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Form
Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21 7 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Finished
Burnley
Burnley
19th place
Form
2 : 2
0.24
xG
2.18
Full Time
Half Time: 1-0
Manchester United
Manchester United
7th place
Form
13'
A. Heaven
66'
J. Anthony
B. Šeško
50'
B. Šeško
60'
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Burnley vs Manchester United Football Match Stats & Results Wednesday, 7 January, 2026 14:15

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
3'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
6'
Winner (1x2)-
Manchester United to Win
Probability 60%
Total Goals1.96
Over 2.5
Probability 66%
Both Teams to Score1.91
Yes
Probability 61%
Burnley Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 87%
Manchester United Total-
Away Over 1.5
Probability 66%
Double Chance1.20
Draw/Manchester United
Probability 76%
Asian Handicap-
Manchester United +2.5
Probability 98%

Burnley vs Manchester United: Premier League Match Preview

A Crucial Clash at Turf Moor

This encounter between Burnley and Manchester United carries significant implications as both teams strive to secure vital points. Burnley sits precariously at the bottom of the Premier League, while Manchester United aims to consolidate its position in the top six and push for European qualification.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are looking to turn their fortunes around, albeit from different perspectives.

  • Burnley: The Clarets are struggling at the moment, with a dismal run of form that has seen them go winless in their last five matches (0W-2D-3L). They are particularly vulnerable at home, averaging just 0.6 goals scored while conceding 1.8 in their last five home games.
  • Manchester United: The Red Devils have been inconsistent lately, managing only one win in their last five games (1W-3D-1L). While they have shown some attacking prowess, averaging 1.6 goals scored per match, their defense has been a concern, allowing 1.6 goals per game.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Manchester United has dominated this fixture, winning five of the last seven encounters against Burnley. The last five results have yielded three wins for United and two draws, with an average of 2.71 goals per game, indicating a generally entertaining affair.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Burnley will likely adopt a defensive approach, hoping to frustrate Manchester United's attack, which has been led by the influential Bruno Fernandes. Fernandes, with his ability to create scoring opportunities and link play, will be crucial for United to break down Burnley's defense. Meanwhile, Burnley will rely on their solid midfield presence from players like J. Cullen to maintain balance and control in the middle of the park.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win (Manchester United) with a probability of 53.5%.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: Despite Burnley's struggles, their defensive organization may hold United to a draw, especially considering United's inconsistent away form and recent tendency to draw matches.

Betting Tips

Given the statistical predictions, there are promising betting opportunities to explore.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.73 (Probability: 61.1%). This bet shows a clear value given the model's probability is significantly higher than the implied likelihood from the odds.
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.78 (Probability: 58.1%). This provides a good value as the model's probability exceeds the implied probability from the odds.

Bet responsibly.

Burnley
Manchester United
A. Heaven
Goal (own) 1:0 13'
A. Heaven
H. Mejbri
Yellow Card 41'
H. Mejbri
Diving
50' 1:1 Goal
B. Šeško
Assistant: Bruno Fernandes
B. Šeško
J. Anthony
Substitute 58'
In:J. Anthony
Out:H. Mejbri
60' 1:2 Goal
B. Šeško
Assistant: P. Dorgu
B. Šeško
61' Substitute
In:Mason Mount
Out:Bruno Fernandes
Mason Mount
61' Substitute
In:L. Yoro
Out:A. Heaven
L. Yoro
J. Anthony
Goal 2:2 66'
J. Anthony
Assistant: M. Edwards
74' Substitute
In:J. Zirkzee
Out:Matheus Cunha
J. Zirkzee
74' Substitute
In:K. Mainoo
Out:Casemiro
K. Mainoo
L. Foster
Substitute 76'
In:L. Foster
Out:A. Broja
84' Substitute
In:Shea Lacey
Out:M. Ugarte
Yellow Card 89'
S. Parker
O. Sonne
Substitute 90' +2'
In:O. Sonne
Out:M. Edwards
L. Foster
Yellow Card 90' +5'
L. Foster
Delay of game

Burnley vs Manchester United: Premier League Match Preview

A Crucial Clash at Turf Moor

This encounter between Burnley and Manchester United carries significant implications as both teams strive to secure vital points. Burnley sits precariously at the bottom of the Premier League, while Manchester United aims to consolidate its position in the top six and push for European qualification.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are looking to turn their fortunes around, albeit from different perspectives.

