Burnley vs Chelsea Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 22 November, 2025 6:30

📋 Preview: Burnley vs Chelsea | Premier League 2025-2026, Matchweek 12

📖 Introduction

As the Premier League season approaches the halfway mark, Burnley find themselves precariously positioned in 17th place with just 10 points, desperately seeking vital points to escape the relegation zone. In contrast, Chelsea sit comfortably in 3rd with 20 points, looking to solidify their place in the top tier. This matchup holds significant implications for both teams: Burnley aims to climb out of danger while Chelsea seeks to maintain momentum for a title challenge.

🏠 Burnley Analysis

Burnley’s recent form shows a mixed bag, with a record of LLWWL over their last five matches. At home, they have been fairly inconsistent, managing two wins but suffering from a leaky defense that has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game. Their expected goals (xG) at home stands at 1.03, indicating they have struggled to create clear-cut chances, particularly in their last match, where they narrowly lost 3-2 to West Ham. Looking ahead, they will face Brentford away, making this match a crucial opportunity to build confidence.

✈️ Chelsea Analysis

Chelsea enter this fixture with an impressive recent record of WWLWW, showcasing their attacking prowess as they average 2 goals per match. Their away form has been notably strong, with 3 wins out of their last 5 games, where they’ve scored an impressive 2.4 goals and only conceded once. The team’s xG of 1.53 suggests they are consistently creating quality scoring opportunities. After a convincing 3-0 victory against Wolves at home, Chelsea will be eager to carry this momentum into the match against Burnley, which could be pivotal for their title aspirations.

🔄 Head-to-Head

In their last six encounters, Burnley have struggled against Chelsea, with no victories to their name, recording 4 wins for Chelsea and 2 draws. The average goals per head-to-head match stands at an impressive 3.33, indicating high-scoring affairs, which adds to the excitement of this upcoming clash.

🔑 Key Factors

With Burnley’s defensive frailties evident in their previous matches, the focus will be on how they can contain Chelsea’s attacking threats, particularly through players like M. Caicedo, who has been instrumental in the midfield. Chelsea's ability to exploit spaces and take advantage of defensive lapses could be critical, especially given Burnley’s xGA of 2.03, which suggests they have been vulnerable to strong attacking teams. Additionally, the momentum Chelsea gained from their last match could play a significant role, as confidence tends to elevate performance levels in crucial fixtures.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome Chelsea wins 58.9% – Chelsea is expected to win, with a predicted scoreline of Burnley 1 – 3 Chelsea. The statistics favor Chelsea significantly, particularly in terms of their away form and Burnley’s struggles at home, suggesting a potential high-scoring affair.

💡 Betting Tips

For those looking to place bets, consider the Asian Handicap @ 1.6 (68.7%) in favor of the home team. This bet offers good value given the potential for Burnley to keep the scoreline closer than expected, while still falling short against a dominant Chelsea side. Bet responsibly.

📋 Preview: Burnley vs Chelsea | Premier League 2025-2026, Matchweek 12

📖 Introduction

As the Premier League season approaches the halfway mark, Burnley find themselves precariously positioned in 17th place with just 10 points, desperately seeking vital points to escape the relegation zone. In contrast, Chelsea sit comfortably in 3rd with 20 points, looking to solidify their place in the top tier. This matchup holds significant implications for both teams: Burnley aims to climb out of danger while Chelsea seeks to maintain momentum for a title challenge.

🏠 Burnley Analysis

Burnley’s recent form shows a mixed bag, with a record of LLWWL over their last five matches. At home, they have been fairly inconsistent, managing two wins but suffering from a leaky defense that has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game. Their expected goals (xG) at home stands at 1.03, indicating they have struggled to create clear-cut chances, particularly in their last match, where they narrowly lost 3-2 to West Ham. Looking ahead, they will face Brentford away, making this match a crucial opportunity to build confidence.

✈️ Chelsea Analysis

Chelsea enter this fixture with an impressive recent record of WWLWW, showcasing their attacking prowess as they average 2 goals per match. Their away form has been notably strong, with 3 wins out of their last 5 games, where they’ve scored an impressive 2.4 goals and only conceded once. The team’s xG of 1.53 suggests they are consistently creating quality scoring opportunities. After a convincing 3-0 victory against Wolves at home, Chelsea will be eager to carry this momentum into the match against Burnley, which could be pivotal for their title aspirations.

🔄 Head-to-Head

In their last six encounters, Burnley have struggled against Chelsea, with no victories to their name, recording 4 wins for Chelsea and 2 draws. The average goals per head-to-head match stands at an impressive 3.33, indicating high-scoring affairs, which adds to the excitement of this upcoming clash.

🔑 Key Factors

With Burnley’s defensive frailties evident in their previous matches, the focus will be on how they can contain Chelsea’s attacking threats, particularly through players like M. Caicedo, who has been instrumental in the midfield. Chelsea's ability to exploit spaces and take advantage of defensive lapses could be critical, especially given Burnley’s xGA of 2.03, which suggests they have been vulnerable to strong attacking teams. Additionally, the momentum Chelsea gained from their last match could play a significant role, as confidence tends to elevate performance levels in crucial fixtures.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome Chelsea wins 58.9% – Chelsea is expected to win, with a predicted scoreline of Burnley 1 – 3 Chelsea. The statistics favor Chelsea significantly, particularly in terms of their away form and Burnley’s struggles at home, suggesting a potential high-scoring affair.

💡 Betting Tips

For those looking to place bets, consider the Asian Handicap @ 1.6 (68.7%) in favor of the home team. This bet offers good value given the potential for Burnley to keep the scoreline closer than expected, while still falling short against a dominant Chelsea side. Bet responsibly.