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Form
Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 23
Preview
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
15th place
Form
VS
17:30
24 Jan 2026
Liverpool
Liverpool
4th place
Form
AI Prediction Bournemouth AH+1.5
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 24 January, 2026 11:30

Winner (1x2)1.93
Liverpool to Win
Probability 40%
Total Goals1.57
Over 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score1.53
Yes
Probability 61%
Bournemouth Total1.56
Home Under 1.5
Probability 59%
Liverpool Total2.20
Away Under 1.5
Probability 56%
Double Chance1.31
Draw/Liverpool
Probability 65%
Asian Handicap1.30
Liverpool +0.5
Probability 64%
Best Tip
Value
Asian Handicap Bournemouth +1.5
Odds 1.35
Win Prob. 80.9% EV: +9.3%
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Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
17:30
Bournemouth W 35%
:
Liverpool W 40%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Bournemouth
d l d l w
11 Played
5 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (16 total)
xG
1.40 (15.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (145 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (31% acc)
Corners
5.1 (56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.7 (140 total)
Offsides
2.3 (25 total)
10 Played
1 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (18 total)
xG
1.70 (17.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.5 (135 total)
Shots on Target
5.8 (43% acc)
Corners
6.2 (62 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.9 per match
xGa
2.10 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.5 (115 total)
Offsides
1.9 (19 total)
21 Played
6 Wins
8 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (34 total)
xG
1.50 (32.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.3 (280 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (37% acc)
Corners
5.6 (118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
12.1 (255 total)
Offsides
2.1 (44 total)
Liverpool
w w d d d
13 Played
8 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (20 total)
xG
1.70 (22.6 total)
Shots per Match
17.4 (226 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (31% acc)
Corners
5.8 (75 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.8 (128 total)
Offsides
2 (26 total)
14 Played
6 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (23 total)
xG
1.50 (21.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (180 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (32% acc)
Corners
5.1 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.7 (136 total)
Offsides
2 (28 total)
27 Played
14 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (43 total)
xG
1.60 (43.9 total)
Shots per Match
15 (406 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (32% acc)
Corners
5.4 (147 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.8 (264 total)
Offsides
2 (54 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.41 vs 1.50
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.57%
0:1
8.27%
0:2
6.15%
0:3
3.04%
0:4
1.13%
0:5
0.34%
1
1:0
7.77%
1:1
11.63%
🔥
1:2
8.7%
1:3
4.34%
1:4
1.62%
1:5
0.48%
2
2:0
5.42%
2:1
8.17%
2:2
6.15%
2:3
3.09%
2:4
1.16%
2:5
0.35%
3
3:0
2.52%
3:1
3.83%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
1.47%
3:4
0.56%
3:5
0.17%
4
4:0
0.88%
4:1
1.34%
4:2
1.03%
4:3
0.52%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.25%
5:1
0.38%
5:2
0.29%
5:3
0.15%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.6%
0
16.0%
1
23.2%
2
22.4%
3
16.3%
4
9.5%
5
4.5%
6
1.7%
7
0.5%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

BournemouthHDPLiverpool
5.9%
Very Low@ 16.00
-2.5
7.3%
@ 6.40Very Low
11.1%
Very Low@ 14.50
-2
13.2%
@ 5.75Very Low
16.3%
Very Low@ 7.80
-1.5
19.1%
@ 3.37Very Low
25.9%
Low@ 6.85
-1
29.3%
@ 2.65Low
35.6%
Low@ 3.63
-0.5
39.6%
@ 1.94Low
60.4%
High@ 1.96
+0.5
64.4%
@ 1.30High
70.7%
High@ 1.53
+1
74.1%
@ 1.12High
80.9%
Very High@ 1.33
+1.5
83.7%
@ 1.07Very High
86.8%
Very High@ 1.14
+2
88.9%
@ 1.01Very High
92.7%
Very High@ 1.12
+2.5
94.1%
@ 1.01Very High

Team Total Predictions

BournemouthOutcomeLiverpool
75.6%
High@ 1.31
Over 0.5
77.7%
@ 1.14High
24.4%
Low@ 3.40
Under 0.5
22.3%
@ 6.00Low
41.2%
Medium@ 2.56
Over 1.5
44.2%
@ 1.68Medium
58.8%
Medium@ 1.56
Under 1.5
55.8%
@ 2.20Medium
16.9%
Very Low@ 6.20
Over 2.5
19.1%
@ 3.25Very Low
83.1%
Very High@ 1.14
Under 2.5
80.9%
@ 1.35Very High
5.5%
Very Low@ 17.00
Over 3.5
6.6%
@ 7.00Very Low
94.5%
Very High@ 1.03
Under 3.5
93.4%
@ 1.11Very High
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Bournemouth will take on Liverpool as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-01-24 at 2026-01-24 in the famous Vitality Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bournemouth, and the visiting side, Liverpool. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Liverpool. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-24 Time: 17:30 Location: Vitality Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bournemouth vs Liverpool Saturday, Jan 24th, 2026 at 11:30 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 60.1%
EV: +19.6%
Stake: $2.53
1.99
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 60.1%
EV: +19.6%
Stake: $2.53
1.99
Premium Tip Liverpool Under 2.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Away Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 80.9%
EV: +10.0%
Stake: $6.94
1.36
Asian Handicap Bournemouth +1
Value
Prob: 70.7%
EV: +8.1%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
Asian Handicap Bournemouth +1.5
Value
Prob: 80.9%
EV: +7.6%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:01:18
spinner

