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Brighton
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4
Aston Villa
Brighton vs Arsenal: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 4 March, 2026 14:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
10
3
1
27
7
20
33
2
9
1
4
32
16
16
28
6
6
5
3
18
14
4
23
7
▼
6
4
4
24
20
4
22
8
▼
6
4
4
22
21
1
22
Last 6 Matches
Brighton
VS
Arsenal
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.67
PPG
2.33
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
2.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
50%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.52
Avg xG
1.83
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.19
xG [Total: 2.85]
1.66
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
5
Corners [Total: 11]
6
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
12
Fouls [Total: 24]
11
7
Shots on Goal [Total: 13]
6
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Brighton will take on Arsenal as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-03-04 at 2026-03-04 in the famous The American Express Community Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Brighton, and the visiting side, Arsenal. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-04
Time: 20:00
Location: The American Express Community Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Brighton vs Arsenal Football 4 Mar, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Arsenal have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Brighton vs Arsenal, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Brighton(4 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Brighton score 2.14 goals/match at home (+52% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%Brighton create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Premier League (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent13/1681%Brighton are unbeaten in 13 of their last 16 Premier League (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1675%Brighton efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 16 Premier League (Home) matches
Arsenal(9 trends)
- High xG PerformanceH2H10/10100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Brighton
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/1080%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Brighton
- Top Table FormLeague75%Arsenal are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Arsenal rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Arsenal concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Brighton(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/786%Brighton score (2.14/match) and concede (1.43/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 86% of matches (league avg: 53%)
Arsenal(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/757%Arsenal score well (1.29/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.71 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 57% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Brighton(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Brighton score 2.14 goals/match at home (+52% above league average)
Arsenal(4 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H8/1080%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Brighton
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Arsenal rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Combined 2.1 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Brighton(2 trends)
- UnbeatenRecent13/1681%Brighton are unbeaten in 13 of their last 16 Premier League (Home) matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1675%Brighton are undefeated at half time in 12 of their last 16 Premier League (Home) matches
Arsenal(2 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague75%Arsenal are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Arsenal concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Brighton(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Brighton score 2.14 goals/match at home (+52% above league average)
Arsenal(6 trends)
- Defensive SolidarityH2H10/10100%Arsenal rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 10 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Brighton
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Arsenal rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Arsenal concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent15/15100%Arsenal rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent30/30100%Arsenal rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent13/1587%Arsenal conceded under 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Brighton(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H8/1080%Brighton receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches vs Arsenal
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Brighton average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+33% above league avg 1.9) — rank #2 in league
Arsenal(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Arsenal average 1.2 cards/match in all matches (-35% below league avg 1.9) — rank #2 lowest in league
Arsenal disciplined play balances Brighton aggression — • H2H average: 4.4 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Arsenal(1 trends) — avg 6.1 (+27% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Arsenal average 6.1 corners/match in away matches (+27% above league avg 4.8)
Moderate corner environment -
+19 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Brighton vs Arsenal
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Brighton is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Brighton
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.16
✈️ Arsenal
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Brighton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Arsenal - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Brighton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
16
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
16
✈️ Arsenal - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Brighton often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Brighton scoring first
- Overall Result: Arsenal has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Arsenal handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.243
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.039
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Brighton):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arsenal):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Brighton vs Arsenal Head-to-head statistics for Wed 4 Mar, 2026 @ 14:00 Premier League
Brighton vs Arsenal: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Brighton and away matches for Arsenal
Number of goals
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Brighton
Arsenal
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Brighton
Arsenal
1
50%
5
80%
8
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
20%
2
0%
0
Double Chance
Double Chance
Brighton
Arsenal
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
80%
8
100%
10
X2
50%
5
20%
2
Total Goals
Total Goals
Brighton
Arsenal
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
40%
4
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Brighton
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Arsenal
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Brighton
Arsenal
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Brighton
Arsenal
xG
1.48
1.86
xGa
1.19
0.45
Number of goals
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Brighton
Arsenal
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Brighton
Arsenal
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Brighton
Arsenal
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Brighton
Arsenal
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Arsenal
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Brighton
Arsenal
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Brighton
Arsenal
1
50%
5
70%
7
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
20%
2
0%
0
Double Chance
Double Chance
Brighton
Arsenal
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
80%
8
100%
10
X2
50%
5
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
Brighton
Arsenal
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Arsenal
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Brighton
Arsenal
Played:
10
Wins
2
2
Draws
3
3
Wins
5
5
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
9
0.9
Goals
1.5
15
15
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.9
9
21
2.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
18
0
Red Cards
0.1
1
2
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.5
5
45
4.5
Corners
6.5
65
117
11.7
Fouls
10.5
105
17
1.7
Offsides
1.5
15
117
11.7
Shots
14.9
149
30
3
Shots on Goal
4.9
49
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.1 | 15 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.7 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 10 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.4 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 11 | 3.4 | 24 | 2.5 | 35 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 33 | 5.3 | 37 | 5 | 70 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 79 | 11.7 | 82 | 11.5 | 161 |
| Offsides | 2 | 14 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.9 | 27 |
| Shots | 13 | 91 | 12.4 | 87 | 12.7 | 178 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.6 | 39 | 4.1 | 29 | 4.9 | 68 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 4 | 10 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.6 | 18 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.9 | 27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.3 | 2 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.5 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 1.2 | 17 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 5 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 8 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 40 | 6.1 | 43 | 5.9 | 83 |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 65 | 13 | 91 | 11.1 | 156 |
| Offsides | 1.7 | 12 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.4 | 20 |
| Shots | 15.3 | 107 | 13 | 91 | 14.1 | 198 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 35 | 5 | 35 | 5 | 70 |
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