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Bournemouth vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 9:00
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Upgrade to PremiumBournemouth vs Chelsea: Premier League Showdown
Match Importance
This clash between Bournemouth and Chelsea is crucial for both teams as they navigate contrasting seasons in the Premier League. Bournemouth sits precariously at 14th place with 19 points, battling to avoid relegation, while Chelsea is in a stronger position at 4th with 24 points, aiming to solidify their top-four status.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams are experiencing distinct trends as they approach this encounter.
- Bournemouth: The Cherries are struggling, having not won in five matches, with a concerning trend of leaking goals, averaging a hefty 2.6 conceded per game. Their home form has been slightly better, but they still only managed to score 1.4 goals per match.
- Chelsea: In contrast, Chelsea has shown resilience, bouncing back from a recent setback. Their form has improved with three wins in their last five outings, and they boast a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.8 goals per match on average.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Chelsea has dominated this fixture, winning four out of the last six encounters. The last five results indicate a tightly contested rivalry with two draws, but Chelsea's edge is evident. The most notable recent match ended in a 2-2 draw, showcasing Bournemouth's ability to score against the Blues.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
In terms of tactics, Bournemouth will likely adopt a more defensive stance, trying to capitalize on counter-attacks, especially with key player A. Semenyo leading their front line. On the other hand, Chelsea's midfield, marshaled by M. Caicedo, will aim to control possession and exploit Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities. Pedro Neto's pace on the wing could be pivotal in breaking down Bournemouth's defense.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Away Win.
Predicted Score: Bournemouth 1 - 2 Chelsea
Reasoning: Given their recent form and statistical superiority, Chelsea's attacking prowess combined with Bournemouth's defensive frailties suggests an away victory is likely. Chelsea's xG of 1.74 indicates they can capitalize on their chances effectively.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Match Winner - Away Win @ 2.23 (47.4%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 2.31 (57.3%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.83 vs 1.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.88%
⭐
0:1
15.54%
🔥
⭐
0:2
10.17%
⭐
0:3
4.43%
⭐
0:4
1.45%
0:5
0.38%
1
1:0
8.9%
⭐
1:1
12.55%
1:2
8.8%
1:3
4.09%
1:4
1.42%
1:5
0.39%
2
2:0
3.34%
2:1
5.04%
2:2
3.77%
2:3
1.87%
2:4
0.69%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
0.83%
3:1
1.34%
3:2
1.07%
3:3
0.56%
3:4
0.22%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
0.16%
4:1
0.27%
4:2
0.23%
4:3
0.13%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.04%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:1 (15.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
▲
8
3
3
20
14
6
27
4
▼
7
3
4
25
15
10
24
5
▲
6
5
3
18
11
7
23
13
▼
6
1
7
21
22
-1
19
14
▼
5
4
5
21
24
-3
19
15
5
2
7
19
22
-3
17
Last 6 Matches
Bournemouth
VS
Chelsea
1/6 (17%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.67
PPG
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
2.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.63
Avg xG
1.61
Missing Players
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Suspended
0.85
xG [Total: 2.21]
1.36
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
2
6
Corners [Total: 11]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
2
13
Fouls [Total: 23]
11
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 10]
5
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Bournemouth will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous Vitality Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bournemouth, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Chelsea.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-06
Time: 15:00
Location: Vitality Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bournemouth vs Chelsea Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 9:00 Football
Value Bets
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Best Tip
High Value
Home Total
Bournemouth Under 1.5
Odds:
1.60
75.2%
EV: +20.4%
Kelly: $16.96
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Trends for Bournemouth vs Chelsea Football 6 Dec, 2025 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Bournemouth have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Suppression
Bournemouth rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Bournemouth vs Chelsea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Chelsea @ 2.25 ✅ 
Chelsea
- UnbeatenH2H6/6100%Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 6 6 matches vs Bournemouth
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Chelsea score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+52% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Chelsea rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
Bournemouth
- Not WinH2H6/6100%Bournemouth have not won in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Chelsea
Chelsea demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.54 
Bournemouth(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/757%Bournemouth score well (1.43/match) but have strong defense at home (0.71 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 57% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.33 ⚠️
Chelsea(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Chelsea score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+52% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Chelsea rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
Combined 2.1 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Bournemouth Win or Draw @ 1.72 ✅
Bournemouth
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Bournemouth concede only 0.71 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Bournemouth demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Chelsea Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.94 ✅
Chelsea
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Chelsea score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+52% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Chelsea rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 2.81)
