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Brighton vs Nottingham Forest: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 1 March, 2026 8:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
13
Played
5
Wins
6
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(20 total)
xG
1.50
(19.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(175 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(33% acc)
Corners
5.3
(69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.6
(138 total)
Offsides
2
(26 total)
14
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(16 total)
xG
1.40
(19.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(165 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(33% acc)
Corners
4.2
(59 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.9
(180 total)
Offsides
2
(28 total)
27
Played
8
Wins
10
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(36 total)
xG
1.40
(38.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.6
(340 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(33% acc)
Corners
4.7
(128 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.8
(318 total)
Offsides
2
(54 total)
17
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(24 total)
xG
1.60
(26.9 total)
Shots per Match
15.5
(264 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(32% acc)
Corners
6.1
(104 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.7
(182 total)
Offsides
1.2
(21 total)
18
Played
5
Wins
5
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(19 total)
xG
1.20
(21.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(218 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(38% acc)
Corners
4.6
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.1
(218 total)
Offsides
1.3
(24 total)
35
Played
11
Wins
9
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(43 total)
xG
1.40
(48.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(482 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(35% acc)
Corners
5.3
(186 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.4
(400 total)
Offsides
1.3
(45 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.66 vs 1.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.9%
⭐
0:1
6.8%
0:2
2.6%
0:3
0.66%
0:4
0.13%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
12.47%
🔥
⭐
1:1
11.86%
1:2
5.42%
1:3
1.61%
1:4
0.35%
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
8.74%
⭐
2:1
9.94%
2:2
5.35%
2:3
1.84%
2:4
0.46%
2:5
0.09%
3
3:0
4.08%
3:1
5.4%
⭐
3:2
3.36%
3:3
1.32%
3:4
0.37%
3:5
0.08%
4
4:0
1.43%
4:1
2.16%
4:2
1.53%
⭐
4:3
0.68%
⭐
4:4
0.22%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.4%
5:1
0.68%
5:2
0.54%
⭐
5:3
0.27%
⭐
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:0 (12.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Brighton will take on Nottingham Forest as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-03-01 at 2026-03-01 in the famous The American Express Community Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Brighton, and the visiting side, Nottingham Forest. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Nottingham Forest and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-01
Time: 14:00
Location: The American Express Community Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Sunday, Mar 1st, 2026 at 8:00 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Football 1 Mar, 2026 8:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Brighton score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Brighton vs Nottingham Forest.
🏆 Match Winner — Brighton @ 2.16 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBrighton
Above League AverageLeague
Brighton score 1.78 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Brighton demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.20 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBrighton1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Brighton score (1.78/match) and concede (1.22/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 53%)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Nottingham Forest struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 78% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.06 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsBrighton1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Brighton score 1.78 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 973%
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Nottingham Forest struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 78% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 978%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 1.8 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Brighton Win or Draw @ 1.36 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsBrighton
Undefeated at HTH2H
Brighton are undefeated at half time in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 786%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Brighton demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Brighton Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.10 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsBrighton
Above League AverageLeague
Brighton score 1.78 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 973%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Brighton scored 1+ goals in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends13 / 1776%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Brighton's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsBrighton2 Trends — avg 2.2 (+15% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Brighton average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.9) — rank #4 in league
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Brighton receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends13 / 1776%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.1 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Nottingham Forest disciplined play balances Brighton aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.10 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest1 Trends — avg 4.2 (-12% below league)Few CornersLeague
Nottingham Forest average 4.2 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.8)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 977%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.10
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Brighton is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Brighton
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.16
✈️ Nottingham Forest
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Brighton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Nottingham Forest - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Brighton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Nottingham Forest - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Brighton excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Brighton scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Nottingham Forest has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Nottingham Forest handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.024
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.103
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Brighton):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nottingham Forest):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-head statistics for Sun 1 Mar, 2026 @ 8:00 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
8
8
10
28
32
-4
32
14
7
10
9
34
34
0
31
15
▲
7
9
10
36
45
-9
30
16
▼
7
8
11
36
37
-1
29
17
7
6
13
25
38
-13
27
18
6
6
14
32
49
-17
24
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or Nottingham Forest and -3.5 goals
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Brighton
VS
Nottingham Forest
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
2
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (9)
2 (14)
xG
1.10
1.80
Shots
14 (98)
11.3 (79)
Shots on Target
5.1 (36)
4.1 (29)
Corners
6.1 (43)
3.7 (26)
Defense
Conceded
2 (14)
1.3 (9)
xGa
1.80
1.10
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 (19)
2.1 (15)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
10.6 (74)
11 (77)
Offsides
0.6 (4)
1.1 (8)
Last 6 Matches
Brighton
VS
Nottingham Forest
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.50
PPG
1.50
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
67%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.14
Avg xG
1.45
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Brighton and away matches for Nottingham Forest
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
1X2
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
30%
3
4+
10%
1
40%
4
Total Corners
Brighton
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
xG
1.26
1.49
xGa
1.45
1.43
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
0-1
90%
9
60%
6
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
1.31
xG
1.42
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
7
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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