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Burnley vs Everton: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 27 December, 2025 9:00
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Main Intrigue and Stakes
This match carries significant weight for both Burnley and Everton as they navigate the competitive landscape of the Premier League. With Burnley currently in the relegation zone at 19th place with just 11 points, a victory is crucial to revive their survival hopes. Conversely, Everton sits mid-table at 10th with 24 points, aiming to solidify their position in the top half and potentially push for European qualification.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent performances, which could influence the outcome significantly.
- Burnley: Struggling to find form, Burnley has been winless in their last five matches, recording four losses and one draw. They have averaged just one goal scored while conceding two per match, demonstrating vulnerabilities in both attack and defense.
- Everton: Although Everton has shown inconsistency, their recent form includes two wins in their last five outings, albeit with three losses. They have been less prolific on the road, averaging 0.6 goals scored in their away matches, which has left them vulnerable defensively as well.
Head-to-Head
The history between these two clubs reveals a competitive rivalry. In their last six encounters, Everton holds a slight edge with three victories compared to Burnley's two, alongside one draw. The average goals per match in these fixtures is quite high at 2.83, hinting at an entertaining clash, with recent results showcasing a mix of close contests and dominant performances.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Both teams may adopt contrasting tactical approaches. Burnley will likely rely on a defensive structure, aiming to keep Everton at bay, while looking to exploit any mistakes on the counter-attack. Key players like M. Dúbravka will be crucial in goal, especially given Burnley's recent defensive frailties. For Everton, the absence of K. Dewsbury-Hall due to injury could shift the team's dynamics. However, J. Grealish's presence could be pivotal in creating opportunities, as he looks to penetrate Burnley's backline.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Draw (35.5% chance).
Predicted Score: 0:0.
Reasoning: Both teams have struggled to score consistently, as evidenced by their goal averages and recent form. With Burnley’s defensive woes and Everton’s lack of scoring prowess away, a stalemate seems likely.
Betting Tips
Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals some promising value bets for this matchup.
- Safe Bet (High Confidence): Asian Handicap - Home +1.5 @ 1.32 (Probability: 87.4%). This bet offers a strong safety net for Burnley, considering their home advantage and the need for points.
Bet responsibly.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.80 vs 0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
18.17%
🔥
⭐
0:1
16.41%
⭐
0:2
7.41%
0:3
2.23%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.09%
1
1:0
13.6%
⭐
1:1
13.27%
1:2
6.44%
1:3
2.07%
1:4
0.5%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
5.09%
⭐
2:1
5.34%
2:2
2.77%
2:3
0.95%
2:4
0.24%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
1.27%
3:1
1.42%
3:2
0.79%
3:3
0.29%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
0.24%
4:1
0.28%
4:2
0.17%
4:3
0.06%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.05%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:0 (18.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
▲
6
6
5
25
23
2
24
10
▼
7
3
7
18
20
-2
24
11
▲
6
5
6
23
22
1
23
18
3
4
10
19
35
-16
13
19
3
2
12
19
34
-15
11
20
0
2
15
9
37
-28
2
0.65
xG
0.99
54%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Burnley
VS
Everton
0/6 (0%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.17
PPG
1.50
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
67%
BTTS %
17%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.07
Avg xG
0.81
Missing Players
-
Injured - Thigh problems
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - International duty
-
Injured - Suspended
-
Injured - International duty
-
Injured - (questionable) Knock
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - International duty
-
Injured - International duty
-
Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Burnley will take on Everton as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2025-12-27 at 2025-12-27 in the famous Turf Moor.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Burnley, and the visiting side, Everton. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Everton.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-27
Time: 15:00
Location: Turf Moor
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Burnley vs Everton Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 9:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Burnley vs Everton Football 27 Dec, 2025 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Goal Drought Risk
Both teams struggle to score consistently — expect low-scoring, defensive encounter with Under 2.5 likely
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
Comprehensive betting trends for Burnley vs Everton, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Everton @ 2.07 ✅ 
Everton
- Efficient ScoringH2H6/6100%Everton efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches
Burnley
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Burnley are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent14/1782%Burnley have not won in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Everton to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.87 ⚠️ 
Burnley(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Burnley struggle to score at home (0.88/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
Everton(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%Everton struggle to score in away matches (0.88/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H4/666.7%Both teams scored in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.74 ⚠️
Burnley(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Burnley struggle to score at home (0.88/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
Everton(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%Everton struggle to score in away matches (0.88/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
🛡️ Double Chance — Everton Win or Draw @ 1.28 ⚠️ 
Burnley
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Burnley are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent14/1782%Burnley have not won in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Everton confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Everton Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.26 ⚠️ 
Everton