Chelsea's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.40 ✅ 
Bournemouth(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Bournemouth average 2.7 cards/match in all matches (+44% above league avg 1.9) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent26/3087%Bournemouth receive 2+ cards in 26 of their last 30 Premier League matches
- Many CardsRecent13/1681%Bournemouth receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 16 Premier League (Home) matches
Chelsea(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H5/683%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Bournemouth
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Chelsea average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+29% above league avg 1.9) — rank #4 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
Both teams show aggressive play - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.40 • H2H average: 6.8 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 ⚠️
Chelsea(1 trends) — avg 5.3 (+2% above league)
- Many CornersH2H5/683%Chelsea win 6+ corners in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Bournemouth
High corner volume in recent matches - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 — value
+13 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Bournemouth vs Chelsea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Chelsea is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Chelsea is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: Bournemouth is stronger in the second half (15 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Chelsea is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: Bournemouth is stronger in the second half (15 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Bournemouth
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Chelsea
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.07
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Bournemouth - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Bournemouth - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Chelsea often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Chelsea scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Chelsea is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider Chelsea to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bournemouth shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 7 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Bournemouth winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bournemouth excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 2 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bournemouth scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Chelsea has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Chelsea handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.356
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.063
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bournemouth):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Bournemouth vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 9:00 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bournemouth and away matches for Chelsea
Number of goals
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Bournemouth
Chelsea
1
20%
2
60%
6
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Chelsea
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Chelsea
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
10%
1
60%
6
4+
70%
7
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Bournemouth
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Bournemouth
Chelsea
xG
1.37
1.74
xGa
1.34
1.1
Number of goals
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Bournemouth
Chelsea
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Chelsea
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Chelsea
0-1
30%
3
60%
6
2-3
70%
7
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Bournemouth
Chelsea
1
20%
2
60%
6
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Chelsea
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
80%
8
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Chelsea
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
Team comparison
Prediction
Bournemouth Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 20.03% | Low | 2.39 |
| Under 1.5 | 79.97% | High | 1.61 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 40.27% | Low | 1.94 |
| Under 1.5 | 59.73% | Medium | 1.92 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 5.11% | Low | 5.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 94.89% | High | 1.15 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 16.27% | Low | 3.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 83.73% | High | 1.26 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Played:
6
Wins
0
0
Draws
2
2
Wins
4
4
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
0.7
Goals
1.7
10
10
1.7
Goals Conceded
0.7
4
14
2.3
Yellow Cards
3.3
20
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.5
3
30
5
Corners
6.3
38
75
12.5
Fouls
11.3
68
8
1.3
Offsides
1.7
10
80
13.3
Shots
15.3
92
27
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.8
35
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 10 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.5 | 21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 5 | 2.7 | 19 | 1.7 | 24 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.4 | 17 | 2.9 | 20 | 2.6 | 37 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 36 | 5.7 | 40 | 5.4 | 76 |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 83 | 11.9 | 83 | 11.9 | 166 |
| Offsides | 2 | 14 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.1 | 30 |
| Shots | 13.1 | 92 | 12.1 | 85 | 12.6 | 177 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.7 | 33 | 4.7 | 33 | 4.7 | 66 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 10 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 7 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.1 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 12 | 2.4 | 17 | 2.1 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Corners | 7 | 49 | 4.7 | 33 | 5.9 | 82 |
| Fouls | 11 | 77 | 11.1 | 78 | 11.1 | 155 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 11 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.9 | 26 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 103 | 12.9 | 90 | 13.8 | 193 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.3 | 37 | 5 | 35 | 5.1 | 72 |
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