Trends for Bournemouth vs Liverpool Football 24 Jan, 2026 11:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Bournemouth have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🔐
    xG Defensive Battle

    Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Bournemouth vs Liverpool

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Bournemouth is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Bournemouth is stronger in the second half (16 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Bournemouth

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.37
Pressure
0.19

✈️ Liverpool

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Bournemouth - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6

✈️ Liverpool - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Bournemouth - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Liverpool - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Bournemouth is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8)
  • First Half Result: Consider Bournemouth to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bournemouth shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 9 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Bournemouth winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bournemouth excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 6 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bournemouth scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Liverpool has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Liverpool handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.339
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.111
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.028 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bournemouth):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Liverpool):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Bournemouth
Liverpool

Bournemouth vs Liverpool Head-to-head statistics for Sat 24 Jan, 2026 @ 11:30 Premier League

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
Aston Villa
w w l w d
>
21
13
4
4
33
24
9
43
4
Liverpool
w w d d d
>
21
10
5
6
32
28
4
35
5
Brentford
w w d w w
>
21
10
3
8
35
28
7
33

14
Tottenham
l w d d l
>
21
7
6
8
30
27
3
27
15
Bournemouth
d l d l w
>
21
6
8
7
34
40
-6
26
16
Leeds
w d d d l
>
21
5
7
9
29
37
-8
22
Team comparison
Prediction
Bournemouth AH+1.5
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Bournemouth
VS
Liverpool
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
6 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (4)
3.6 (25)
xG
1.40
2.20
Shots
11 (77)
18.7 (131)
Shots on Target
3.1 (22)
9.3 (65)
Corners
4.7 (33)
6.1 (43)
Defense
Conceded
3.6 (25)
0.6 (4)
xGa
2.20
1.40
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
4 (57%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 (15)
1.3 (9)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
10.1 (71)
9.1 (64)
Offsides
2.1 (15)
1.4 (10)
15 Aug
- 19:00
Liverpool
Bournemouth
2.15
xG
1.63
4
2
1 Feb
- 15:00
Bournemouth
Liverpool
1.58
xG
2.52
0
2
21 Sep
- 14:00
Liverpool
Bournemouth
2.06
xG
1.08
3
0
21 Jan
- 16:30
Bournemouth
Liverpool
0
4
19 Aug
- 14:00
Liverpool
Bournemouth
3
1
11 Mar
- 12:30
Bournemouth
Liverpool
1
0
27 Aug
- 14:00
Liverpool
Bournemouth
9
0
Last 6 Matches
Bournemouth
VS
Liverpool
1/6 (17%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.00 PPG 2.00
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
100% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.90 Avg xG 1.25
Bournemouth
D L D L W
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Jan 2026 - 19:30
Bournemouth
3 2
Tottenham
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Bournemouth
2 3
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
30 Dec 2025 - 19:30
Chelsea
2 2
Bournemouth
Premier League 2025-2026
27 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Brentford
4 1
Bournemouth
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Bournemouth
1 1
Burnley
Premier League 2025-2026
15 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Manchester United
4 4
Bournemouth
Liverpool
W W D D D
Premier League 2025-2026
8 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Arsenal
0 0
Liverpool
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 15:15
Fulham
2 2
Liverpool
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Liverpool
0 0
Leeds
Premier League 2025-2026
27 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Liverpool
2 1
Wolves
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Tottenham
1 2
Liverpool
Premier League 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Liverpool
2 0
Brighton

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bournemouth and away matches for Liverpool

Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Yes
80% 8
50% 5
No
20% 2
50% 5
1X2
Bournemouth
Liverpool
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
40% 4
0% 0
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Liverpool
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
60% 6
100% 10
X2
90% 9
50% 5
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Liverpool
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
10% 1
50% 5
4+
70% 7
20% 2
Total Corners
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Yes
10% 1
50% 5
No
90% 9
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Bournemouth
Liverpool
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Bournemouth
Liverpool
xG
1.93
1.35
xGa
1.52
0.86
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Yes
50% 5
0% 0
No
50% 5
100% 10
1X2
Bournemouth
Liverpool
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
50% 5
70% 7
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Liverpool
12
50% 5
30% 3
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Liverpool
0-1
30% 3
90% 9
2-3
60% 6
10% 1
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Yes
30% 3
90% 9
No
70% 7
10% 1
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Bournemouth
Liverpool
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Liverpool
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Liverpool
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1.15 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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