- Scored 1+Recent6/6100%Everton scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches
Everton's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.70 ⚠️ 
Burnley(1 trends) — avg 1.8 (-6% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Burnley average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 1.9)
Everton(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (+10% above league)
- Many CardsRecent13/1776%Everton receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.0 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
Burnley disciplined play balances Everton aggression — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.70
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.96 ✅
Burnley(3 trends) — avg 3.1 (-35% below league)
- Corner DominanceH2H5/683%Burnley dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Burnley average 3.1 corners/match at home (-35% below league avg 4.8)
- Few CornersRecent13/1776%Burnley win 4 or fewer corners in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Everton(1 trends) — avg 3.2 (-32% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Everton average 3.2 corners/match in away matches (-32% below league avg 4.8)
Combined average: 6.3 corners/match (Burnley 3.1 + Everton 3.2) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+7 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Burnley vs Everton
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Burnley is stronger in the second half (14 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Burnley is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Burnley is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Burnley
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Everton
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Burnley - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Everton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Burnley - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9
✈️ Everton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Burnley shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Burnley winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Burnley excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Burnley scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Everton has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Everton handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.222
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.075
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.098 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Burnley):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Everton):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Burnley vs Everton Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 9:00 Premier League
Burnley vs Everton: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Burnley and away matches for Everton
Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Everton
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Everton
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
1X2
Burnley
Everton
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
70%
7
50%
5
Double Chance
Burnley
Everton
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
30%
3
50%
5
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Burnley
Everton
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
40%
4
10%
1
Total Corners
Burnley
Under
Over
Everton
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Everton
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Burnley
Everton
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Burnley
Everton
xG
0.92
0.92
xGa
2.03
1.38
Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Everton
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Everton
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2
Burnley
Everton
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Burnley
Everton
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Burnley
Everton
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Everton
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Everton
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Everton
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2
Burnley
Everton
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Burnley
Everton
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Burnley
Everton
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Everton
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Team comparison
Prediction
Burnley AH+1.5
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 17.23% | Low | 3.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 82.77% | High | 1.30 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 22.82% | Low | 2.26 |
| Under 1.5 | 77.18% | High | 1.68 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 4.01% | Low | 11.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 95.99% | High | 1.06 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 6.32% | Low | 5.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 93.68% | High | 1.17 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Burnley
Everton
Played:
6
Wins
2
2
Draws
1
1
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
7
1.2
Goals
1.7
10
10
1.7
Goals Conceded
1.2
7
8
1.3
Yellow Cards
1
6
1
0.2
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
40
6.7
Corners
5
30
51
8.5
Fouls
9.3
56
5
0.8
Offsides
3.5
21
66
11
Shots
13
78
21
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.8
29
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 7 | 12 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.9 | 7 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.1 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 10 | 2.7 | 24 | 2 | 34 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.1 | 9 | 1.8 | 16 | 1.5 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 3.1 | 25 | 4.1 | 37 | 3.6 | 62 |
| Fouls | 9 | 72 | 9.8 | 88 | 9.4 | 160 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 5 | 2.1 | 19 | 1.4 | 24 |
| Shots | 7.4 | 59 | 8.6 | 77 | 8 | 136 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.9 | 23 | 3.3 | 30 | 3.1 | 53 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 11 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.1 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 10 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.2 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.4 | 22 | 1.5 | 12 | 2 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 49 | 3.3 | 26 | 4.4 | 75 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 86 | 10.6 | 85 | 10.1 | 171 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 12 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.2 | 21 |
| Shots | 11.9 | 107 | 8.3 | 66 | 10.2 | 173 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.7 | 33 | 2 | 16 | 2.9 | 49 |
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