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Burnley vs Newcastle: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 30 December, 2025 13:30
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.85 vs 1.19
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.51%
⭐
0:1
15.62%
🔥
⭐
0:2
9.03%
0:3
3.48%
0:4
1%
0:5
0.23%
1
1:0
10.94%
⭐
1:1
13.16%
⭐
1:2
7.9%
1:3
3.16%
1:4
0.95%
1:5
0.23%
2
2:0
4.43%
⭐
2:1
5.53%
⭐
2:2
3.45%
2:3
1.43%
2:4
0.44%
2:5
0.11%
3
3:0
1.19%
⭐
3:1
1.55%
3:2
1%
3:3
0.43%
3:4
0.14%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
0.24%
4:1
0.32%
4:2
0.22%
4:3
0.1%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.05%
5:2
0.04%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:1 (15.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
▼
7
3
7
18
20
-2
24
11
▲
6
5
6
23
22
1
23
12
▲
7
2
8
24
25
-1
23
18
3
4
10
19
35
-16
13
19
3
2
12
19
34
-15
11
20
0
2
15
9
37
-28
2
0.75
xG
1.04
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Burnley
VS
Newcastle
0/6 (0%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
5/6 (83%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.17
PPG
1.83
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
83%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.07
Avg xG
1.71
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Burnley will take on Newcastle as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2025-12-30 at 2025-12-30 in the famous Turf Moor.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Burnley, and the visiting side, Newcastle. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Newcastle.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-30
Time: 19:30
Location: Turf Moor
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Burnley vs Newcastle Tuesday, Dec 30th, 2025 at 13:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Burnley vs Newcastle Football 30 Dec, 2025 13:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Burnley struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent home matches
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
Comprehensive betting trends for Burnley vs Newcastle, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Newcastle @ 1.70 ✅ 
Newcastle
- WonH2H7/7100%Newcastle have won their last 7 7 matches
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H6/786%Newcastle efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
Burnley
- Not WinH2H7/7100%Burnley have not won their last 7 7 matches
- LostH2H7/7100%Burnley have lost their last 7 7 matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Burnley are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent14/1782%Burnley have not won in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Newcastle to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.06 ⚠️ 
Burnley(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Burnley struggle to score at home (0.88/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H5/771.4%Both teams scored in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.86 ⚠️
Burnley(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Burnley struggle to score at home (0.88/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/771.4%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
Balanced match with potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Newcastle Win or Draw @ 1.20 ✅ 
Newcastle
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
Burnley
- Not WinH2H7/7100%Burnley have not won their last 7 7 matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Burnley are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent14/1782%Burnley have not won in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Newcastle to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Newcastle Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.74 ⚠️
Newcastle
- Scored 1+Recent7/7100%Newcastle scored 1+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
- Scored 1+Recent13/1776%Newcastle scored 1+ goals in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Newcastle's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Burnley(1 trends) — avg 1.8 (-6% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Burnley average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 1.9) — rank #5 lowest in league
Newcastle(1 trends) — avg 1.4 (-27% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Newcastle average 1.4 cards/match in all matches (-26% below league avg 1.9) — rank #2 lowest in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.0 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.92 ⚠️ 
Burnley(2 trends) — avg 3.1 (-35% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Burnley average 3.1 corners/match at home (-35% below league avg 4.8)
- Few CornersRecent13/1776%Burnley win 4 or fewer corners in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.92
+19 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Burnley vs Newcastle
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Burnley
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Newcastle
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Burnley - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Newcastle - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Burnley - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9
✈️ Newcastle - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Newcastle has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Newcastle handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.228
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Burnley):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Newcastle):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Burnley vs Newcastle Head-to-head statistics for Tue 30 Dec, 2025 @ 13:30 Premier League
Burnley vs Newcastle: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Burnley and away matches for Newcastle
Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Newcastle
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
1X2
Burnley
Newcastle
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
70%
7
30%
3
Double Chance
Burnley
Newcastle
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
30%
3
70%
7
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Burnley
Newcastle
0-1
10%
1
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
40%
4
50%
5
Total Corners
Burnley
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Newcastle
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Burnley
Newcastle
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Burnley
Newcastle
xG
0.92
1.55
xGa
2.03
1.18
Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Newcastle
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2
Burnley
Newcastle
1
10%
1
60%
6
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Burnley
Newcastle
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
90%
9
40%
4
Total Goals
Burnley
Newcastle
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Newcastle
Yes
30%
3
90%
9
No
70%
7
10%
1
Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Newcastle
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
Burnley
Newcastle
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Burnley
Newcastle
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Burnley
Newcastle
0-1
60%
6
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
60%
6
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Newcastle
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
Team comparison
Prediction
Newcastle Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 20.47% | Low | 3.74 |
| Under 1.5 | 79.53% | High | 1.34 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 32.38% | Low | 1.74 |
| Under 1.5 | 67.62% | Medium | 2.13 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 5.30% | Low | 11.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 94.70% | High | 1.06 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 11.25% | Low | 3.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 88.75% | High | 1.35 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Burnley
Newcastle
Played:
7
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
7
7
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
0.7
Goals
2.3
16
16
2.3
Goals Conceded
0.7
5
13
1.9
Yellow Cards
1
7
1
0.1
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
44
6.3
Corners
6.1
43
79
11.3
Fouls
9.7
68
16
2.3
Offsides
1.4
10
86
12.3
Shots
15.1
106
23
3.3
Shots on Goal
6.6
46
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 7 | 12 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.9 | 7 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.1 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 10 | 2.7 | 24 | 2 | 34 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.1 | 9 | 1.8 | 16 | 1.5 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 3.1 | 25 | 4.1 | 37 | 3.6 | 62 |
| Fouls | 9 | 72 | 9.8 | 88 | 9.4 | 160 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 5 | 2.1 | 19 | 1.4 | 24 |
| Shots | 7.4 | 59 | 8.6 | 77 | 8 | 136 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.9 | 23 | 3.3 | 30 | 3.1 | 53 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.8 | 16 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.4 | 23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 12 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.3 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.1 | 10 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.3 | 22 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 7.1 | 64 | 4.8 | 38 | 6 | 102 |
| Fouls | 11 | 99 | 8.6 | 69 | 9.9 | 168 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 13 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 | 17 |
| Shots | 13.7 | 123 | 9.9 | 79 | 11.9 | 202 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.4 | 49 | 2.9 | 23 | 4.2 | 72 |
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