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Bournemouth vs Arsenal: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 3 January, 2026 12:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.65 vs 0.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
21.72%
🔥
0:1
19.06%
⭐
0:2
8.36%
⭐
0:3
2.45%
⭐
0:4
0.54%
0:5
0.09%
⭐
1
1:0
13.19%
⭐
1:1
12.5%
⭐
1:2
5.89%
⭐
1:3
1.84%
⭐
1:4
0.43%
⭐
1:5
0.08%
⭐
2
2:0
4.01%
2:1
4.08%
⭐
2:2
2.05%
2:3
0.68%
2:4
0.17%
2:5
0.03%
⭐
3
3:0
0.81%
3:1
0.88%
3:2
0.47%
3:3
0.17%
3:4
0.04%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
0.12%
⭐
4:1
0.14%
4:2
0.08%
4:3
0.03%
4:4
0.01%
⭐
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.01%
⭐
5:1
0.02%
⭐
5:2
0.01%
⭐
5:3
0%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:0 (21.7%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
12
3
2
31
10
21
39
2
12
1
4
41
16
25
37
14
▼
6
4
7
26
23
3
22
15
▼
5
7
5
26
29
-3
22
16
▲
5
4
8
24
31
-7
19
0.66
xG
0.87
49%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
5
9
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Bournemouth
VS
Arsenal
0/6 (0%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
4/6 (67%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.67
PPG
2.17
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
0.67
67%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.89
Avg xG
1.60
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Bournemouth will take on Arsenal as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-03 at 2026-01-03 in the famous Vitality Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bournemouth, and the visiting side, Arsenal. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Arsenal.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-03
Time: 17:30
Location: Vitality Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Bournemouth vs Arsenal Football 3 Jan, 2026 12:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Bournemouth vs Arsenal, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Bournemouth(3 trends)
- High xG PerformanceH2H6/6100%Bournemouth create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Bournemouth concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%Bournemouth create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Arsenal(6 trends)
- High xG PerformanceH2H6/6100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H6/6100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- Top Table FormLeague75%Arsenal are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Arsenal concede only 0.78 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/965%Arsenal rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.22 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%Arsenal create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Bournemouth(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/956%Bournemouth score well (1.22/match) but have strong defense at home (0.67 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
Arsenal(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/956%Arsenal score well (1.22/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.78 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Arsenal(2 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H6/6100%Arsenal have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- League Top ScorerLeague9/965%Arsenal rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.22 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/683.3%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 H2H matches (83.3%%)
Both teams demonstrate strong scoring form in recent matches • Multiple high-scoring trends support Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance
Bournemouth(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Bournemouth concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Arsenal(2 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague75%Arsenal are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Arsenal concede only 0.78 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Bournemouth(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Bournemouth concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Arsenal(4 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Arsenal concede only 0.78 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/965%Arsenal rank 3 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.22 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Scored 1+Recent5/683%Arsenal scored 1+ goals in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- Scored 1+Recent14/1782%Arsenal scored 1+ goals in their last 14 17 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Bournemouth(2 trends) — avg 2.6 (+36% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Bournemouth average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+29% above league avg 1.9) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent14/1782%Bournemouth receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Arsenal(2 trends) — avg 1.3 (-32% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Arsenal average 1.2 cards/match in all matches (-35% below league avg 1.9) — rank #1 lowest in league
- Few CardsRecent13/1776%Arsenal receive 0-1 card in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 2.7 cards per match in their last 6 H2H matches
Arsenal disciplined play balances Bournemouth aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Arsenal(1 trends) — avg 5.4 (+13% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/978%Arsenal average 5.4 corners/match in away matches (+13% above league avg 4.8)
Moderate corner environment -
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Bournemouth vs Arsenal
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Bournemouth is stronger in the second half (17 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Bournemouth
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.17
✈️ Arsenal
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Bournemouth - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
✈️ Arsenal - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Bournemouth - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Arsenal - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bournemouth shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 13 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Bournemouth winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bournemouth excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 9 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bournemouth scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Arsenal has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Arsenal handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.168
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.053
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bournemouth):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arsenal):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Bournemouth vs Arsenal Head-to-head statistics for Sat 3 Jan, 2026 @ 12:30 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Arsenal: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bournemouth and away matches for Arsenal
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
Bournemouth
Arsenal
1
10%
1
70%
7
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Arsenal
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
90%
9
30%
3
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Arsenal
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
20%
2
60%
6
4+
60%
6
30%
3
Total Corners
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Bournemouth
Arsenal
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Bournemouth
Arsenal
xG
1.67
1.8
xGa
1.52
0.56
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Bournemouth
Arsenal
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Arsenal
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Arsenal
0-1
30%
3
80%
8
2-3
70%
7
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Yes
50%
5
70%
7
No
50%
5
30%
3
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Bournemouth
Arsenal
1
20%
2
70%
7
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
50%
5
0%
0
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Arsenal
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
50%
5
100%
10
X2
80%
8
30%
3
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Arsenal
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
80%
8
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Arsenal
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 13.86% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 86.14% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 23.48% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 76.52% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 2.83% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 97.17% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 6.62% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 93.38% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Played:
6
Wins
2
2
Draws
0
0
Wins
4
4
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
6
1
Goals
2.3
14
14
2.3
Goals Conceded
1
6
10
1.7
Yellow Cards
0.8
5
0
Red Cards
0.2
1
1
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.5
3
21
3.5
Corners
6.5
39
71
11.8
Fouls
10
60
4
0.7
Offsides
2
12
47
7.8
Shots
17.3
104
14
2.3
Shots on Goal
6.2
37
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 11 | 1.9 | 15 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 6 | 2.9 | 23 | 1.7 | 29 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 18 | 2.9 | 23 | 2.4 | 41 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 46 | 5.5 | 44 | 5.3 | 90 |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 109 | 11.9 | 95 | 12 | 204 |
| Offsides | 2.2 | 20 | 2.1 | 17 | 2.2 | 37 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 120 | 12.3 | 98 | 12.8 | 218 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 39 | 5.1 | 41 | 4.7 | 80 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.5 | 20 | 1.2 | 11 | 1.8 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | 7 | 0.6 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 1.2 | 21 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 5 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.5 | 9 |
| Corners | 6 | 48 | 5.4 | 49 | 5.7 | 97 |
| Fouls | 9 | 72 | 11.4 | 103 | 10.3 | 175 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.5 | 25 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 123 | 13.1 | 118 | 14.2 | 241 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.6 | 37 | 5.1 | 46 | 4.9 | 83 |
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