Login
Register
Bristol City
2
0
Sheffield Wednesday
Bristol City vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 30 January, 2026 14:00
Prediction League
15
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(25 total)
xG
1.40
(21.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(208 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(30% acc)
Corners
5.1
(76 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
8.6
(129 total)
Offsides
1.4
(21 total)
14
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(15 total)
xG
1.10
(14.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(165 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(35% acc)
Corners
4.9
(69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(150 total)
Offsides
2.9
(40 total)
29
Played
12
Wins
7
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(40 total)
xG
1.20
(36.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(373 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(32% acc)
Corners
5
(145 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.6
(279 total)
Offsides
2.1
(61 total)
15
Played
4
Wins
6
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(18 total)
xG
1.00
(14.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.9
(148 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(34% acc)
Corners
5.4
(81 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.9
(164 total)
Offsides
1.7
(26 total)
14
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(21 total)
xG
0.90
(13.3 total)
Shots per Match
8.9
(124 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(33% acc)
Corners
3.9
(54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.4
(173 total)
Offsides
1
(14 total)
29
Played
11
Wins
9
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(39 total)
xG
1.00
(27.6 total)
Shots per Match
9.4
(272 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(33% acc)
Corners
4.7
(135 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.6
(337 total)
Offsides
1.4
(40 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.68 vs 1.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.47%
0:1
6.9%
0:2
3.68%
0:3
1.31%
0:4
0.35%
0:5
0.07%
1
1:0
9.94%
1:1
11.54%
🔥
1:2
6.65%
1:3
2.54%
⭐
1:4
0.72%
⭐
1:5
0.16%
2
2:0
7.64%
2:1
9.58%
2:2
5.93%
2:3
2.43%
⭐
2:4
0.74%
⭐
2:5
0.18%
⭐
3
3:0
3.92%
3:1
5.27%
3:2
3.5%
⭐
3:3
1.53%
⭐
3:4
0.49%
⭐
3:5
0.13%
4
4:0
1.51%
4:1
2.17%
⭐
4:2
1.53%
⭐
4:3
0.71%
⭐
4:4
0.24%
⭐
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.46%
5:1
0.71%
⭐
5:2
0.53%
⭐
5:3
0.26%
⭐
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Bristol City will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 30 and will take place on 2026-01-30 at 2026-01-30 in the famous Ashton Gate Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bristol City, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Bristol City or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-30
Time: 20:00
Location: Ashton Gate Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bristol City vs Derby Friday, Jan 30th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
2 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Bristol City vs Derby Football 30 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Clinical Finishing
Derby convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
-
First Half Specialists
Derby score in 1st half 83% of matches — early goal threat before HT
Comprehensive betting trends for Bristol City vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Derby @ 3.80 ✅ 
Derby
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
Derby demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.94 ⚠️ 
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/1070%Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.75 ⚠️ 
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/560%Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Bristol City Win or Draw @ 1.30 ⚠️
Derby
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
Bristol City confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Derby Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.40 ⚠️ 
Derby
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Derby's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Bristol City(1 trends) — avg 1.6 (-18% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Bristol City average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 1.8) — rank #3 lowest in league
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.4 (+22% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.4 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
Bristol City disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.14 ⚠️ 
Derby(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1076%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.14
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Bristol City vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Bristol City is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
🔄 Second Half: Bristol City is stronger in the second half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
🔄 Second Half: Bristol City is stronger in the second half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Bristol City
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Bristol City - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Bristol City - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
1
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Bristol City often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Bristol City scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bristol City shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 6 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Bristol City winning the second half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.045
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.076
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.075
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bristol City):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Bristol City vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Fri 30 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
▲
11
11
7
43
37
6
44
7
▲
12
7
10
40
31
9
43
8
▼
11
10
7
39
33
6
43
10
▼
12
6
11
34
26
8
42
11
▼
11
9
9
39
37
2
42
12
11
7
11
40
42
-2
40
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Bristol City or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Bristol City
VS
Derby
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (6)
1 (5)
xG
1.10
0.80
Shots
12 (60)
10.6 (53)
Shots on Target
3.8 (19)
3 (15)
Corners
5.6 (28)
4.4 (22)
Defense
Conceded
1 (5)
1.2 (6)
xGa
0.80
1.10
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (9)
1.6 (8)
Fouls
9.2 (46)
12.4 (62)
Offsides
1.2 (6)
2.2 (11)
Last 6 Matches
Bristol City
VS
Derby
2/6 (33%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.67
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
17%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.00
Avg xG
1.03
Bristol City vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bristol City and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
1X2
Bristol City
Derby
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Bristol City
Derby
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Bristol City
Derby
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
80%
8
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Total Corners
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Bristol City
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Bristol City
Derby
xG
1.17
1.02
xGa
1.18
0.98
Number of goals
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
Bristol City
Derby
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Bristol City
Derby
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Bristol City
Derby
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Number of goals
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Bristol City
Derby
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Bristol City
Derby
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Bristol City
Derby
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1.45
xG
1.11
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
Plymouth Argyle 2, Bristol City 2: Full-Time Championship Match Summary