  • Burnley: The Clarets are struggling at the moment, with a dismal run of form that has seen them go winless in their last five matches (0W-2D-3L). They are particularly vulnerable at home, averaging just 0.6 goals scored while conceding 1.8 in their last five home games.
  • Manchester United: The Red Devils have been inconsistent lately, managing only one win in their last five games (1W-3D-1L). While they have shown some attacking prowess, averaging 1.6 goals scored per match, their defense has been a concern, allowing 1.6 goals per game.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Manchester United has dominated this fixture, winning five of the last seven encounters against Burnley. The last five results have yielded three wins for United and two draws, with an average of 2.71 goals per game, indicating a generally entertaining affair.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Burnley will likely adopt a defensive approach, hoping to frustrate Manchester United's attack, which has been led by the influential Bruno Fernandes. Fernandes, with his ability to create scoring opportunities and link play, will be crucial for United to break down Burnley's defense. Meanwhile, Burnley will rely on their solid midfield presence from players like J. Cullen to maintain balance and control in the middle of the park.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win (Manchester United) with a probability of 53.5%.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: Despite Burnley's struggles, their defensive organization may hold United to a draw, especially considering United's inconsistent away form and recent tendency to draw matches.

Betting Tips

Given the statistical predictions, there are promising betting opportunities to explore.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.73 (Probability: 61.1%). This bet shows a clear value given the model's probability is significantly higher than the implied likelihood from the odds.
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.78 (Probability: 58.1%). This provides a good value as the model's probability exceeds the implied probability from the odds.

Bet responsibly.

Burnley vs Manchester United Formation Lineups for Wed 7 Jan, 2026 @ 14:15 Premier League

Formation
6.8
Burnley
3-4-2-1
6.8
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
M. Dúbravka
7.6
Dúbravka 1
B. Humphreys
6.9
Humphreys 12
M. Estève
7.9
Estève 5
J. Laurent
6.9
Laurent 29
Lucas Pires
6.3
Pires 23
Florentino
6
Florentino 16
L. Ugochukwu
6.3
Ugochukwu 8
K. Walker
6.3
Walker 2
H. Mejbri
6.3
58'
Mejbri 28
M. Edwards
6.9
90'
Edwards 10
A. Broja
6.6
76'
Broja 27
S. Lammens
6.2
Lammens 31
L. Shaw
6.6
Shaw 23
L. Martínez
7.6
Martínez 6
A. Heaven
5.9
61'
Heaven 26
Diogo Dalot
6.9
Dalot 2
Casemiro
6.7
74'
Casemiro 18
M. Ugarte
6.7
84'
Ugarte 25
P. Dorgu
7.5
Dorgu 13
Bruno Fernandes
7.3
61'
Fernandes 8
Matheus Cunha
6.7
74'
Cunha 10
B. Šeško
8.5
Šeško 30
field field
Substitutes
Anthony
8
58'
Anthony 11
Foster
6.6
76'
Foster 9
Sonne
90'
Sonne 22
Mount
6.7
61'
Mount 7
Yoro
6.5
61'
Yoro 15
Zirkzee
6.3
74'
Zirkzee 11
Mainoo
6.6
74'
Mainoo 37
LineUps
Burnley
7.6
29
d
6.9
7.9
6.9
2
d
6.3
6.3
16
m
6
6.3
10
f
90'
6.9
28
m
41'58'
6.3
27
f
76'
6.6
Substitutes
11
m
58'66'
8
9
f
76'90'
6.6
13
g
18
d
22
d
90'
35
f
Coach
Manchester United
31
g
6.2
6.9
26
d
13'61'
5.9
7.6
23
d
6.6
25
m
84'
6.7
18
m
74'
6.7
74'
6.7
61'
7.3
13
d
7.5
30
f
50'60'
8.5
Substitutes
15
d
61'
6.5
61'
6.7
37
m
74'
6.6
11
f
74'
6.3
84'
6.5
12
d
Coach

Burnley vs Manchester United Head-to-head statistics for Wed 7 Jan, 2026 @ 14:15 Premier League

Burnley
Manchester United
Off Target 1 Blocked 5
On Target 1
On Target 10
Off Target 19 Blocked 7
2 Goals 2
35 Ball Possession 65
7 Shots 29
1 Shots on Goal 10
1 Shots off Goal 12
5 Blocked Shots 7
6 Shots insidebox 20
1 Shots outsidebox 9
308 Total passes 572
76 Passes accurate % 87
6 Goalkeeper Saves 0
9 Fouls 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
3 Offsides 0
2 Corners 6
0.24 Expected Goals 2.18

Stats for Burnley vs Manchester United Wednesday, Jan 7th, 2026 at 14:15 Football

Burnley
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Manchester United
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
B. Šeško
8.5
Forward
2
J. Anthony
Forward
8.0
3
M. Estève
Defender
7.9
4
Lisandro Martínez
7.6