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Cagliari
2
2
Pisa
Cagliari vs AC Milan: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 2 January, 2026 14:45
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.79 vs 2.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.3%
0:1
11.51%
0:2
12.51%
🔥
0:3
9.06%
⭐
0:4
4.92%
⭐
0:5
2.14%
⭐
1
1:0
4.12%
1:1
9.02%
1:2
9.86%
1:3
7.19%
⭐
1:4
3.93%
⭐
1:5
1.72%
⭐
2
2:0
1.6%
2:1
3.53%
2:2
3.89%
2:3
2.85%
2:4
1.57%
⭐
2:5
0.69%
⭐
3
3:0
0.42%
3:1
0.92%
3:2
1.02%
3:3
0.76%
⭐
3:4
0.42%
⭐
3:5
0.19%
⭐
4
4:0
0.08%
4:1
0.18%
4:2
0.2%
4:3
0.15%
4:4
0.08%
⭐
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.03%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
0:2 (12.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
11
0
4
34
14
20
33
2
9
5
1
24
13
11
32
3
10
1
4
22
13
9
31
14
4
4
7
11
19
-8
16
15
3
6
7
17
23
-6
15
16
3
5
8
16
24
-8
14
0.88
xG
1.91
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
8
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Cagliari
VS
AC Milan
1/6 (17%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.00
PPG
2.33
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
67%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.89
Avg xG
1.81
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Cagliari will take on AC Milan as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-02 at 2026-01-02 in the famous Unipol Domus.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Cagliari, and the visiting side, AC Milan. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or AC Milan.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-02
Time: 19:45
Location: Unipol Domus
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Cagliari vs AC Milan Friday, Jan 2nd, 2026 at 14:45 Football
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Trends for Cagliari vs AC Milan Football 2 Jan, 2026 14:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
AC Milan have league's best defense — hard to break down
Comprehensive betting trends for Cagliari vs AC Milan, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — AC Milan @ 1.65 ✅ 
AC Milan
- UnbeatenH2H6/6100%AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 6 6 matches
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AC Milan score 1.71 goals/match in away matches (+46% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%AC Milan are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.71 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%AC Milan concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%AC Milan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
- UnbeatenRecent14/1593%AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 14 15 matches
Cagliari
- Not WinRecent13/1681%Cagliari have not won in 13 of their last 16 Serie A matches
AC Milan dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.00 ⚠️ 
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H5/683.3%Both teams scored in 5 of their last 6 H2H matches (83.3%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.03 ✅ 
AC Milan(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AC Milan score 1.71 goals/match in away matches (+46% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.71 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%AC Milan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H4/666.7%Over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Combined 1.7 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — AC Milan Win or Draw @ 1.16 ✅
AC Milan
- UnbeatenH2H6/6100%AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 6 6 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/6100%AC Milan are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%AC Milan are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%AC Milan concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- UnbeatenRecent14/1593%AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 14 15 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent14/1593%AC Milan are undefeated at half time in 14 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Cagliari
- Not WinRecent13/1681%Cagliari have not won in 13 of their last 16 Serie A matches
AC Milan dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — AC Milan Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.78 ✅ 
AC Milan
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AC Milan score 1.71 goals/match in away matches (+46% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.71 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
- Scored 1+Recent6/6100%AC Milan scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent5/683%AC Milan score in second half in their last 5 6 matches
AC Milan maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Cagliari(2 trends) — avg 2.1 (-5% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%Cagliari average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%Cagliari receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
AC Milan(1 trends) — avg 1.8 (-19% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%AC Milan average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0) — rank #5 lowest in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.2 cards per match in their last 6 H2H matches
AC Milan disciplined play balances Cagliari aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.63 ⚠️ 
Cagliari(1 trends) — avg 3.5 (-20% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Cagliari average 3.5 corners/match at home (-20% below league avg 4.4)
AC Milan(1 trends) — avg 3.5 (-20% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/785%AC Milan average 3.5 corners/match in away matches (-20% below league avg 4.4)
Combined average: 7.0 corners/match (Cagliari 3.5 + AC Milan 3.5) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Cagliari vs AC Milan
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Cagliari is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Cagliari
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.32
Pressure
0.11
✈️ AC Milan
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Cagliari - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ AC Milan - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Cagliari - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6
✈️ AC Milan - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Cagliari shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Cagliari winning the second half
- Overall Result: AC Milan has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider AC Milan handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.219
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.053
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Cagliari):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (AC Milan):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Cagliari vs AC Milan Head-to-head statistics for Fri 2 Jan, 2026 @ 14:45 Serie A
Cagliari vs AC Milan: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Cagliari and away matches for AC Milan
Number of goals
Cagliari
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Cagliari
AC Milan
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
Cagliari
AC Milan
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
50%
5
0%
0
Double Chance
Cagliari
AC Milan
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
50%
5
100%
10
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Cagliari
AC Milan
0-1
20%
2
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Cagliari
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Cagliari
AC Milan
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Cagliari
AC Milan
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Cagliari
AC Milan
xG
0.82
1.69
xGa
1.34
1.23
Number of goals
Cagliari
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Cagliari
AC Milan
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Cagliari
AC Milan
1
0%
0
30%
3
X
50%
5
60%
6
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Cagliari
AC Milan
12
50%
5
40%
4
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
100%
10
70%
7
Total Goals
Cagliari
AC Milan
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Cagliari
AC Milan
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Number of goals
Cagliari
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Cagliari
AC Milan
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Cagliari
AC Milan
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Cagliari
AC Milan
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Cagliari
AC Milan
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Cagliari
AC Milan
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
Team comparison
Prediction
AC Milan to Win
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.92%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 18.12% | Low | 4.80 |
| Under 1.5 | 81.88% | High | 1.20 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 63.34% | Medium | 1.78 |
| Under 1.5 | 36.66% | Low | 2.10 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 4.35% | Low | 15.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 95.65% | High | 1.04 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 36.42% | Low | 3.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 63.58% | Medium | 1.32 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Cagliari
AC Milan
Played:
6
Wins
0
0
Draws
2
2
Wins
4
4
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
7
1.2
Goals
2.8
17
17
2.8
Goals Conceded
1.2
7
12
2
Yellow Cards
1.2
7
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.2
1
22
3.7
Corners
6
36
64
10.7
Fouls
10.7
64
18
3
Offsides
1.5
9
71
11.8
Shots
18.3
110
25
4.2
Shots on Goal
7.3
44
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 10 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 12 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.4 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.6 | 21 | 2.5 | 20 | 2.6 | 41 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 28 | 3.3 | 26 | 3.4 | 54 |
| Fouls | 14.9 | 119 | 15.1 | 121 | 15 | 240 |
| Offsides | 2.3 | 18 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.9 | 30 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 83 | 9.3 | 74 | 9.8 | 157 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.1 | 33 | 2.9 | 23 | 3.5 | 56 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 12 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.6 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 8 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 14 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.5 | 23 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.5 | 7 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 35 | 3 | 21 | 3.7 | 56 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 89 | 8.1 | 57 | 9.7 | 146 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 11 | 2.3 | 16 | 1.8 | 27 |
| Shots | 14.8 | 118 | 11.1 | 78 | 13.1 | 196 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.9 | 39 | 4.3 | 30 | 4.6 | 69 |
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