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Bristol City vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 30 January, 2026 15:00
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No betting tips available for this match.
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No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
▼
9
10
5
31
25
6
37
8
▼
10
6
8
33
27
6
36
9
10
5
9
34
37
-3
35
13
▼
8
8
8
38
34
4
32
14
▼
8
8
8
33
33
0
32
15
8
7
9
32
31
1
31
0.89
xG
1.03
56%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Bristol City
VS
Derby
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.00
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
50%
BTTS %
83%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.27
Avg xG
0.97
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Bristol City will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 30 and will take place on 2026-01-30 at 2026-01-30 in the famous Ashton Gate Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bristol City, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-30
Time: 20:00
Location: Ashton Gate Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Bristol City vs Derby Football 30 Jan, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Clinical Finishing
Derby convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
-
First Half Specialists
Derby score in 1st half 83% of matches — early goal threat before HT
Comprehensive betting trends for Bristol City vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/1070%Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/560%Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Bristol City(1 trends) — avg 1.5 (-24% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Bristol City average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 1.8) — rank #3 lowest in league
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.4 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
Bristol City disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1076%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Bristol City vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Bristol City
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Bristol City - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Bristol City - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.021
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.002
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bristol City):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Bristol City vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Fri 30 Jan, 2026 @ 15:00 Championship
Bristol City vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bristol City and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
40%
4
90%
9
No
60%
6
10%
1
1X2
Bristol City
Derby
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Bristol City
Derby
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Bristol City
Derby
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
60%
6
80%
8
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Total Corners
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Bristol City
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Bristol City
Derby
xG
1.25
0.89
xGa
1.32
1.12
Number of goals
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Bristol City
Derby
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Bristol City
Derby
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Bristol City
Derby
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Number of goals
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
Bristol City
Derby
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Bristol City
Derby
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Bristol City
Derby
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Bristol City
Derby
Played:
5
Wins
3
3
Draws
1
1
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
6
1.2
Goals
1
5
5
1
Goals Conceded
1.2
6
9
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.6
8
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.2
1
28
5.6
Corners
4.4
22
46
9.2
Fouls
12.4
62
6
1.2
Offsides
2.2
11
60
12
Shots
10.6
53
19
3.8
Shots on Goal
3
15
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 5 | 10 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 18 | 1.3 | 15 | 1.4 | 33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 13 | 1.2 | 14 | 1.1 | 27 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 23 | 1.2 | 14 | 1.5 | 37 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 4 | 0.3 | 4 | 0.3 | 8 |
| Corners | 5 | 60 | 5.2 | 62 | 5.1 | 122 |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 106 | 10.3 | 124 | 9.6 | 230 |
| Offsides | 0.9 | 11 | 2.9 | 35 | 1.9 | 46 |
| Shots | 13.9 | 167 | 12.6 | 151 | 13.3 | 318 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 47 | 4.4 | 53 | 4.2 | 100 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 15 | 1.5 | 18 | 1.4 | 33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 18 | 1.3 | 15 | 1.4 | 33 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 26 | 2.4 | 29 | 2.3 | 55 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 64 | 3.8 | 45 | 4.5 | 109 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 131 | 12.5 | 150 | 11.7 | 281 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 23 | 0.9 | 11 | 1.4 | 34 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 123 | 7.6 | 91 | 8.9 | 214 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 40 | 2.7 | 32 | 3 | 72 |