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Cagliari
Cagliari vs Lecce: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 16 February, 2026 13:45
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11
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(15 total)
xG
0.80
(8.8 total)
Shots per Match
9.5
(105 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(40% acc)
Corners
3.7
(41 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
14
(154 total)
Offsides
1.9
(21 total)
13
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(13 total)
xG
1.00
(12.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.1
(131 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(31% acc)
Corners
2.9
(38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15.1
(196 total)
Offsides
1.2
(16 total)
24
Played
7
Wins
7
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(28 total)
xG
0.90
(21.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.8
(236 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(35% acc)
Corners
3.3
(79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
14.6
(350 total)
Offsides
1.5
(37 total)
13
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(9 total)
xG
0.90
(12.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.9
(142 total)
Shots on Target
2.8
(26% acc)
Corners
4.8
(62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
12.4
(161 total)
Offsides
1.2
(15 total)
11
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5
(6 total)
xG
0.50
(5.9 total)
Shots per Match
8.7
(96 total)
Shots on Target
1.7
(20% acc)
Corners
4.6
(51 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.4
(136 total)
Offsides
0.7
(8 total)
24
Played
5
Wins
6
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6
(15 total)
xG
0.70
(17.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.9
(238 total)
Shots on Target
2.3
(24% acc)
Corners
4.7
(113 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.4
(297 total)
Offsides
1
(23 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.51 vs 0.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.52%
0:1
7.51%
0:2
2.45%
0:3
0.53%
0:4
0.09%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
15.2%
🔥
1:1
12.15%
1:2
4.69%
1:3
1.18%
1:4
0.22%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
10.02%
⭐
2:1
9.5%
2:2
4.28%
2:3
1.23%
2:4
0.26%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
4.41%
⭐
3:1
4.83%
⭐
3:2
2.5%
⭐
3:3
0.82%
⭐
3:4
0.19%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
1.45%
⭐
4:1
1.81%
⭐
4:2
1.06%
⭐
4:3
0.39%
⭐
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.38%
⭐
5:1
0.53%
⭐
5:2
0.35%
⭐
5:3
0.15%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Cagliari will take on Lecce as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 25 and will take place on 2026-02-16 at 2026-02-16 in the famous Unipol Domus.
The referee for the game will be E. Feliciani. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Cagliari, and the visiting side, Lecce. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Cagliari or draw and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-16
Time: 19:45
Location: Unipol Domus
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Cagliari vs Lecce Monday, Feb 16th, 2026 at 13:45 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Cagliari vs Lecce Football 16 Feb, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Lecce struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent away matches
-
Corner Fest
High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure
Comprehensive betting trends for Cagliari vs Lecce.
🏆 Match Winner — Lecce @ 3.90 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLecce
Efficient ScoringH2H
Lecce efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 5 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 5100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsCagliari
Not WinRecent
Cagliari have not won in 13 of their last 16 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Lecce to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.21 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLecce1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Lecce struggle to score in away matches (0.71/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 771%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 4 of their last 5 H2H matches (80.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.52 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLecce2 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Lecce struggle to score in away matches (0.71/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Lecce scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Lecce Win or Draw @ 1.69 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsCagliari
Not WinRecent
Cagliari have not won in 13 of their last 16 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Lecce confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Lecce Over 1.5 Goals @ 4.00 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLecce
Scored 1+Recent
Lecce scored 1+ goals in their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Lecce's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak TrendsCagliari3 Trends — avg 2.3 (+5% above league)Many CardsH2H
Cagliari receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh Card MatchesLeague
Cagliari average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Cagliari receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsLecce2 Trends — avg 1.8 (-18% below league)Many CardsH2H
Lecce receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsLow Card MatchesLeague
Lecce average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0) — rank #5 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.2 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Lecce disciplined play balances Cagliari aggression —
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Unlock Streak TrendsCagliari2 Trends — avg 3.5 (-20% below league)Many CornersH2H
Cagliari win 6+ corners in 4 of their last 5 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew CornersLeague
Cagliari average 3.5 corners/match at home (-20% below league avg 4.4)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLecce1 Trends — avg 5.4 (+24% above league)Many CornersLeague
Lecce average 5.4 corners/match in away matches (+24% above league avg 4.4)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 8.9 corners/match (Cagliari 3.5 + Lecce 5.4) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Cagliari vs Lecce
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Cagliari is stronger in the first half (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Cagliari
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.28
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Lecce
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.03
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Cagliari - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Lecce - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Cagliari - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Lecce - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
1
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Cagliari is stronger in the first half (8 vs 4)
- First Half Result: Consider Cagliari to win the first half
- Overall Result: Cagliari has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Cagliari handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.314
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.035
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Cagliari):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lecce):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Cagliari vs Lecce Head-to-head statistics for Mon 16 Feb, 2026 @ 13:45 Serie A
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
▲
7
8
10
18
31
-13
29
13
▼
7
7
10
28
33
-5
28
14
▼
7
6
12
25
44
-19
27
17
▲
4
9
12
29
39
-10
21
18
▼
5
6
13
15
31
-16
21
19
1
12
12
20
42
-22
15
Team comparison
Prediction
Cagliari or Draw
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Cagliari
VS
Lecce
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (8)
1 (5)
xG
2.20
1.10
Shots
15.6 (78)
13.2 (66)
Shots on Target
4 (20)
3.2 (16)
Corners
6.4 (32)
5.8 (29)
Defense
Conceded
1 (5)
1.6 (8)
xGa
1.10
2.20
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 (14)
1.8 (9)
Red Cards
0.2 (1)
0.4 (2)
Fouls
13.2 (66)
13 (65)
Offsides
1 (5)
2.2 (11)
Last 6 Matches
Cagliari
VS
Lecce
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.67
PPG
0.67
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
0.50
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
33%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.99
Avg xG
0.70
Cagliari vs Lecce: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Cagliari and away matches for Lecce
Number of goals
Cagliari
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Cagliari
Lecce
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Cagliari
Lecce
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
40%
4
60%
6
Double Chance
Cagliari
Lecce
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
60%
6
40%
4
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Cagliari
Lecce
0-1
20%
2
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
30%
3
0%
0
Total Corners
Cagliari
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Cagliari
Lecce
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Cagliari
Lecce
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Cagliari
Lecce
xG
0.9
0.73
xGa
1.56
1.5
Number of goals
Cagliari
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Cagliari
Lecce
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Cagliari
Lecce
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Cagliari
Lecce
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Cagliari
Lecce
0-1
70%
7
90%
9
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Cagliari
Lecce
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Number of goals
Cagliari
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Cagliari
Lecce
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2
Cagliari
Lecce
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
60%
6
Double Chance
Cagliari
Lecce
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
40%
4
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Cagliari
Lecce
0-1
40%
4
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Cagliari
Lecce
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
Missing Players
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
1.33
xG
0.55
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
1