
+2.5
89.0%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Casa PiaOutcomeAVS
78.8%
High
Over 0.5
50.8%
Medium
21.2%
Low
Under 0.5
49.2%
Medium
45.9%
Medium
Over 1.5
15.9%
Very Low
54.1%
Medium
Under 1.5
84.1%
Very High
20.4%
Low
Over 2.5
3.5%
Very Low
79.6%
High
Under 2.5
96.5%
Very High
7.2%
Very Low
Over 3.5
0.6%
Very Low
92.8%
Very High
Under 3.5
99.4%
Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Casa Pia will take on AVS as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2026-01-23 at 2026-01-23 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Casa Pia, and the visiting side, AVS. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Casa Pia or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-23 Time: 20:15 Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Casa Pia vs AVS Friday, Jan 23rd, 2026 at 14:15 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Casa Pia vs AVS Football 23 Jan, 2026 14:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

🎯 Betting Analysis

Casa Pia vs AVS

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Casa Pia

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.1

✈️ AVS

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Casa Pia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ AVS - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Casa Pia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

✈️ AVS - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Casa Pia has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Casa Pia handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.03
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.033
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Casa Pia):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (AVS):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Casa Pia
AVS

Casa Pia vs AVS Head-to-head statistics for Fri 23 Jan, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
14
Nacional
l w d l d
>
17
4
5
8
21
26
-5
17
15
Casa Pia
l d w d l
>
17
3
5
9
17
32
-15
14
16
Arouca
l w d d l
>
17
3
5
9
18
42
-24
14
17
Tondela
l l l w l
>
17
3
3
11
12
29
-17
12
18
AVS
l l d l l
>
17
0
4
13
11
43
-32
4
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Casa Pia or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Casa Pia
VS
AVS
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4)
0.7 (2)
xG
1.30
1.00
Shots
9.3 (28)
8.3 (25)
Shots on Target
4.7 (14)
2.3 (7)
Corners
4.3 (13)
1.7 (5)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (2)
1.3 (4)
xGa
1.00
1.30
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (6)
5 (15)
Fouls
14.3 (43)
16 (48)
Offsides
1.3 (4)
2 (6)
15 Aug
- 14:30
AVS
Casa Pia
1.27
xG
1.40
0
2
19 Apr
- 14:30
AVS
Casa Pia
0.77
xG
1.26
1
1
8 Dec
- 18:00
Casa Pia
AVS
1.32
xG
0.98
1
1
Last 6 Matches
Casa Pia
VS
AVS
1/6 (17%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 5/6 (83%)
0.83 PPG 0.17
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.50
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 3.00
50% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.64 Avg xG 0.82
Casa Pia
L D W D L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Rio Ave
3 1
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 0
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Tondela
1 2
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
1 1
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Santa Clara
1 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 2
Alverca
AVS
L L D L L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 20:30
AVS
0 2
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Dec 2025 - 20:15
FC Porto
2 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 15:30
AVS
2 2
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Sporting CP
6 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 18:00
AVS
1 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 20:15
Guimaraes
4 0
AVS

Casa Pia vs AVS: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Casa Pia and away matches for AVS

Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
AVS
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
AVS
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
Casa Pia
AVS
1
10% 1
0% 0
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
50% 5
70% 7
Double Chance
Casa Pia
AVS
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
50% 5
30% 3
X2
90% 9
100% 10
Total Goals
Casa Pia
AVS
0-1
20% 2
0% 0
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
50% 5
50% 5
Total Corners
Casa Pia
Under
Over
AVS
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
AVS
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2 HT - FT
Casa Pia
AVS
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Casa Pia
AVS
xG
0.75
0.8
xGa
1.66
1.86
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
AVS
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
AVS
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Casa Pia
AVS
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
50% 5
50% 5
Double Chance
Casa Pia
AVS
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
50% 5
50% 5
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
Casa Pia
AVS
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
AVS
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
AVS
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
AVS
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Casa Pia
AVS
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
50% 5
70% 7
Double Chance
Casa Pia
AVS
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
50% 5
30% 3
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Casa Pia
AVS
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
70% 7
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
AVS
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1.44 xG 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found